| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.1941 | -0.5065 | 0.3124 | -0.9798 | -0.9675 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0129 ) | (0.0235 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1453 | -0.0457 | 0 | 0.5037 | -1.1959 |
| (p-val) | (0.6835 ) | (0.8286 ) | (NA ) | (0.1372 ) | (0.0499 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1842 | 0 | 0 | 0.5525 | -1.1345 |
| (p-val) | (0.5458 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0236 ) | (0.0962 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4068 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0049 ) | (0.1258 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2095 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.2973 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.51199822816355 |
| -99.8330426289464 |
| 357.141936908044 |
| 159.238437220973 |
| -90.3602108362018 |
| -125.068840528182 |
| 97.2029151224329 |
| -134.364784255572 |
| 49.1504916842264 |
| -210.297419198496 |
| -242.941016972121 |
| -72.1019234251681 |
| 340.105926821397 |
| -217.254898510222 |
| 1047.51663032757 |
| 21.5369289653023 |
| -490.512158026458 |
| -131.233799002628 |
| -118.505474644677 |
| -93.1721598999247 |
| -225.479690961873 |
| 7.23978980550214 |
| -135.516793584331 |
| -34.6081531922894 |
| -6.74931646665755 |
| 316.414035516261 |
| -1663.2912587184 |
| -445.527243486986 |
| 526.34150337517 |
| 1.72726599328439 |
| -26.3618759725671 |
| 14.5230228252944 |
| 57.9573111321879 |
| -22.1425179531561 |
| -84.3609662608217 |
| -355.325706155841 |
| -455.55643659219 |
| -191.557300848893 |
| 883.13277909513 |
| 108.976654097609 |
| -497.831476357436 |
| 226.299656440742 |
| 31.588420900729 |
| 24.3819744152013 |
| -0.108217691375103 |
| 11.0226724676265 |
| 3.69066239072663 |
| -105.773223144121 |
| 220.160332077196 |
| 222.87465821658 |
| -578.694014712415 |
| 15.2410017953198 |
| 170.806888823713 |
| -212.785402627363 |
| -84.4197646319487 |
| -50.3133874291252 |
| -1.4589448991369 |
| -23.6943394321722 |
| -73.0358473103224 |
| 261.301591289611 |
| -630.744763023698 |
