| Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 1550.61 | 1550.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1488.54 | 1541.87411880368 | -3.71619979417485 | -2.50984105026682 | -0.121640395402886 |
| 3 | 1200.03 | 1462.30874410868 | -32.2487496598456 | -14.8384847658667 | -0.624107205833838 |
| 4 | 1451.49 | 1441.17250165357 | -28.5211227058129 | -13.8271295173406 | 0.0640879440901445 |
| 5 | 2576.19 | 1841.0150575844 | 102.547663671647 | 7.09309136237482 | 2.00515128267896 |
| 6 | 2434.2 | 2135.7444603151 | 157.714402104213 | 11.5171277946982 | 0.806703184425096 |
| 7 | 2586.21 | 2410.12220261593 | 189.943714902717 | 12.3423341772149 | 0.464750536915753 |
| 8 | 1898.55 | 2297.91043088693 | 108.070308526423 | 13.0652827273127 | -1.17511454529535 |
| 9 | 2958.18 | 2636.35492960002 | 170.032142144369 | 11.3580739009608 | 0.886048336140352 |
| 10 | 3290.73 | 3009.40006435145 | 224.574711985015 | 9.44927854762983 | 0.776629915119879 |
| 11 | 3408.39 | 3304.91734803624 | 243.665133791134 | 8.77882985187671 | 0.27068196185692 |
| 12 | 3214.71 | 3401.15662424201 | 203.898437299549 | 10.0144439616679 | -0.561908746813709 |
| 13 | 4205.43 | 3829.84933232461 | 259.637216635794 | 123.29519951835 | 0.916937717891285 |
| 14 | 4378.53 | 4226.80753397417 | 296.711966796471 | -7.37375259275068 | 0.473341195979596 |
| 15 | 4279.68 | 4419.9834122645 | 268.973369389551 | -9.3252994441453 | -0.381140262601036 |
| 16 | 4799.25 | 4740.33005829439 | 282.810045693587 | -8.74120205550355 | 0.194836454709073 |
| 17 | 4902.84 | 4975.49210548531 | 269.89448105286 | -9.01256952423005 | -0.182480709224659 |
| 18 | 5379.84 | 5306.69832541348 | 286.573493867325 | -8.9042719703497 | 0.234965649985142 |
| 19 | 5527.05 | 5568.72321934001 | 279.889313949227 | -8.88751416020357 | -0.0938830967199804 |
| 20 | 6004.83 | 5919.44910937359 | 299.167300479343 | -9.02901182947038 | 0.270389737827841 |
| 21 | 5827.71 | 6054.64491679961 | 254.579390500104 | -8.61673777587303 | -0.625328568513534 |
| 22 | 6496.02 | 6393.13158043257 | 277.383043537236 | -8.82793761403179 | 0.319989567022142 |
| 23 | 6858.99 | 6755.19543296181 | 300.393357620626 | -9.01645395300619 | 0.32310546006778 |
| 24 | 6696.84 | 6905.58090956137 | 259.624634577554 | -8.74628780351389 | -0.572767537632557 |
| 25 | 6831 | 7013.86518126834 | 220.759120139122 | 5.23226815669004 | -0.616220793426771 |
| 26 | 7366.47 | 7294.49821605503 | 236.95030400531 | 0.758999814668932 | 0.210230296249312 |
| 27 | 7881.03 | 7683.78570155825 | 277.873266087936 | 2.88562334650263 | 0.563904474586278 |
| 28 | 7494.66 | 7759.75743356581 | 223.40910007976 | 1.17511436566617 | -0.766055334744596 |
| 29 | 5813.55 | 7055.12394569468 | -28.2598098675264 | -2.8174044591463 | -3.55143110414567 |
| 30 | 6911.25 | 6978.63982972476 | -41.3781155222816 | -2.88502314532386 | -0.184733491553034 |
| 31 | 7252.59 | 7073.51410843909 | -4.27928760066462 | -2.94206150888975 | 0.521215863777162 |
| 32 | 7425.63 | 7223.29635612453 | 37.6571516225478 | -3.15896973069014 | 0.588505552637397 |
| 33 | 7603.5 | 7409.26326779845 | 78.0036704799364 | -3.42715072518446 | 0.566132548615157 |
| 34 | 6045.72 | 6870.28614095638 | -89.7661111807368 | -2.30021482926472 | -2.3550765089233 |
| 35 | 6064.35 | 6474.3553296375 | -173.006086157341 | -1.80281670340875 | -1.16909200081094 |
| 36 | 5486.85 | 5952.96036108792 | -267.73559162843 | -1.34289629533784 | -1.3310163091408 |
| 37 | 5808.27 | 5725.4143138365 | -257.231871017606 | 31.8387718301508 | 0.160960484536215 |
| 38 | 6467.88 | 5915.76058304586 | -136.000394048043 | 4.16447452415877 | 1.60522487827609 |
| Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
| t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
| 1 | 5788.7308679575 | 5712.34033938632 | 76.3905285711834 |
| 2 | 5574.35586072965 | 5543.13153483614 | 31.2243258935147 |
| 3 | 5091.27027901446 | 5373.92273028596 | -282.652451271491 |
| 4 | 5247.14235471423 | 5204.71392573577 | 42.4284289784549 |
| 5 | 5149.4138243255 | 5035.50512118559 | 113.908703139909 |
| 6 | 4836.33461695806 | 4866.29631663541 | -29.9616996773517 |
| 7 | 4899.44358553733 | 4697.08751208523 | 202.356073452103 |
| 8 | 4433.90249061735 | 4527.87870753504 | -93.9762169176959 |
| 9 | 4330.86960111284 | 4358.66990298486 | -27.8003018720243 |
| 10 | 3760.75653101192 | 4189.46109843468 | -428.704567422764 |
| 11 | 4107.08780065185 | 4020.2522938845 | 86.8355067673501 |
| 12 | 4160.99515969313 | 3851.04348933431 | 309.951670358811 |
