Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[47])
41	1758.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1747.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1679.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1692.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1675.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1639.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1622.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1577.7	1602.6562	1549.2744	1656.0379	0.1798	0.2354	0	0.2354
49	1581.9	1577.7862	1499.3725	1656.1999	0.459	0.5009	0.0055	0.1329
50	1562.8	1558.4875	1455.1723	1661.8027	0.4674	0.3285	0.0056	0.113
51	1552.2	1540.0104	1406.0816	1673.9392	0.4292	0.3694	0.0238	0.1142
52	1535.2	1536.7922	1375.659	1697.9253	0.4923	0.4257	0.1062	0.1491
53	1507.6	1524.7179	1337.0707	1712.365	0.429	0.4564	0.154	0.154

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
48	0.017	-0.0158	0.0158	0.0157	622.8095	0	0	-1.5896	1.5896
49	0.0254	0.0026	0.0092	0.0091	16.9235	319.8665	17.8848	0.262	0.9258
50	0.0338	0.0028	0.0071	0.007	18.5973	219.4434	14.8136	0.2747	0.7088
51	0.0444	0.0079	0.0073	0.0072	148.5873	201.7294	14.2031	0.7764	0.7257
52	0.0535	-0.001	0.006	0.006	2.5349	161.8905	12.7236	-0.1014	0.6008
53	0.0628	-0.0114	0.0069	0.0069	293.0215	183.7457	13.5553	-1.0903	0.6824