| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3594 | 0.2039 | 0.3901 | 0.659 | -0.4647 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0212 ) | (0 ) | (0.0071 ) | (0.0852 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3713 | 0.1959 | 0.3984 | 0.2123 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0274 ) | (0 ) | (0.0213 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 726.920541180058 |
| -835.464474963114 |
| 1052.17895048999 |
| 966.903327502056 |
| 795.150137066313 |
| -736.211724631392 |
| -155.290150134677 |
| 253.250362147399 |
| -623.151553655914 |
| 222.471834385114 |
| -33.2953522362827 |
| 45.9642984956699 |
| 1160.85464307857 |
| -498.57849585193 |
| -80.1905597728201 |
| 758.149338963244 |
| 145.285178471253 |
| 247.764827198772 |
| -899.774413455089 |
| 266.612052435587 |
| 935.659053363758 |
| 1025.55459790085 |
| -903.944091970662 |
| 333.783045467242 |
| 215.939961071106 |
| 2091.11125122594 |
| -465.651015142686 |
| 1520.69371977184 |
| -685.061716561409 |
| -400.670215697265 |
| -1722.22447860434 |
| 415.52770575946 |
| -296.656285011034 |
| 425.095601199875 |
| -93.4498414072714 |
| -497.368431598716 |
| 291.492270567442 |
| -1516.5488785967 |
| 775.923548658583 |
| -791.019078287106 |
| 1902.46636578483 |
| 221.702303400163 |
| -816.931803688331 |
| -132.99125565604 |
| 1020.89020739846 |
| -57.511526419763 |
| 199.129733923442 |
| 433.62063525211 |
| -509.74296716723 |
| -1090.26132254052 |
| 766.423910390642 |
| 2438.44891533092 |
| -91.8566262708494 |
| -694.16686029749 |
| 911.176618517199 |
| -909.485042703343 |
| -1204.78511996565 |
| -558.841358734888 |
| 2121.34864780106 |
| -608.43856539054 |
| 304.641170464506 |
| 467.237885910803 |
| 124.391364118122 |
| 1938.92560565835 |
| -669.421255454137 |
| -336.051503772931 |
| 409.63500630129 |
| -325.413259482164 |
| 343.172788808719 |
| 712.517012997721 |
| -329.888100204114 |
| -1535.99737197761 |
| -288.017907242907 |
| -1.95204083386195 |
| 777.602314779239 |
| -491.946261143132 |
| 675.688368638687 |
| 1136.02455017678 |
| 1059.7757417105 |
| 1018.81181062491 |
| -878.373407519558 |
| 423.125245123225 |
| 116.536308990539 |
| 326.447908000776 |
| -305.286429570862 |
| -1561.27477432359 |
| -375.536289351027 |
| -780.526005455411 |
| 173.049387193163 |
| -291.990093670529 |
| 274.6036066294 |
| 1398.02650855736 |
| -44.9691624564928 |
| -50.9143867075697 |
| 506.381092428069 |
| 373.704270040581 |
| -344.400441685041 |
| -278.148990846597 |
| -1056.2373838281 |
| 144.46449054688 |
| 219.511444105443 |
| 1013.01062908489 |
| 1358.50474800822 |
| -901.086582371793 |
| -420.72835129178 |
| 925.013543408577 |
| -401.02910794345 |
| -491.169984172271 |
| -475.426875756126 |
| 800.864895367658 |
| -699.783252855806 |
| -270.925679029953 |
| 258.725159401325 |
| -140.764753344935 |
| 442.276808338505 |
| 703.213781698139 |
| -379.53158529972 |
| 349.305865579528 |
| -632.28631796445 |
| 452.021246623962 |
| 388.058063267012 |
| 235.885359778851 |
| -196.61715462479 |
| -397.519524053754 |
| -357.721340913117 |
