Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 6258.5 | NA | NA | 342.049 | NA |
2 | 6191 | NA | NA | 332.075 | NA |
3 | 5939.5 | NA | NA | 152.873 | NA |
4 | 5517.5 | NA | NA | -115.999 | NA |
5 | 5382.5 | NA | NA | -125.486 | NA |
6 | 5785 | NA | NA | 125.587 | NA |
7 | 5353.5 | 5391.54 | 5300.79 | 90.7483 | -38.04 |
8 | 5205.5 | 5108.94 | 5181.27 | -72.3327 | 96.5619 |
9 | 4915 | 4906.76 | 5060.5 | -153.738 | 8.2378 |
10 | 4691.5 | 4738.47 | 4949.42 | -210.946 | -46.9705 |
11 | 4564.5 | 4678.59 | 4842.73 | -164.136 | -114.093 |
12 | 4496 | 4525.39 | 4726.08 | -200.694 | -29.3895 |
13 | 4877.5 | 4964.36 | 4622.31 | 342.049 | -86.8617 |
14 | 4703.5 | 4870.6 | 4538.52 | 332.075 | -167.096 |
15 | 4528.5 | 4612.06 | 4459.19 | 152.873 | -83.5608 |
16 | 4262.5 | 4277.08 | 4393.08 | -115.999 | -14.584 |
17 | 4077 | 4212.31 | 4337.79 | -125.486 | -135.305 |
18 | 4291 | 4416 | 4290.42 | 125.587 | -125.003 |
19 | 4357 | 4347.04 | 4256.29 | 90.7483 | 9.96002 |
20 | 4191 | 4160.44 | 4232.77 | -72.3327 | 30.5619 |
21 | 4025.5 | 4059.51 | 4213.25 | -153.738 | -34.0122 |
22 | 3994.5 | 3985.49 | 4196.44 | -210.946 | 9.00863 |
23 | 3934.5 | 4021.51 | 4185.65 | -164.136 | -87.0099 |
24 | 3989 | 3985.54 | 4186.23 | -200.694 | 3.46465 |
25 | 4565.5 | 4531.17 | 4189.12 | 342.049 | 34.3258 |
26 | 4451 | 4513.64 | 4181.56 | 332.075 | -62.6372 |
27 | 4312.5 | 4326.14 | 4173.27 | 152.873 | -13.6441 |
28 | 4075 | 4054.38 | 4170.38 | -115.999 | 20.6244 |
29 | 4005.5 | 4042.26 | 4167.75 | -125.486 | -36.7636 |
30 | 4376.5 | 4286.77 | 4161.19 | 125.587 | 89.7259 |
31 | 4341 | 4232.77 | 4142.02 | 90.7483 | 108.231 |
32 | 4025.5 | 4058.85 | 4131.19 | -72.3327 | -33.3548 |
33 | 3992 | 3981.22 | 4134.96 | -153.738 | 10.7795 |
34 | 3958.5 | 3924.16 | 4135.1 | -210.946 | 34.342 |
35 | 3907.5 | 3973.3 | 4137.44 | -164.136 | -65.8016 |
36 | 3858.5 | 3940.26 | 4140.96 | -200.694 | -81.7645 |
37 | 4236 | 4479.07 | 4137.02 | 342.049 | -243.07 |
38 | 4520.5 | 4462.7 | 4130.62 | 332.075 | 57.8003 |
39 | 4333.5 | 4282.14 | 4129.27 | 152.873 | 51.3559 |
40 | 4057.5 | 4012.35 | 4128.35 | -115.999 | 45.1452 |
41 | 4079 | 4002.49 | 4127.98 | -125.486 | 76.5072 |
42 | 4387.5 | 4249.42 | 4123.83 | 125.587 | 138.08 |
43 | 4235.5 | 4212.33 | 4121.58 | 90.7483 | 23.1684 |
44 | 3977.5 | 4041.13 | 4113.46 | -72.3327 | -63.6256 |
45 | 4007.5 | 3937.2 | 4090.94 | -153.738 | 70.3003 |
46 | 3921 | 3851.82 | 4062.77 | -210.946 | 69.1753 |
47 | 3936 | 3864.28 | 4028.42 | -164.136 | 71.7193 |
48 | 3730.5 | 3786.89 | 3987.58 | -200.694 | -56.3895 |
49 | 4310 | 4285.09 | 3943.04 | 342.049 | 24.9091 |
50 | 4251.5 | 4235.85 | 3903.77 | 332.075 | 15.6545 |
51 | 4062 | 4014.46 | 3861.58 | 152.873 | 47.5434 |
52 | 3653 | 3700.69 | 3816.69 | -115.999 | -47.6881 |
53 | 3659 | 3648.14 | 3773.62 | -125.486 | 10.8614 |
54 | 3827.5 | 3857.44 | 3731.85 | 125.587 | -29.9407 |
55 | 3726.5 | 3781.94 | 3691.19 | 90.7483 | -55.4358 |
56 | 3544 | 3576.4 | 3648.73 | -72.3327 | -32.3965 |
57 | 3428.5 | 3452.18 | 3605.92 | -153.738 | -23.6789 |
58 | 3422.5 | 3353.7 | 3564.65 | -210.946 | 68.8003 |
59 | 3401 | 3364.84 | 3528.98 | -164.136 | 36.1568 |
60 | 3263 | 3294.93 | 3495.62 | -200.694 | -31.9312 |
61 | 3801.5 | 3807.13 | 3465.08 | 342.049 | -5.63257 |
62 | 3741 | 3775.1 | 3443.02 | 332.075 | -34.0955 |
63 | 3545 | 3576.77 | 3423.9 | 152.873 | -31.7691 |
64 | 3179.5 | 3283.9 | 3399.9 | -115.999 | -104.396 |
65 | 3276.5 | 3250.66 | 3376.15 | -125.486 | 25.8405 |
66 | 3409.5 | 3483.79 | 3358.21 | 125.587 | -74.2949 |
67 | 3411.5 | 3434.83 | 3344.08 | 90.7483 | -23.3316 |
68 | 3329.5 | 3253.15 | 3325.48 | -72.3327 | 76.3535 |
69 | 3184 | 3144.43 | 3298.17 | -153.738 | 39.5711 |
70 | 3091 | 3069.68 | 3280.62 | -210.946 | 21.3211 |
71 | 3162.5 | 3105.51 | 3269.65 | -164.136 | 56.9901 |
72 | 3071 | 3061.33 | 3262.02 | -200.694 | 9.67298 |
73 | 3654.5 | 3602.9 | 3260.85 | 342.049 | 51.5966 |
74 | 3441.5 | 3584.72 | 3252.65 | 332.075 | -143.221 |
75 | 3189 | 3398.33 | 3245.46 | 152.873 | -209.332 |
76 | 3114.5 | 3129.5 | 3245.5 | -115.999 | -15.0006 |
77 | 3078 | 3124.39 | 3249.87 | -125.486 | -46.3886 |
78 | 3425 | 3382.29 | 3256.71 | 125.587 | 42.7051 |
79 | 3368 | 3349.64 | 3258.9 | 90.7483 | 18.3559 |
80 | 3176 | 3190.69 | 3263.02 | -72.3327 | -14.6881 |
81 | 3165 | 3121.16 | 3274.9 | -153.738 | 43.842 |
82 | 3111 | 3075.35 | 3286.29 | -210.946 | 35.6545 |
83 | 3247.5 | 3131.22 | 3295.35 | -164.136 | 116.282 |
84 | 3150 | 3095.89 | 3296.58 | -200.694 | 54.1105 |
85 | 3628 | 3639.9 | 3297.85 | 342.049 | -11.9034 |
86 | 3567 | 3644.39 | 3312.31 | 332.075 | -77.3872 |
87 | 3348.5 | 3485.46 | 3332.58 | 152.873 | -136.957 |
88 | 3228.5 | 3237.17 | 3353.17 | -115.999 | -8.66729 |
89 | 3181.5 | 3253.01 | 3378.5 | -125.486 | -71.5136 |
90 | 3351 | 3540.73 | 3415.15 | 125.587 | -189.732 |
91 | 3472.5 | 3555.52 | 3464.77 | 90.7483 | -83.0191 |
92 | 3418.5 | 3457.52 | 3529.85 | -72.3327 | -39.0215 |
93 | 3409 | 3457.2 | 3610.94 | -153.738 | -48.1997 |
94 | 3361 | 3477.05 | 3688 | -210.946 | -116.054 |
95 | 3605.5 | 3595.99 | 3760.12 | -164.136 | 9.51095 |
96 | 3671.5 | 3641.56 | 3842.25 | -200.694 | 29.9438 |
97 | 4297.5 | 4261.45 | 3919.4 | 342.049 | 36.0549 |
98 | 4459.5 | 4314.62 | 3982.54 | 332.075 | 144.884 |
99 | 4402 | 4190.66 | 4037.79 | 152.873 | 211.335 |
100 | 4024.5 | 3974.77 | 4090.77 | -115.999 | 49.7285 |
101 | 4116.5 | 4014.58 | 4140.06 | -125.486 | 101.924 |
102 | 4387 | 4313.38 | 4187.79 | 125.587 | 73.6218 |
103 | 4288 | 4332.08 | 4241.33 | 90.7483 | -44.0816 |
104 | 4118.5 | 4223.08 | 4295.42 | -72.3327 | -104.584 |
105 | 4035 | 4186.03 | 4339.77 | -153.738 | -151.033 |
106 | 4006.5 | 4165.97 | 4376.92 | -210.946 | -159.471 |
107 | 4143 | 4250.95 | 4415.08 | -164.136 | -107.947 |
108 | 4279.5 | 4261.41 | 4462.1 | -200.694 | 18.0897 |
109 | 4974.5 | 4858.11 | 4516.06 | 342.049 | 116.388 |
110 | 5080.5 | 4898.6 | 4566.52 | 332.075 | 181.904 |
111 | 4845.5 | 4764.66 | 4611.79 | 152.873 | 80.835 |
112 | 4472.5 | NA | NA | -115.999 | NA |
113 | 4584.5 | NA | NA | -125.486 | NA |
114 | 5047.5 | NA | NA | 125.587 | NA |
115 | 4922.5 | NA | NA | 90.7483 | NA |
116 | 4695 | NA | NA | -72.3327 | NA |
117 | 4545 | NA | NA | -153.738 | NA |