Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.203967975806686
beta0.761275346849982
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
31200.031426.47-226.44
41451.491283.05284132461168.437158675385
52576.191246.332190532681329.85780946732
62434.21652.99888292829781.201117071714
72586.212069.05880215944517.151197840555
81898.552511.56205543772-613.012055437722
92958.182628.36226548911329.81773451089
103290.732988.68226911288302.047730887117
113408.393390.2387818022618.1512181977387
123214.713736.70794223267-521.99794223267
134205.433891.95032811997313.479671880031
144378.534266.27919596891112.25080403109
154279.684616.99365141447-337.31365141447
164799.254823.63471067141-24.3847106714074
174902.845090.31689729234-187.47689729234
185379.845294.6228771179385.2171228820653
195527.055567.78186046039-40.7318604603861
206004.835808.92661274215195.903387257848
215827.716128.7564310251-301.0464310251
226496.026300.47917793112195.540822068883
236858.996603.852577585255.137422415
246696.846958.99844039047-262.158440390474
2568317167.92565382883-336.925653828828
267366.477309.2863525009257.1836474990805
277881.037539.91196373936341.118036260641
287494.667881.41847060043-386.758470600428
295813.558014.40725206696-2200.85725206696
306911.257435.6381253084-524.3881253084
317252.597117.39023161176135.199768388235
327425.636954.67039650998470.959603490016
337603.56933.56344054097669.936559459028
346045.727057.06634105703-1011.34634105703
356064.356680.60376797933-616.253767979329
365486.856289.03813568312-802.188135683116
375808.275734.9874490504873.2825509495215
386467.885370.883752352311096.99624764769


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
395385.921826832554165.725819511786606.11783415332
405177.207797212573880.663505912846473.7520885123
414968.493767592593527.945812413826409.04172277136
424759.779737972613103.540731993876416.01874395135
434551.065708352632612.852558668236489.27885803703
444342.351678732652064.720995267396619.98236219791
454133.637649112671467.607452748676799.66784547666
463924.92361949268828.3429149676727021.5043240177
473716.2095898727152.1273660121417280.29181373327
483507.49556025272-557.1228151143667572.11393561981
493298.78153063274-1296.425623509057893.98868477453
503090.06750101276-2063.464905773068243.59990779858