Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
59	1535	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	2491	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	3084	2740.146	2073.724	3406.5681	0.1559	0.7681	0.7681	0.7681
62	2605	2711.526	1774.9236	3648.1285	0.4118	0.2179	0.2179	0.6778
63	2573	2579.0742	1474.9973	3683.1511	0.4957	0.4816	0.4816	0.5621
64	2143	2398.3341	1228.5142	3568.154	0.3344	0.3849	0.3849	0.4383
65	1693	2090.9074	918.9108	3262.9039	0.2529	0.4653	0.4653	0.2517
66	1504	1855.6022	670.4182	3040.7862	0.2805	0.606	0.606	0.1467
67	1461	1861.956	654.8715	3069.0406	0.2575	0.7195	0.7195	0.1535
68	1354	1954.9073	735.9202	3173.8945	0.167	0.7864	0.7864	0.1943
69	1333	1982.3032	756.4805	3208.1259	0.1496	0.8425	0.8425	0.208
70	1492	2045.6899	818.8812	3272.4985	0.1882	0.8726	0.8726	0.2384
71	1781	2188.1984	959.1287	3417.2682	0.2581	0.8665	0.8665	0.3146
72	1915	2245.8307	1007.9348	3483.7266	0.3002	0.7691	0.7691	0.3489

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
61	0.1241	0.1115	0.1115	0.1181	118235.5414	0	0	1.6213	1.6213
62	0.1762	-0.0409	0.0762	0.0791	11347.7919	64791.6666	254.5421	-0.5023	1.0618
63	0.2184	-0.0024	0.0516	0.0535	36.8958	43206.743	207.8623	-0.0286	0.7174
64	0.2489	-0.1191	0.0685	0.0682	65195.4988	48703.932	220.6897	-1.2039	0.839
65	0.286	-0.235	0.1018	0.0967	158330.2699	70629.1995	265.7615	-1.8761	1.0464
66	0.3259	-0.2338	0.1238	0.1154	123624.116	79461.6856	281.8895	-1.6578	1.1483
67	0.3308	-0.2744	0.1453	0.1334	160765.7431	91076.551	301.7889	-1.8905	1.2544
68	0.3181	-0.4438	0.1826	0.1621	361089.6219	124828.1848	353.3103	-2.8333	1.4517
69	0.3155	-0.4871	0.2164	0.1876	421594.6847	157802.2404	397.2433	-3.0614	1.6306
70	0.306	-0.3711	0.2319	0.2002	306572.4525	172679.2616	415.5469	-2.6106	1.7286
71	0.2866	-0.2286	0.2316	0.2006	165810.5698	172054.8351	414.7949	-1.9199	1.746
72	0.2812	-0.1728	0.2267	0.1972	109448.9561	166837.6785	408.4577	-1.5599	1.7305