| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1194 | 0.1745 | 0.0624 | 0.1476 | -0.0501 | -0.1649 | -0.8202 |
| (p-val) | (0.9626 ) | (0.8018 ) | (0.873 ) | (0.9539 ) | (0.7715 ) | (0.2511 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.2069 | 0.0798 | 0.2677 | -0.0501 | -0.164 | -0.8208 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0413 ) | (0.3935 ) | (0.0123 ) | (0.7709 ) | (0.2527 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2148 | 0.0772 | 0.2755 | 0 | -0.1391 | -0.8833 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0276 ) | (0.4059 ) | (0.0074 ) | (NA ) | (0.231 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2156 | 0 | 0.2765 | 0 | -0.1504 | -0.8801 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0251 ) | (NA ) | (0.0083 ) | (NA ) | (0.1881 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.2266 | 0 | 0.3226 | 0 | 0 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.017 ) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0051 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -18.5457164018856 |
| -261.195462661567 |
| -247.952813200408 |
| -17.7610864476825 |
| 25.4503778583408 |
| 107.8941103548 |
| 90.6708529591224 |
| 29.8929125302565 |
| 252.251459687043 |
| -315.878849711532 |
| -892.775445782088 |
| -33.1516473039986 |
| 411.991727801215 |
| 191.119648079663 |
| 91.4611873674338 |
| 194.695137350833 |
| 123.806525302225 |
| 91.1127935930945 |
| -18.2276979973015 |
| 95.0112715179762 |
| 404.747519307811 |
| 175.903225509287 |
| 340.556560978557 |
| 790.175603191633 |
| 22.4401418619969 |
| -113.429922016933 |
| 88.9620447696018 |
| 60.0508453804852 |
| -54.796611030451 |
| -2.1117328729533 |
| 273.52007745274 |
| -46.7970265846053 |
| 153.675901696532 |
| 259.196564610962 |
| -314.522204534127 |
| -577.166575276817 |
| 270.806867202906 |
| 63.0486488270652 |
| 393.02988610383 |
| -79.3974584350711 |
| -79.2535464359132 |
| 265.359935023193 |
| -328.657416121503 |
| -33.654173500208 |
| -432.735817190804 |
| -408.104267003718 |
| -830.681020006998 |
| -507.448124876144 |
| -730.838053001691 |
| -3.62611875747336 |
| -234.134572047261 |
| 50.3458330071006 |
| -39.4677335032483 |
| -50.9388108679438 |
| 168.5870168542 |
| 21.4624203878353 |
| -67.047296795897 |
| -63.8887337194213 |
| 1868.71086747724 |
| -1537.6373399932 |
| 384.311687686989 |
| 26.2375599547824 |
| 31.3291047203423 |
| 119.384331564966 |
| -32.1888691024076 |
| 308.408142108302 |
| -264.609320062142 |
| 208.54718255341 |
| 765.423191773131 |
| 245.943168542202 |
| -393.239757341397 |
| 678.511400416934 |
| -49.8233621406765 |
| 304.001650419065 |
| 107.120951511289 |
| 180.867537038942 |
| 336.967799227359 |
| -224.3692129456 |
| 708.900973946637 |
| -630.564681874823 |
| 437.391302135652 |
| -450.622925644459 |
| -1789.61602697009 |
| -466.983992114484 |
| 470.130712624275 |
| 53.4961784433762 |
| -237.927823402962 |
| -101.931329041667 |
| -97.6090331218571 |
| -278.073260329273 |
| -462.13447830699 |
| 10.0316747547199 |
| 1620.48820550266 |
| 331.859785265848 |
| -772.957503901587 |
| 390.462341291902 |
| -121.254192830608 |
| -123.590733891299 |
| -148.010846394658 |
| 60.2340657514883 |
| -136.146643677058 |
| -152.394838433285 |
| 343.684572864673 |
| -113.026390978561 |
| 273.456318749625 |
| 1069.57490998837 |
| 446.527488038639 |
| 369.70364336849 |
| -428.549945652914 |
| -227.089976458605 |
| -284.132603385588 |
| -382.904476740702 |
| -119.272605409541 |
| -622.648625726134 |
