Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[47])
411758.2-------
421747.6-------
431679.6-------
441692.3-------
451675.4-------
461639.3-------
471622.3-------
481577.71605.57481550.85111660.29840.1590.274600.2746
491581.91586.30861505.69521666.92190.45730.58290.01170.1908
501562.81574.14991465.33741682.96240.4190.44450.01670.1929
511552.21562.04791416.88071707.21510.44710.49590.0630.208
521535.21550.74351372.691728.79690.43210.49360.16480.2154
531507.61542.2151330.45291753.97710.37430.52590.22930.2293


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
480.0174-0.01770.01770.0175777.002300-1.77551.7755
490.0259-0.00280.01020.010119.4353398.218819.9554-0.28081.0281
500.0353-0.00730.00920.0092128.8206308.419417.5619-0.72290.9264
510.0474-0.00630.00850.008596.9812255.559815.9862-0.62730.8516
520.0586-0.01010.00880.0088241.5989252.767715.8987-0.990.8793
530.0701-0.0230.01120.01111198.198410.339420.2568-2.20481.1002