Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[97])
856972.9-------
866969.2-------
876941.6-------
886905.5-------
896971.3-------
906968.4-------
917012.2-------
927049.5-------
937095.6-------
947237.5-------
957230.5-------
967253.5-------
977289.4-------
987364.67289.47154.66337424.13670.1370.510.5
997428.17289.47098.85357479.94650.07680.21960.99980.5
1007390.27289.47056.02917522.77090.19860.1220.99940.5
1017279.97289.47019.92657558.87350.47250.23170.98970.5
1027426.57289.46988.11957590.68050.18620.52460.98160.5
1037480.17289.46959.36377619.43630.12870.20780.95010.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
980.00940.01020.01020.01035655.04000.91280.9128
990.01330.01870.01440.014619237.6912446.365111.56331.68371.2983
1000.01630.01360.01420.014310160.6411684.4567108.09471.22361.2734
1010.0189-0.00130.0110.01190.258785.90593.7332-0.11530.9839
1020.02110.01850.01250.012618796.4110788.006103.86531.66421.1199
1030.02310.02550.01460.014836366.4915051.0867122.68292.31491.3191