| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.67653765820993 |
| beta | 0.0716084620482283 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 2867.8 | 2458.19298908215 | 409.607010917849 |
| 14 | 3452.6 | 3313.23040962281 | 139.369590377194 |
| 15 | 3510.9 | 3487.10767608327 | 23.7923239167308 |
| 16 | 3376.6 | 3373.52816508629 | 3.07183491371461 |
| 17 | 3469.5 | 3472.60867195851 | -3.10867195850824 |
| 18 | 3958.6 | 3961.98416418637 | -3.38416418636689 |
| 19 | 4081.2 | 3878.54534510966 | 202.654654890339 |
| 20 | 3845.4 | 4067.77893583953 | -222.378935839532 |
| 21 | 3936 | 3720.87086309938 | 215.12913690062 |
| 22 | 4469.3 | 4465.30196011038 | 3.99803988961776 |
| 23 | 4383.7 | 4593.08310025483 | -209.383100254833 |
| 24 | 4485.5 | 4307.04532134884 | 178.454678651164 |
| 25 | 4474.2 | 4488.14872781362 | -13.9487278136157 |
| 26 | 4956.8 | 5192.25521089253 | -235.455210892525 |
| 27 | 5034.8 | 5036.47089313219 | -1.6708931321873 |
| 28 | 4886.3 | 4787.06873436561 | 99.2312656343911 |
| 29 | 4759.4 | 4942.60030032948 | -183.200300329479 |
| 30 | 5403.1 | 5444.58093192695 | -41.4809319269471 |
| 31 | 5412.4 | 5339.88069863806 | 72.5193013619355 |
| 32 | 5197.5 | 5218.12539325852 | -20.6253932585187 |
| 33 | 5322.6 | 5082.93913192265 | 239.660868077348 |
| 34 | 6063.5 | 5904.18899079994 | 159.311009200063 |
| 35 | 6271.8 | 6043.02792791434 | 228.772072085656 |
| 36 | 5986.3 | 6144.34445370325 | -158.044453703254 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 37 | 5999.96663717941 | 5674.45365794252 | 6325.4796164163 |
| 38 | 6820.34411268833 | 6402.14234831452 | 7238.54587706213 |
| 39 | 6902.99068135764 | 6415.43376194214 | 7390.54760077315 |
| 40 | 6582.89918003733 | 6049.21482346841 | 7116.58353660626 |
| 41 | 6549.94131868194 | 5957.66282744157 | 7142.21980992232 |
| 42 | 7453.96888392292 | 6734.27027052334 | 8173.6674973225 |
| 43 | 7381.33148196702 | 6610.60811737298 | 8152.05484656107 |
| 44 | 7087.96927570714 | 6288.55844948067 | 7887.38010193362 |
| 45 | 7016.77381544013 | 6169.11053474016 | 7864.4370961401 |
| 46 | 7819.51667602559 | 6826.41970182044 | 8812.61365023073 |
| 47 | 7849.72460319464 | 6797.63789164641 | 8901.81131474287 |
| 48 | 7582.12657177509 | 6560.110484035 | 8604.14265951519 |
