| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.364865249555852 |
| beta | 1 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 14.8027 | 7.8057 | 6.997 |
| 4 | 8.42832 | 6.9931243022846 | 1.4351956977154 |
| 5 | 6.80835 | 4.67489252624373 | 2.13345747375627 |
| 6 | 8.82499 | 3.3898567009522 | 5.4351332990478 |
| 7 | 8.76937 | 5.29257891713459 | 3.47679108286541 |
| 8 | 7.69536 | 7.74933035799709 | -0.0539703579970858 |
| 9 | 7.65933 | 8.89813773647788 | -1.23880773647788 |
| 10 | 1.86731 | 9.16264123525445 | -7.29533123525445 |
| 11 | 3.72965 | 4.55551692446531 | -0.825866924465307 |
| 12 | 3.26542 | 2.00754518242997 | 1.25787481757003 |
| 13 | -7.7517 | 0.678813200335009 | -8.43051320033501 |
| 14 | 0.957393 | -7.26087619643094 | 8.21826919643094 |
| 15 | -3.04433 | -6.12744260792685 | 3.08311260792685 |
| 16 | -12.5655 | -5.74272855849566 | -6.82277144150434 |
| 17 | -6.9441 | -11.4617195694985 | 4.51761956949854 |
| 18 | -6.8168 | -11.3946735925874 | 4.57787359258742 |
| 19 | -8.56987 | -9.63533602571068 | 1.06546602571068 |
| 20 | -4.46034 | -8.76880239490007 | 4.30846239490007 |
| 21 | -11.229 | -5.14700387761924 | -6.08199612238076 |
| 22 | -3.03305 | -7.53543163323599 | 4.50238163323599 |
| 23 | -9.87928 | -4.41922515944988 | -5.46005484055012 |
| 24 | -4.30931 | -6.93014982784203 | 2.62083982784203 |
| 25 | -2.82241 | -5.53638346858522 | 2.71397346858522 |
| 26 | -2.62636 | -3.11840127335329 | 0.492041273353292 |
| 27 | -4.92814 | -1.33159616103702 | -3.59654383896298 |
| 28 | -2.61029 | -2.34882754139815 | -0.261462458601846 |
| 29 | -6.89788 | -2.244602186832 | -4.653277813168 |
| 30 | -7.6867 | -5.4406170081671 | -2.2460829918329 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 31 | -8.57784772162448 | -17.4055783605875 | 0.249882917338542 |
| 32 | -10.8955608037436 | -21.8238014536811 | 0.0326798461939237 |
| 33 | -13.2132738858627 | -27.8008054970669 | 1.37425772534151 |
| 34 | -15.5309869679818 | -34.9934261877539 | 3.93145225179028 |
| 35 | -17.8487000501009 | -43.1102644724343 | 7.41286437223245 |
| 36 | -20.1664131322201 | -51.9724687865046 | 11.6396425220644 |
| 37 | -22.4841262143392 | -61.4709312357433 | 16.502678807065 |
| 38 | -24.8018392964583 | -71.5344062415636 | 21.930727648647 |
| 39 | -27.1195523785774 | -82.1128203895182 | 27.8737156323634 |
| 40 | -29.4372654606965 | -93.1687326746613 | 34.2942017532683 |
| 41 | -31.7549785428156 | -104.672759509996 | 41.1628024243648 |
| 42 | -34.0726916249347 | -116.600971251113 | 48.4555880012435 |
