Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.0540003928280715
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2-2.4680.7923-3.2603
3-2.9960.616242519262638-3.61224251926264
43.1190.4211800042321932.69781999576781
50.043150.566863343783081-0.523713343783081
60.7310.5385826174894920.192417382510508
72.450.5489732317320081.90102676826799
82.1190.6516294239951591.46737057600484
9-1.4290.730868011523774-2.15986801152377
10-1.6440.614234290444705-2.2582342904447
11-3.0650.492288751662869-3.55728875166287
12-1.4610.300193761670194-1.76119376167019
131.1410.2050886066936550.935911393306345
141.3290.2556281895844651.07337181041553
150.33960.3135906889974820.0260093110025177
160.84290.3149952020088060.527904797991194
172.2250.3435022684761541.88149773152385
18-1.9240.445103885083567-2.36910388508357
190.49990.3171713446385440.182728655361456
20-0.64330.327038763809008-0.970338763809008


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
210.274640089387016-3.59470084891174.14398102768573
220.274640089387016-3.600338323292364.14961850206639
230.274640089387016-3.605967607954734.15524778672876
240.274640089387016-3.611588738487744.16086891726177
250.274640089387016-3.617201750223324.16648192899736
260.274640089387016-3.622806678238994.17208685701302
270.274640089387016-3.628403557360384.17768373613441
280.274640089387016-3.63399242216384.18327260093783
290.274640089387016-3.63957330697874.18885348575273
300.274640089387016-3.645146245890164.19442642466419
310.274640089387016-3.650711272741284.19999145151531
320.274640089387016-3.656268421135624.20554859990965