Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | 0.1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
11 | 4772.79 | 4582.90184090909 | 189.888159090909 |
12 | 4817.9 | 4814.64482424242 | 3.25517575757658 |
13 | 4872.04 | 4867.20582424242 | 4.83417575757721 |
14 | 4926.17 | 4922.68982424242 | 3.48017575757513 |
15 | 4971.28 | 4972.98782424242 | -1.70782424242407 |
16 | 5020.9 | 4993.28282424243 | 27.6171757575739 |
17 | 5066.02 | 5050.35682424242 | 15.6631757575778 |
18 | 5088.57 | 5089.82732424243 | -1.25732424242597 |
19 | 5084.06 | 5117.35732424242 | -33.2973242424223 |
20 | 5066.02 | 5138.54432424242 | -72.524324242424 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
21 | 5123.88632424242 | 4990.5761969917 | 5257.19645149315 |
22 | 5165.74114848485 | 4977.2121585252 | 5354.2701384445 |
23 | 5215.04697272727 | 4984.14705916555 | 5445.94688628899 |
24 | 5265.6967969697 | 4999.07654246826 | 5532.31705147114 |
25 | 5312.51462121212 | 5014.42411459036 | 5610.60512783388 |
26 | 5334.51744545455 | 5007.97565614479 | 5661.05923476431 |
27 | 5363.97426969697 | 5011.26882574519 | 5716.67971364875 |
28 | 5387.7815939394 | 5010.72361402009 | 5764.8395738587 |
29 | 5416.56891818182 | 5016.63853642966 | 5816.49929993398 |
30 | 5471.05324242424 | 5049.48960514509 | 5892.6168797034 |
31 | 5528.91956666667 | 5086.7798938215 | 5971.05923951184 |
32 | 5570.77439090909 | 5108.97456378565 | 6032.57421803253 |