Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 14724 | NA | NA | 1.13387 | NA |
2 | 14404 | NA | NA | 0.998657 | NA |
3 | 14058 | NA | NA | 0.960656 | NA |
4 | 13427 | NA | NA | 0.768845 | NA |
5 | 19946 | NA | NA | 1.03485 | NA |
6 | 19631 | NA | NA | 1.17086 | NA |
7 | 14724 | 13912.4 | 14191.2 | 0.980359 | 1.05833 |
8 | 11462 | 11933.9 | 14109.5 | 0.845804 | 0.960457 |
9 | 11778 | 12758.1 | 13960.7 | 0.913857 | 0.923181 |
10 | 11778 | 13616.7 | 13783.8 | 0.987875 | 0.864969 |
11 | 12093 | 14072.8 | 13756 | 1.02303 | 0.859316 |
12 | 12760 | 16459.5 | 13932.9 | 1.18134 | 0.775237 |
13 | 13742 | 16091.2 | 14191.4 | 1.13387 | 0.854007 |
14 | 13427 | 14430.5 | 14449.9 | 0.998657 | 0.930459 |
15 | 11462 | 14156.4 | 14736.2 | 0.960656 | 0.809668 |
16 | 11778 | 11571.3 | 15050.3 | 0.768845 | 1.01786 |
17 | 20929 | 15971 | 15433.1 | 1.03485 | 1.31044 |
18 | 22893 | 18629.2 | 15910.7 | 1.17086 | 1.22888 |
19 | 17666 | 16079.2 | 16401.4 | 0.980359 | 1.09868 |
20 | 14724 | 14160.2 | 16741.7 | 0.845804 | 1.03982 |
21 | 15387 | 15585.2 | 17054.3 | 0.913857 | 0.987283 |
22 | 15707 | 17062.5 | 17271.9 | 0.987875 | 0.920559 |
23 | 17351 | 17823.4 | 17422.2 | 1.02303 | 0.973495 |
24 | 18964 | 20985.1 | 17763.9 | 1.18134 | 0.903687 |
25 | 19315 | 20466.6 | 18050.2 | 1.13387 | 0.943735 |
26 | 16022 | 18202.6 | 18227.1 | 0.998657 | 0.880204 |
27 | 16369 | 17731.8 | 18458 | 0.960656 | 0.923144 |
28 | 12093 | 14453 | 18798.3 | 0.768845 | 0.836712 |
29 | 24222 | 19932.5 | 19261.2 | 1.03485 | 1.2152 |
30 | 27800 | 23254.9 | 19861.4 | 1.17086 | 1.19545 |
31 | 19631 | 20126.9 | 20530.1 | 0.980359 | 0.975362 |
32 | 17004 | 17952.3 | 21225.1 | 0.845804 | 0.947177 |
33 | 18649 | 20018.7 | 21905.7 | 0.913857 | 0.931581 |
34 | 20613 | 22191.3 | 22463.6 | 0.987875 | 0.928879 |
35 | 23555 | 23384.5 | 22858.1 | 1.02303 | 1.00729 |
36 | 27164 | 27405.2 | 23198.5 | 1.18134 | 0.991198 |
37 | 27164 | 26938.1 | 23757.7 | 1.13387 | 1.00839 |
38 | 24853 | 24393.6 | 24426.4 | 0.998657 | 1.01883 |
39 | 23871 | 24002.6 | 24985.7 | 0.960656 | 0.994516 |
40 | 17982 | 19618.7 | 25517.1 | 0.768845 | 0.916574 |
41 | 27800 | 26985.2 | 26076.4 | 1.03485 | 1.03019 |
42 | 32391 | 31217.8 | 26662.3 | 1.17086 | 1.03758 |
43 | 28462 | 26618.6 | 27151.9 | 0.980359 | 1.06925 |
44 | 24222 | 23311.2 | 27561 | 0.845804 | 1.03907 |
45 | 24853 | 25624.6 | 28040.1 | 0.913857 | 0.969887 |
46 | 27164 | 28239.8 | 28586.4 | 0.987875 | 0.961906 |
47 | 30426 | 29733.3 | 29064 | 1.02303 | 1.0233 |
48 | 34355 | 34801.8 | 29459.7 | 1.18134 | 0.987161 |
49 | 31724 | 33867.2 | 29868.7 | 1.13387 | 0.936718 |
50 | 30111 | 30237.1 | 30277.8 | 0.998657 | 0.995829 |
51 | 30111 | 29506 | 30714.5 | 0.960656 | 1.0205 |
52 | 24853 | 24065.1 | 31300.4 | 0.768845 | 1.03274 |
53 | 32391 | 33082.3 | 31968.2 | 1.03485 | 0.979103 |
54 | 37297 | 38133 | 32568.4 | 1.17086 | 0.978077 |
55 | 33373 | 32489.9 | 33140.8 | 0.980359 | 1.02718 |
56 | 29129 | 28422.3 | 33603.9 | 0.845804 | 1.02486 |
57 | 30426 | 30995 | 33916.7 | 0.913857 | 0.981642 |
58 | 35653 | 33667.2 | 34080.4 | 0.987875 | 1.05898 |
59 | 37964 | 34823.3 | 34039.5 | 1.02303 | 1.09019 |
60 | 41222 | 40082.6 | 33929.8 | 1.18134 | 1.02843 |
61 | 38595 | 38271.5 | 33753 | 1.13387 | 1.00845 |
62 | 34355 | 33462.6 | 33507.6 | 0.998657 | 1.02667 |
63 | 33373 | 32071.5 | 33385 | 0.960656 | 1.04058 |
64 | 25520 | 25594.9 | 33290.1 | 0.768845 | 0.997073 |
65 | 30742 | 34266 | 33112 | 1.03485 | 0.897158 |
66 | 36315 | 38641.3 | 33002.5 | 1.17086 | 0.939797 |
67 | 30111 | 32328.5 | 32976.2 | 0.980359 | 0.931407 |
68 | 26502 | 27787.6 | 32853.5 | 0.845804 | 0.953735 |
69 | 30111 | 29885.8 | 32702.9 | 0.913857 | 1.00754 |
70 | 33689 | 32293.4 | 32689.7 | 0.987875 | 1.04322 |
71 | 35653 | 33499.4 | 32745.3 | 1.02303 | 1.06429 |
72 | 40906 | 38700.6 | 32760 | 1.18134 | 1.05699 |
73 | 38280 | 37160.4 | 32773.1 | 1.13387 | 1.03013 |
74 | 31724 | 32782.9 | 32827 | 0.998657 | 0.967699 |
75 | 32391 | 31574.6 | 32867.7 | 0.960656 | 1.02586 |
76 | 26186 | 25301.6 | 32908.6 | 0.768845 | 1.03495 |
77 | 31409 | 33999.5 | 32854.5 | 1.03485 | 0.923806 |
78 | 36000 | 38403.2 | 32799.2 | 1.17086 | 0.937421 |
79 | 30742 | 32261.1 | 32907.5 | 0.980359 | 0.952911 |
80 | 27164 | 28018.6 | 33126.5 | 0.845804 | 0.9695 |
81 | 30426 | 30510.3 | 33386.3 | 0.913857 | 0.997235 |
82 | 34355 | 33196.3 | 33603.8 | 0.987875 | 1.0349 |
83 | 33689 | 34529.9 | 33752.6 | 1.02303 | 0.975647 |
84 | 41542 | 40097.7 | 33942.6 | 1.18134 | 1.03602 |
85 | 40244 | 38811.2 | 34229 | 1.13387 | 1.03692 |
86 | 35017 | 34510 | 34556.5 | 0.998657 | 1.01469 |
87 | 35333 | 33602.5 | 34978.7 | 0.960656 | 1.0515 |
88 | 28462 | 27239.1 | 35428.5 | 0.768845 | 1.0449 |
89 | 32706 | 37016.9 | 35770.2 | 1.03485 | 0.883543 |
90 | 39262 | 42329.9 | 36152.8 | 1.17086 | 0.927525 |
91 | 34355 | 35870.8 | 36589.5 | 0.980359 | 0.957743 |
92 | 31409 | 31247.8 | 36944.5 | 0.845804 | 1.00516 |
93 | 36315 | 33986.4 | 37190 | 0.913857 | 1.06852 |
94 | 39262 | 36873.5 | 37326.1 | 0.987875 | 1.06478 |
95 | 36982 | 38297.8 | 37435.7 | 1.02303 | 0.965643 |
96 | 47431 | 44225.8 | 37437 | 1.18134 | 1.07247 |
97 | 44835 | 42325.8 | 37328.7 | 1.13387 | 1.05928 |
98 | 38946 | 37292.8 | 37342.9 | 0.998657 | 1.04433 |
99 | 37297 | 36030.8 | 37506.4 | 0.960656 | 1.03514 |
100 | 29764 | 28982.7 | 37696.4 | 0.768845 | 1.02696 |
101 | 34035 | 39235.4 | 37914 | 1.03485 | 0.867457 |
102 | 37964 | 44726.9 | 38200.1 | 1.17086 | 0.848795 |
103 | 33053 | 37756.2 | 38512.7 | 0.980359 | 0.875432 |
104 | 33053 | 32838.6 | 38825.3 | 0.845804 | 1.00653 |
105 | 38595 | 35754.5 | 39124.8 | 0.913857 | 1.07945 |
106 | 41542 | 38892.9 | 39370.2 | 0.987875 | 1.06811 |
107 | 39924 | 40444.2 | 39533.7 | 1.02303 | 0.987139 |
108 | 51355 | 46894.4 | 39696 | 1.18134 | 1.09512 |
109 | 48413 | 45301.7 | 39953.2 | 1.13387 | 1.06868 |
110 | 42871 | 40156.7 | 40210.7 | 0.998657 | 1.06759 |
111 | 40560 | 38798.7 | 40387.7 | 0.960656 | 1.0454 |
112 | 32391 | 31188.8 | 40565.8 | 0.768845 | 1.03854 |
113 | 35333 | 42092.9 | 40675.2 | 1.03485 | 0.839406 |
114 | 40560 | 47561.7 | 40621.2 | 1.17086 | 0.852787 |
115 | 36631 | NA | NA | 0.980359 | NA |
116 | 35653 | NA | NA | 0.845804 | NA |
117 | 40244 | NA | NA | 0.913857 | NA |
118 | 44168 | NA | NA | 0.987875 | NA |
119 | 39924 | NA | NA | 1.02303 | NA |
120 | 50057 | NA | NA | 1.18134 | NA |