Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
591535-------
602491-------
6130840-4260.43844260.43840.0780.12590.12590.1259
6226050-4260.43844260.43840.11540.0780.0780.1259
6325730-4260.43844260.43840.11830.11540.11540.1259
6421430-4260.43844260.43840.16210.11830.11830.1259
6516930-4260.43844260.43840.2180.16210.16210.1259
6615040-4260.43844260.43840.24450.2180.2180.1259
6714610-4260.43844260.43840.25080.24450.24450.1259
6813540-4260.43844260.43840.26670.25080.25080.1259
6913330-4260.43844260.43840.26990.26670.26670.1259
7014920-4260.43844260.43840.24620.26990.26990.1259
7117810-4260.43844260.43840.20630.24620.24620.1259
7219150-4260.43844260.43840.18920.20630.20630.1259


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
61Inf11295110560014.540914.5409
62Inf11267860258148540.52854.564912.282513.4117
63Inf11266203297639136.66672763.898812.131612.985
64Inf11245924496877464.752622.492110.104212.2648
65Inf11228662496075221.62464.79657.982411.4083
66Inf11222620165439687.33332332.31377.091310.6888
67Inf11221345214967520.71432228.79366.888610.1459
68Inf11218333164575745.1252139.09916.38419.6757
69Inf11217768894264761.11112065.12986.2859.2989
70Inf11222260644060891.42015.16547.03479.0725
71Inf11231719613980079.54551995.01378.39739.0111
72Inf11236672253954008.33331988.46889.02919.0126