Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.083185237678146
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3101.94103.23-1.28999999999999
4101.8102.152691043395-0.352691043395183
5102.25101.9833523551230.266647644876599
6102.6102.4555335028390.144466497161218
7102.49102.817550982742-0.32755098274167
8102.13102.680303576391-0.55030357639059
9100.76102.274526442593-1.51452644259339
10100.86100.7785402004960.0814597995035626
11101.12100.8853164532790.234683546720646
12100.74101.164838659892-0.424838659892472
1399.99100.749498354994-0.759498354994449
1499.3999.9363193038181-0.546319303818066
1599.5299.29087360268180.229126397318197
1699.2199.439933536501-0.229933536501051
1799.3899.1108064606170.269193539382968
1899.3799.3031993891720.0668006108279826
1999.3899.29875621386080.0812437861391828
2099.2699.3155144975207-0.0555144975206474
2199.3699.19089651084980.169103489150174
2299.299.304963424787-0.104963424786988
2398.5399.1362320173486-0.606232017348574
2498.6598.41580246289730.234197537102673
2599.1598.55528424068490.59471575931515
26100.1799.10475581247441.06524418752558
2799.98100.213368403399-0.233368403398998
28100.07100.0039555972960.066044402704307
2999.94100.099449516632-0.159449516631952
30100.0599.95618567069330.0938143293067384
3199.13100.073989637974-0.943989637974255
3298.7499.0754636355737-0.33546363557366
3398.6498.6575580133161-0.0175580133160764
3498.4498.5560974458052-0.116097445805238
3598.8198.34643985218210.463560147817901
3698.8898.75500121325640.124998786743546
3799.6398.83539926704120.794600732958813
38100.0899.65149831787160.428501682128399
39100.07100.137143332145-0.0671433321449371
40100.55100.1215579981020.428442001898048
4199.98100.637198047861-0.657198047861144
4299.89100.012528872048-0.122528872048207
4399.8699.9123362787044-0.0523362787044448
4499.6199.8779826729212-0.267982672921221
45100.1299.60569047058060.514309529419364
46100.24100.1584734310260.0815265689744678
47100.1100.285255238043-0.185255238042757
4899.86100.129844737035-0.269844737035044
4997.9999.8673976384486-1.8773976384486
5097.5797.8412258696778-0.271225869677849
5198.2897.39866388124420.881336118755769
5297.9798.1819780357573-0.211978035757269
5397.9997.85434459247030.13565540752974
5497.8497.8856291197879-0.0456291197879324
5597.3397.7318334506133-0.401833450613339
5696.797.188406839517-0.48840683951704
5796.7996.51777860048820.272221399511821
5896.7696.63042340230770.129576597692349
5996.2396.6112022623842-0.381202262384221
6096.2996.04949186158430.240508138415663
6196.4696.1294985882420.330501411758021
6297.2396.3269914267320.903008573267982
6397.5997.17210840952470.417891590475278
6497.1397.5668708208021-0.436870820802113
6597.3797.0705296177390.299470382260964
6696.1297.335441132665-1.21544113266498
6796.9695.98433437316050.975665626839543
6896.796.9054953502235-0.205495350223487
699796.62840117067340.371598829326601
7097.1596.95931270761190.190687292388148
7196.5197.1251750753514-0.61517507535136
7296.6896.43400159049460.245998409505418


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7396.624465026657795.558858618484697.6900714348309
7496.568930053315594.998004188604198.1398559180269
7596.513395079973294.510250494506698.5165396654399
7696.45786010663194.05253839110598.863181822157
7796.402325133288793.609033864631799.1956164019457
7896.346790159946593.172043876563599.5215364433294
7996.291255186604292.737257272068999.8452531011396
8096.23572021326292.3020383738137100.16940205271
8196.180185239919791.8646801778498100.49569030199
8296.124650266577491.4240322623993100.825268270756
8396.069115293235290.9792975244137101.158933062057
8496.013580319892990.5299132164833101.497247423303