Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 181896 | NA | NA | 2386.82 | NA |
2 | 181580 | NA | NA | -265.476 | NA |
3 | 181234 | NA | NA | 1304.64 | NA |
4 | 180598 | NA | NA | -1251.18 | NA |
5 | 187123 | NA | NA | 7281.42 | NA |
6 | 186807 | NA | NA | 10160.5 | NA |
7 | 181896 | 178085 | 181394 | -3309.18 | 3811.26 |
8 | 178638 | 177913 | 181299 | -3385.83 | 724.916 |
9 | 178954 | 182403 | 181232 | 1171.18 | -3448.68 |
10 | 178954 | 178413 | 181218 | -2804.9 | 540.564 |
11 | 179269 | 173605 | 181109 | -7504.11 | 5664.24 |
12 | 179936 | 177271 | 181055 | -3783.87 | 2665.29 |
13 | 181580 | 183292 | 180906 | 2386.82 | -1712.32 |
14 | 179616 | 180313 | 180578 | -265.476 | -696.816 |
15 | 181580 | 181664 | 180359 | 1304.64 | -83.686 |
16 | 179936 | 178957 | 180208 | -1251.18 | 978.726 |
17 | 185158 | 187231 | 179950 | 7281.42 | -2073.17 |
18 | 187469 | 189742 | 179582 | 10160.5 | -2273.12 |
19 | 177656 | 175985 | 179294 | -3309.18 | 1671.14 |
20 | 175025 | 175771 | 179157 | -3385.83 | -746.167 |
21 | 177305 | 180191 | 179020 | 1171.18 | -2886.14 |
22 | 176989 | 176091 | 178896 | -2804.9 | 898.022 |
23 | 175025 | 171297 | 178801 | -7504.11 | 3728.24 |
24 | 175345 | 174813 | 178596 | -3783.87 | 532.416 |
25 | 179269 | 180627 | 178240 | 2386.82 | -1357.98 |
26 | 178638 | 177646 | 177912 | -265.476 | 991.851 |
27 | 179269 | 179094 | 177789 | 1304.64 | 175.356 |
28 | 179269 | 176430 | 177681 | -1251.18 | 2839.35 |
29 | 183545 | 184691 | 177409 | 7281.42 | -1145.58 |
30 | 184176 | 187270 | 177110 | 10160.5 | -3094.2 |
31 | 172398 | 173555 | 176864 | -3309.18 | -1157.15 |
32 | 172398 | 173178 | 176564 | -3385.83 | -779.792 |
33 | 176989 | 177339 | 176168 | 1171.18 | -350.098 |
34 | 174709 | 172751 | 175556 | -2804.9 | 1957.98 |
35 | 170785 | 167343 | 174847 | -7504.11 | 3441.69 |
36 | 172398 | 170463 | 174247 | -3783.87 | 1934.83 |
37 | 176327 | 176020 | 173634 | 2386.82 | 306.643 |
38 | 174363 | 172700 | 172966 | -265.476 | 1662.52 |
39 | 174047 | 173672 | 172367 | 1304.64 | 375.272 |
40 | 169803 | 170544 | 171795 | -1251.18 | -740.524 |
41 | 176007 | 178353 | 171072 | 7281.42 | -2346.17 |
42 | 177305 | 180456 | 170296 | 10160.5 | -3151.5 |
43 | 164545 | 166211 | 169520 | -3309.18 | -1666.07 |
44 | 164229 | 165426 | 168812 | -3385.83 | -1196.88 |
45 | 170785 | 169315 | 168144 | 1171.18 | 1469.69 |
46 | 167176 | 164616 | 167421 | -2804.9 | 2559.73 |
47 | 160967 | 159289 | 166793 | -7504.11 | 1677.74 |
48 | 163598 | 162410 | 166193 | -3783.87 | 1188.5 |
49 | 166509 | 167859 | 165472 | 2386.82 | -1349.69 |
50 | 167176 | 164390 | 164655 | -265.476 | 2786.06 |
51 | 165212 | 165006 | 163702 | 1304.64 | 205.606 |
52 | 161287 | 161238 | 162489 | -1251.18 | 48.8511 |
53 | 169456 | 168367 | 161086 | 7281.42 | 1088.96 |
54 | 169456 | 169787 | 159627 | 10160.5 | -331.079 |
55 | 155078 | 154928 | 158238 | -3309.18 | 149.638 |
56 | 154101 | 153354 | 156740 | -3385.83 | 746.666 |
57 | 158025 | 156195 | 155024 | 1171.18 | 1830.11 |
58 | 150838 | 150406 | 153211 | -2804.9 | 431.939 |
59 | 143616 | 143799 | 151303 | -7504.11 | -183.098 |
60 | 145932 | 145598 | 149382 | -3783.87 | 333.583 |
61 | 150838 | 149862 | 147475 | 2386.82 | 976.434 |
62 | 146910 | 145328 | 145594 | -265.476 | 1581.98 |
63 | 144283 | 144989 | 143684 | 1304.64 | -706.103 |
64 | 138710 | 140429 | 141681 | -1251.18 | -1719.44 |
65 | 146247 | 146850 | 139569 | 7281.42 | -603.042 |
66 | 146563 | 147602 | 137442 | 10160.5 | -1039.45 |
67 | 132190 | 132059 | 135368 | -3309.18 | 131.263 |
68 | 131839 | 129854 | 133240 | -3385.83 | 1984.83 |
69 | 134470 | 132326 | 131154 | 1171.18 | 2144.36 |
70 | 126301 | 126373 | 129178 | -2804.9 | -72.436 |
71 | 117465 | 119752 | 127256 | -7504.11 | -2287.01 |
72 | 121043 | 121646 | 125430 | -3783.87 | -603.376 |
73 | 125950 | 125977 | 123590 | 2386.82 | -26.7323 |
74 | 120728 | 121280 | 121545 | -265.476 | -551.649 |
75 | 120412 | 120656 | 119351 | 1304.64 | -243.894 |
76 | 115154 | 115864 | 117115 | -1251.18 | -709.774 |
77 | 123670 | 122119 | 114838 | 7281.42 | 1550.83 |
78 | 125319 | 122682 | 112521 | 10160.5 | 2637.38 |
79 | 109266 | 106895 | 110205 | -3309.18 | 2370.51 |
80 | 105688 | 104475 | 107860 | -3385.83 | 1213.42 |
81 | 107968 | 106687 | 105516 | 1171.18 | 1280.82 |
82 | 99132 | 100476 | 103281 | -2804.9 | -1344.35 |
83 | 89981 | 93583.5 | 101088 | -7504.11 | -3602.47 |
84 | 92928 | 95067.6 | 98851.5 | -3783.87 | -2139.58 |
85 | 98470 | 98825.3 | 96438.5 | 2386.82 | -355.316 |
86 | 91946 | 93706 | 93971.5 | -265.476 | -1759.98 |
87 | 92928 | 92957.9 | 91653.3 | 1304.64 | -29.936 |
88 | 89004 | 88111.8 | 89363 | -1251.18 | 892.226 |
89 | 97172 | 94354.3 | 87072.8 | 7281.42 | 2817.75 |
90 | 98150 | 94969.7 | 84809.2 | 10160.5 | 3180.34 |
91 | 78524 | 79304.8 | 82614 | -3309.18 | -780.82 |
92 | 77221 | 77019.7 | 80405.5 | -3385.83 | 201.333 |
93 | 80799 | 79217.8 | 78046.6 | 1171.18 | 1581.19 |
94 | 71333 | 72704.7 | 75509.6 | -2804.9 | -1371.69 |
95 | 62817 | 65319.2 | 72823.3 | -7504.11 | -2502.22 |
96 | 65764 | 66367.9 | 70151.8 | -3783.87 | -603.876 |
97 | 72950 | 69893.4 | 67506.6 | 2386.82 | 3056.6 |
98 | 64462 | 64622.4 | 64887.9 | -265.476 | -160.399 |
99 | 63799 | 63601.6 | 62297 | 1304.64 | 197.356 |
100 | 57244 | 58495.9 | 59747 | -1251.18 | -1251.86 |
101 | 64462 | 64532.5 | 57251.1 | 7281.42 | -70.5424 |
102 | 66742 | 64970.9 | 54810.4 | 10160.5 | 1771.13 |
103 | 46448 | 49169.9 | 52479.1 | -3309.18 | -2721.9 |
104 | 46448 | 46788.5 | 50174.3 | -3385.83 | -340.459 |
105 | 49391 | 49204.4 | 48033.2 | 1171.18 | 186.61 |
106 | 41542 | 43333.9 | 46138.8 | -2804.9 | -1791.89 |
107 | 32706 | 36835.2 | 44339.3 | -7504.11 | -4129.22 |
108 | 37297 | 38796.9 | 42580.8 | -3783.87 | -1499.92 |
109 | 45466 | 43195.8 | 40809 | 2386.82 | 2270.23 |
110 | 36631 | 38676.7 | 38942.2 | -265.476 | -2045.69 |
111 | 40244 | 38326.1 | 37021.5 | 1304.64 | 1917.9 |
112 | 35333 | 33862.7 | 35113.9 | -1251.18 | 1470.31 |
113 | 43186 | 40597.2 | 33315.8 | 7281.42 | 2588.83 |
114 | 45813 | 41704.6 | 31544.1 | 10160.5 | 4108.38 |
115 | 24853 | NA | NA | -3309.18 | NA |
116 | 23240 | NA | NA | -3385.83 | NA |
117 | 26502 | NA | NA | 1171.18 | NA |
118 | 18649 | NA | NA | -2804.9 | NA |
119 | 12444 | NA | NA | -7504.11 | NA |
120 | 15040 | NA | NA | -3783.87 | NA |