| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0492 | -0.8145 | -0.7446 | 0.6186 | -0.2196 | -0.5184 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.1478 ) | (0.003 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.0231 | -0.6826 | -0.6324 | 0.656 | 0 | -0.4173 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0247 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 142.097293154479 |
| 103.472696304233 |
| 723.688337602448 |
| -281.051673918334 |
| 894.558505517239 |
| 1074.73399707307 |
| 493.314966554373 |
| 382.552138916346 |
| -1458.41680245295 |
| 1344.53381462523 |
| 471.764794044075 |
| 1906.9476470835 |
| 1122.0223702031 |
| 1354.76537096749 |
| 2295.34988256159 |
| 1067.0386905608 |
| 1233.13236596246 |
| 1089.848722157 |
| 1006.6302943203 |
| 1131.52663721792 |
| 130.704312269691 |
| 1015.49055847085 |
| 874.193211802565 |
| 527.573953688391 |
| -4219.09499744998 |
| -1015.94722042642 |
| -334.267924299224 |
| -2547.43863217088 |
| 659.982813759397 |
| -438.130760692127 |
| 298.412974036812 |
| 253.154027835459 |
| -1225.42682469781 |
| 852.57644002545 |
| 273.894723553182 |
| 606.425134344818 |
| -323.90499515532 |
| -889.935266171626 |
| 460.587121476947 |
| -949.504783904923 |
| -2836.39463769769 |
| 3470.02239434043 |
| -5007.28815916354 |
| -529.97019280763 |
| 809.441733416454 |
| 1588.17760617227 |
| 2175.18093246512 |
| 1599.63404295512 |
| 709.689026576608 |
| 2639.45122851877 |
| 831.65437981568 |
| -1081.14819571292 |
| -779.728241100198 |
| 1999.25149152098 |
| -592.910116411647 |
| -977.847213485481 |
| -1287.43102128105 |
| 993.009506803542 |
| -1346.14382508111 |
| -1630.0286464362 |
| -865.971312524197 |
