Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.984327064331654
beta0.0175907963968444
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1395.387.9230929487187.376907051282
1497.6897.9351502018701-0.255150201870052
1598.5398.9999323270602-0.469932327060206
1698.3298.9630783363422-0.643078336342228
1797.0297.7729904121829-0.752990412182939
1890.1391.1291749550674-0.999174955067417
1988.4990.9540659116604-2.46406591166037
2088.0788.3510261798338-0.28102617983383
2187.1788.115278876332-0.945278876332026
2286.188.1447387373649-2.04473873736487
2386.5986.22198231817420.368017681825819
2485.8991.6851229372161-5.79512293721606
2585.8292.1803254509837-6.36032545098375
2686.6888.1934029829768-1.51340298297676
2786.387.6370665687797-1.33706656877968
2886.3286.3497206490342-0.0297206490342319
2985.6185.37804047932170.231959520678259
3085.5279.3333197948426.186680205158
3185.9785.96634743445910.00365256554087523
3286.685.62715732308590.972842676914112
3386.7886.43752003638890.342479963611126
3484.9887.5619254371992-2.58192543719917
3585.2184.98351657206280.226483427937239
3686.3990.0435959938622-3.65359599386217
3788.3992.50783310686-4.11783310686
3888.8390.7129810736981-1.88298107369815
3995.7689.69798239615156.06201760384855
40100.9895.7447208317315.23527916826903
41102.56100.0812633592182.47873664078234
42102.9296.50197690636846.41802309363159
43104.35103.4303638929480.919636107051701
44105.07104.1884000452120.881599954788484
45105.41105.0778993858470.332100614153347
46105.06106.324903317315-1.26490331731506
47104.33105.288344569258-0.958344569258401
48104.61109.302291668683-4.69229166868303
49104.78110.899789619614-6.11978961961361
50104.38107.297673290986-2.91767329098622
51104.08105.499093707293-1.41909370729344
52103.4104.149851415304-0.749851415303567
53101.72102.429068721229-0.709068721229059
54100.195.59568610800834.50431389199173
55100.37100.3430521583450.0269478416550015
5696.2799.9952086586261-3.72520865862613
5795.2896.0351357009984-0.755135700998409
5895.8595.8617345279584-0.0117345279583674
5996.7695.76002791579340.999972084206604
6097101.373505132658-4.37350513265764
6196.71102.998367982558-6.28836798255793
6296.9799.0135307887093-2.0435307887093
6396.9797.8470451483621-0.877045148362143
6498.0196.79939521672591.21060478327415
6599.1896.80047759331212.37952240668795
6699.5192.93396287459026.5760371254098
6799.1699.5312558383338-0.371255838333823
6899.498.60659457152290.793405428477058
6997.5999.0930579562981-1.50305795629814
7096.7198.1343500385318-1.42435003853177
7196.5696.5728066803266-0.0128066803265909
7296.42101.002406343686-4.58240634368566


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73102.28525956815296.1554984437884108.415020692516
74104.55927494432995.8833629315656113.235186957093
75105.46047086833994.7701236848734116.150818051805
76105.36192258558692.9267819474547117.797063223718
77104.2218153109190.2096213744373118.234009247383
7898.069763361500182.5961528626035113.543373860397
7997.96225517959681.1120806444845114.812429714707
8097.30476772283579.1429564368242115.466579008846
8196.844013436019177.4217536770387116.266273195
8297.261810409843376.6203650381519117.903255781535
8397.044849812754375.2180498148346118.871649810674
84101.33609158638278.3520428178515124.320140354913