| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1079 | 0.1785 | -0.1373 | -0.7429 | 0.6312 | -0.1222 | -0.4578 |
| (p-val) | (0.4446 ) | (0.1315 ) | (0.1693 ) | (0 ) | (0.4959 ) | (0.5032 ) | (0.6213 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1063 | 0.1769 | -0.135 | -0.7436 | 0.1742 | -0.029 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4533 ) | (0.1353 ) | (0.176 ) | (0 ) | (0.0762 ) | (0.8161 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1093 | 0.175 | -0.1346 | -0.7443 | 0.1736 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4392 ) | (0.1383 ) | (0.1776 ) | (0 ) | (0.0761 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1239 | -0.155 | -0.6616 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2299 ) | (0.1012 ) | (0 ) | (0.0981 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1764 | -0.6098 | 0.1544 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0589 ) | (0 ) | (0.1124 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.1761 | -0.604 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0614 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6536 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.64699743165516 |
| -1484.67498475619 |
| 1997.87414795554 |
| -376.878321300404 |
| -840.670082486035 |
| 1868.14089673695 |
| -791.96937090683 |
| -820.519763285021 |
| 607.438331124589 |
| -772.374569976307 |
| 117.182264603839 |
| 2519.04221590701 |
| -1439.60938507432 |
| -1669.83411984048 |
| 1642.61383215521 |
| -741.930884759918 |
| 9.28119246691994 |
| 970.787346274633 |
| -274.860599741593 |
| -1062.17641127529 |
| 213.848678771503 |
| -559.076118619175 |
| -654.65642747335 |
| 585.561583162759 |
| 241.405686642847 |
| -1171.85098849757 |
| 1501.56504248489 |
| 984.97583167185 |
| -135.800764047642 |
| 1693.75750420981 |
| -944.918413269222 |
| -716.291692805205 |
| 536.212919660064 |
| -626.18090873495 |
| -834.237842756073 |
| -891.065438171221 |
| 2341.97596358316 |
| -1036.04012941154 |
| -178.264415326884 |
| 1905.18447649036 |
| 2990.96715586331 |
| 3706.22484459856 |
| 421.349649464417 |
| -2008.86664960041 |
| -1883.44102940673 |
| -1641.6821400498 |
| -2276.15862915055 |
| 375.25645980304 |
| -1319.65578786082 |
| -1532.74616957785 |
| 880.082109755468 |
| 409.517422201182 |
| -1158.91500206828 |
| 1674.38767972389 |
| -1783.994378411 |
| -2117.78418245492 |
| 94.5440715534521 |
| 1401.30771696506 |
| 3897.53780737959 |
| -958.688923869042 |
| -2731.81645134633 |
| 1333.52399295803 |
| 382.986176462365 |
| -1477.89900924068 |
| 288.73326958745 |
| -544.798972554659 |
| 67.7702682871059 |
| 2084.89177280795 |
| 1196.62202257651 |
| 3846.09576181307 |
| -188.50240378415 |
| -1408.52398235265 |
| 357.065119084689 |
| -1232.89007589314 |
| 609.190435985591 |
| 3027.16164811478 |
| 2190.56821213529 |
| -4188.99208832251 |
| -1407.75204535761 |
| -1021.09191948437 |
| -1547.54708673717 |
| -1220.81365053653 |
| 1057.1628372612 |
| -407.82294972356 |
| 1645.36080040878 |
| 3914.97358646937 |
| -1045.46465158984 |
| -1088.74219970489 |
| -1748.22973938628 |
| -384.48262879647 |
| 1476.36768647079 |
| 1972.08233387763 |
| -1003.70941145319 |
| 2814.57709574155 |
| -1246.78461403505 |
| -261.974740816168 |
| -278.179212114239 |
| -1350.91169536513 |
| -334.608569848304 |
| 2090.7931659506 |
| 521.256215855939 |
| 1651.18144786948 |
| 1964.69341475466 |
| 2042.33361824935 |
| -1044.05880260499 |
| 456.036461757361 |
| 3256.73066488138 |
| 7397.20211223511 |
| -2806.72799749282 |
| 3651.83045321292 |
| 6728.54506711838 |
| 5100.08335457536 |
| -6821.19328004412 |
| 8972.57957710643 |
| -5310.25811792115 |
| -1295.47725349665 |
| -5956.9904294538 |
| 1809.75733671759 |
| 2778.31374014271 |
| 3627.78873379092 |
| 2247.00719626805 |
| 4266.89156208745 |
| 4643.10285879188 |
| -3363.38929828308 |
| -3587.46947796711 |
| 1154.34785870277 |
