Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3035 | 3115.34334306844 | 887.666614965186 | 2066.99004196637 | 80.3433430684418 |
2 | 2552 | 2193.61578159688 | 824.031707542132 | 2086.35251086099 | -358.384218403123 |
3 | 2704 | 2628.88873474451 | 673.396285499876 | 2105.71497975561 | -75.1112652554862 |
4 | 2554 | 2781.24658594868 | 204.214777287036 | 2122.53863676428 | 227.246585948685 |
5 | 2014 | 2144.77096537567 | -256.133259148624 | 2139.36229377295 | 130.770965375675 |
6 | 1655 | 1604.26952146982 | -448.956932022768 | 2154.68741055295 | -50.7304785301835 |
7 | 1721 | 1775.10153131766 | -503.114058650611 | 2170.01252733295 | 54.1015313176586 |
8 | 1524 | 1507.31325054479 | -644.040812524619 | 2184.72756197983 | -16.6867494552143 |
9 | 1596 | 1646.02498241997 | -653.467579046684 | 2199.44259662671 | 50.0249824199705 |
10 | 2074 | 2300.5835345124 | -356.777409387961 | 2204.19387487556 | 226.583534512396 |
11 | 2199 | 2357.80872960899 | -168.753882733405 | 2208.94515312442 | 158.808729608989 |
12 | 2512 | 2377.43417358628 | 441.93444093906 | 2204.63138547466 | -134.565826413723 |
13 | 2933 | 2778.0157672099 | 887.666614965186 | 2200.31761782491 | -154.984232790096 |
14 | 2889 | 2763.37808581644 | 824.031707542132 | 2190.59020664143 | -125.62191418356 |
15 | 2938 | 3021.74091904218 | 673.396285499876 | 2180.86279545795 | 83.7409190421777 |
16 | 2497 | 2617.02706178795 | 204.214777287036 | 2172.75816092501 | 120.027061787952 |
17 | 1870 | 1831.47973275655 | -256.133259148624 | 2164.65352639208 | -38.5202672434534 |
18 | 1726 | 1729.66266858411 | -448.956932022768 | 2171.29426343866 | 3.66266858410791 |
19 | 1607 | 1539.17905816537 | -503.114058650611 | 2177.93500048524 | -67.820941834631 |
20 | 1545 | 1535.9189326875 | -644.040812524619 | 2198.12187983712 | -9.08106731250473 |
21 | 1396 | 1227.15881985768 | -653.467579046684 | 2218.308759189 | -168.84118014232 |
22 | 1787 | 1707.78063998311 | -356.777409387961 | 2222.99676940485 | -79.2193600168875 |
23 | 2076 | 2093.06910311271 | -168.753882733405 | 2227.68477962069 | 17.0691031127135 |
24 | 2837 | 3013.86886557275 | 441.93444093906 | 2218.19669348819 | 176.868865572751 |
25 | 2787 | 2477.62477767913 | 887.666614965186 | 2208.70860735568 | -309.37522232087 |
26 | 3891 | 4765.2710128477 | 824.031707542132 | 2192.69727961017 | 874.271012847698 |
27 | 3179 | 3507.91776263547 | 673.396285499876 | 2176.68595186466 | 328.917762635469 |
28 | 2011 | 1657.07545851335 | 204.214777287036 | 2160.70976419961 | -353.924541486647 |
29 | 1636 | 1383.39968261406 | -256.133259148624 | 2144.73357653457 | -252.600317385941 |
30 | 1580 | 1485.22175549227 | -448.956932022768 | 2123.7351765305 | -94.7782445077323 |
31 | 1489 | 1378.37728212418 | -503.114058650611 | 2102.73677652644 | -110.622717875824 |
32 | 1300 | 1171.81715106673 | -644.040812524619 | 2072.22366145789 | -128.182848933268 |
33 | 1356 | 1323.75703265735 | -653.467579046684 | 2041.71054638934 | -32.2429673426543 |
34 | 1653 | 1635.14503066836 | -356.777409387961 | 2027.6323787196 | -17.8549693316422 |
35 | 2013 | 2181.19967168354 | -168.753882733405 | 2013.55421104987 | 168.199671683538 |
36 | 2823 | 3189.33518396582 | 441.93444093906 | 2014.73037509512 | 366.335183965824 |
37 | 3102 | 3300.42684589445 | 887.666614965186 | 2015.90653914036 | 198.42684589445 |
38 | 2294 | 1751.12542567914 | 824.031707542132 | 2012.84286677873 | -542.874574320862 |
39 | 2385 | 2086.82452008303 | 673.396285499876 | 2009.7791944171 | -298.175479916972 |
40 | 2444 | 2688.13769213064 | 204.214777287036 | 1995.64753058233 | 244.137692130639 |
41 | 1748 | 1770.61739240107 | -256.133259148624 | 1981.51586674755 | 22.6173924010691 |
42 | 1554 | 1587.17753990269 | -448.956932022768 | 1969.77939212008 | 33.1775399026862 |
43 | 1498 | 1541.071141158 | -503.114058650611 | 1958.04291749261 | 43.071141158003 |
44 | 1361 | 1402.83845051849 | -644.040812524619 | 1963.20236200612 | 41.8384505184947 |
45 | 1346 | 1377.10577252704 | -653.467579046684 | 1968.36180651964 | 31.1057725270439 |
46 | 1564 | 1512.40256177327 | -356.777409387961 | 1972.37484761469 | -51.5974382267291 |
47 | 1640 | 1472.36599402367 | -168.753882733405 | 1976.38788870974 | -167.634005976334 |
48 | 2293 | 2165.99987302472 | 441.93444093906 | 1978.06568603622 | -127.000126975276 |
49 | 2815 | 2762.58990167212 | 887.666614965186 | 1979.74348336269 | -52.410098327879 |
50 | 3137 | 3464.87956362483 | 824.031707542132 | 1985.08872883304 | 327.879563624831 |
51 | 2679 | 2694.16974019674 | 673.396285499876 | 1990.43397430338 | 15.1697401967424 |
52 | 1969 | 1740.69650193974 | 204.214777287036 | 1993.08872077322 | -228.303498060255 |
53 | 1870 | 2000.38979190557 | -256.133259148624 | 1995.74346724306 | 130.389791905567 |
54 | 1633 | 1719.65192084968 | -448.956932022768 | 1995.30501117309 | 86.6519208496759 |
55 | 1529 | 1566.24750354748 | -503.114058650611 | 1994.86655510313 | 37.247503547484 |
56 | 1366 | 1388.37673691079 | -644.040812524619 | 1987.66407561383 | 22.3767369107882 |
57 | 1357 | 1387.00598292215 | -653.467579046684 | 1980.46159612453 | 30.00598292215 |
58 | 1570 | 1523.99103667077 | -356.777409387961 | 1972.78637271719 | -46.0089633292339 |
59 | 1535 | 1273.64273342355 | -168.753882733405 | 1965.11114930986 | -261.35726657645 |
60 | 2491 | 2582.22897523143 | 441.93444093906 | 1957.83658382951 | 91.228975231425 |
61 | 3084 | 3329.77136668564 | 887.666614965186 | 1950.56201834917 | 245.77136668564 |
62 | 2605 | 2437.29993528299 | 824.031707542132 | 1948.66835717488 | -167.700064717011 |
63 | 2573 | 2525.82901849954 | 673.396285499876 | 1946.77469600058 | -47.1709815004599 |
64 | 2143 | 2144.08068291374 | 204.214777287036 | 1937.70453979922 | 1.08068291374207 |
65 | 1693 | 1713.49887555076 | -256.133259148624 | 1928.63438359786 | 20.4988755507643 |
66 | 1504 | 1544.08336722739 | -448.956932022768 | 1912.87356479538 | 40.0833672273884 |
67 | 1461 | 1528.00131265771 | -503.114058650611 | 1897.1127459929 | 67.0013126577121 |
68 | 1354 | 1471.25141929778 | -644.040812524619 | 1880.78939322684 | 117.251419297776 |
69 | 1333 | 1455.0015385859 | -653.467579046684 | 1864.46604046079 | 122.001538585899 |
70 | 1492 | 1493.40475790119 | -356.777409387961 | 1847.37265148677 | 1.40475790119126 |
71 | 1781 | 1900.47462022065 | -168.753882733405 | 1830.27926251275 | 119.474620220652 |
72 | 1915 | 1576.27842430964 | 441.93444093906 | 1811.7871347513 | -338.721575690357 |