| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3783 | -0.2154 | 0.2483 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0063 ) | (0.1351 ) | (0.0688 ) | (0.0198 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3063 | 0 | 0.1791 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.0188 ) | (NA ) | (0.1727 ) | (0.0016 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2961 | 0 | 0 | -1.0011 |
| (p-val) | (0.0249 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0571 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.0849 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.5171 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.51199853072912 |
| -101.63204101167 |
| 345.658829450542 |
| 205.391906633097 |
| -76.8643734322115 |
| -139.161242367254 |
| 83.2242298039808 |
| -120.027224416272 |
| 30.677515261884 |
| -201.782700177471 |
| -270.021903045458 |
| -98.6364308736273 |
| 335.441529621131 |
| -173.589407545883 |
| 1014.39401077477 |
| 155.939734271803 |
| -506.458606826842 |
| -192.743224407282 |
| -126.135626566469 |
| -105.605989225233 |
| -234.982922798476 |
| -19.2018312341236 |
| -130.604380609653 |
| -51.624675042337 |
| -8.65189946020337 |
| 316.188466786622 |
| -1623.74050269898 |
| -658.42989584039 |
| 500.403044898391 |
| 75.2424200994919 |
| -35.5077342929721 |
| 11.2071526037257 |
| 60.2359856371718 |
| -15.1783195702794 |
| -88.1510951524133 |
| -365.444746856478 |
| -498.335849185013 |
| -242.0080430779 |
| 867.363569125741 |
| 222.437321348434 |
| -499.957802519052 |
| 162.322980260373 |
| 68.6433608594411 |
| 24.2936517040644 |
| 2.36839497248093 |
| 10.5755475762066 |
| 5.06620466765457 |
| -105.509342908552 |
| 206.913500899661 |
| 252.191684017781 |
| -554.835540400084 |
| -60.8382621083829 |
| 182.99839138442 |
| -191.77094434801 |
| -113.974384197714 |
| -57.0491274661304 |
| -6.22744703640979 |
| -22.9813141828959 |
| -75.9626283657917 |
| 252.621457811177 |
| -596.883059250635 |
