Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1200 | NA | NA | -219.757 | NA |
2 | 1400 | NA | NA | 38.9931 | NA |
3 | 1210 | NA | NA | -34.2361 | NA |
4 | 1260 | NA | NA | -23.1424 | NA |
5 | 1320 | NA | NA | -31.684 | NA |
6 | 1320 | NA | NA | 56.1806 | NA |
7 | 1310 | 1382.95 | 1290.42 | 92.5347 | -72.9514 |
8 | 1260 | 1358.21 | 1285 | 73.2118 | -98.2118 |
9 | 1340 | 1326.55 | 1279.58 | 46.9618 | 13.4549 |
10 | 1180 | 1244.62 | 1277.92 | -33.2986 | -64.6181 |
11 | 1330 | 1404.51 | 1276.67 | 127.847 | -74.5139 |
12 | 1390 | 1178.89 | 1272.5 | -93.6111 | 211.111 |
13 | 1130 | 1051.91 | 1271.67 | -219.757 | 78.0903 |
14 | 1340 | 1311.91 | 1272.92 | 38.9931 | 28.0903 |
15 | 1140 | 1237.43 | 1271.67 | -34.2361 | -97.4306 |
16 | 1290 | 1245.61 | 1268.75 | -23.1424 | 44.3924 |
17 | 1260 | 1239.15 | 1270.83 | -31.684 | 20.8507 |
18 | 1280 | 1324.51 | 1268.33 | 56.1806 | -44.5139 |
19 | 1330 | 1350.87 | 1258.33 | 92.5347 | -20.8681 |
20 | 1270 | 1326.55 | 1253.33 | 73.2118 | -56.5451 |
21 | 1300 | 1300.3 | 1253.33 | 46.9618 | -0.295139 |
22 | 1150 | 1221.28 | 1254.58 | -33.2986 | -71.2847 |
23 | 1410 | 1379.93 | 1252.08 | 127.847 | 30.0694 |
24 | 1250 | 1156.81 | 1250.42 | -93.6111 | 93.1944 |
25 | 1030 | 1030.24 | 1250 | -219.757 | -0.243056 |
26 | 1320 | 1289.41 | 1250.42 | 38.9931 | 30.5903 |
27 | 1160 | 1218.26 | 1252.5 | -34.2361 | -58.2639 |
28 | 1300 | 1232.69 | 1255.83 | -23.1424 | 67.309 |
29 | 1190 | 1224.15 | 1255.83 | -31.684 | -34.1493 |
30 | 1310 | 1307.43 | 1251.25 | 56.1806 | 2.56944 |
31 | 1290 | 1341.7 | 1249.17 | 92.5347 | -51.7014 |
32 | 1320 | 1320.3 | 1247.08 | 73.2118 | -0.295139 |
33 | 1300 | 1293.21 | 1246.25 | 46.9618 | 6.78819 |
34 | 1230 | 1210.87 | 1244.17 | -33.2986 | 19.1319 |
35 | 1330 | 1372.43 | 1244.58 | 127.847 | -42.4306 |
36 | 1220 | 1151.81 | 1245.42 | -93.6111 | 68.1944 |
37 | 1010 | 1024.41 | 1244.17 | -219.757 | -14.4097 |
38 | 1290 | 1285.66 | 1246.67 | 38.9931 | 4.34028 |
39 | 1170 | 1212.01 | 1246.25 | -34.2361 | -42.0139 |
40 | 1240 | 1218.52 | 1241.67 | -23.1424 | 21.4757 |
41 | 1260 | 1208.73 | 1240.42 | -31.684 | 51.2674 |
42 | 1260 | 1294.51 | 1238.33 | 56.1806 | -34.5139 |
43 | 1310 | 1328.37 | 1235.83 | 92.5347 | -18.3681 |
44 | 1360 | 1308.63 | 1235.42 | 73.2118 | 51.3715 |
45 | 1250 | 1282.8 | 1235.83 | 46.9618 | -32.7951 |
46 | 1170 | 1202.12 | 1235.42 | -33.2986 | -32.1181 |
47 | 1360 | 1359.93 | 1232.08 | 127.847 | 0.0694444 |
48 | 1140 | 1140.97 | 1234.58 | -93.6111 | -0.972222 |
49 | 1030 | 1018.16 | 1237.92 | -219.757 | 11.8403 |
50 | 1260 | 1275.66 | 1236.67 | 38.9931 | -15.6597 |
51 | 1210 | 1202.43 | 1236.67 | -34.2361 | 7.56944 |
52 | 1190 | 1216.44 | 1239.58 | -23.1424 | -26.441 |
53 | 1230 | 1211.65 | 1243.33 | -31.684 | 18.3507 |
54 | 1350 | 1300.35 | 1244.17 | 56.1806 | 49.6528 |
55 | 1300 | 1334.62 | 1242.08 | 92.5347 | -34.6181 |
56 | 1340 | 1314.05 | 1240.83 | 73.2118 | 25.9549 |
57 | 1270 | 1289.88 | 1242.92 | 46.9618 | -19.8785 |
58 | 1220 | 1210.03 | 1243.33 | -33.2986 | 9.96528 |
59 | 1400 | 1369.93 | 1242.08 | 127.847 | 30.0694 |
60 | 1120 | 1149.31 | 1242.92 | -93.6111 | -29.3056 |
61 | 1000 | 1025.66 | 1245.42 | -219.757 | -25.6597 |
62 | 1260 | 1283.99 | 1245 | 38.9931 | -23.9931 |
63 | 1260 | 1210.35 | 1244.58 | -34.2361 | 49.6528 |
64 | 1150 | 1223.11 | 1246.25 | -23.1424 | -73.1076 |
65 | 1240 | 1212.9 | 1244.58 | -31.684 | 27.1007 |
66 | 1360 | 1297.01 | 1240.83 | 56.1806 | 62.9861 |
67 | 1350 | 1332.53 | 1240 | 92.5347 | 17.4653 |
68 | 1280 | 1314.88 | 1241.67 | 73.2118 | -34.8785 |
69 | 1320 | 1286.55 | 1239.58 | 46.9618 | 33.4549 |
70 | 1210 | 1206.28 | 1239.58 | -33.2986 | 3.71528 |
71 | 1370 | 1367.85 | 1240 | 127.847 | 2.15278 |
72 | 1060 | 1141.81 | 1235.42 | -93.6111 | -81.8056 |
73 | 1040 | 1014.83 | 1234.58 | -219.757 | 25.1736 |
74 | 1260 | 1275.66 | 1236.67 | 38.9931 | -15.6597 |
75 | 1210 | 1200.76 | 1235 | -34.2361 | 9.23611 |
76 | 1200 | 1210.61 | 1233.75 | -23.1424 | -10.6076 |
77 | 1200 | 1201.65 | 1233.33 | -31.684 | -1.64931 |
78 | 1290 | 1286.18 | 1230 | 56.1806 | 3.81944 |
79 | 1400 | 1317.53 | 1225 | 92.5347 | 82.4653 |
80 | 1280 | 1294.88 | 1221.67 | 73.2118 | -14.8785 |
81 | 1280 | 1266.96 | 1220 | 46.9618 | 13.0382 |
82 | 1220 | 1185.87 | 1219.17 | -33.2986 | 34.1319 |
83 | 1350 | 1344.93 | 1217.08 | 127.847 | 5.06944 |
84 | 1000 | 1120.56 | 1214.17 | -93.6111 | -120.556 |
85 | 980 | 993.993 | 1213.75 | -219.757 | -13.9931 |
86 | 1240 | 1258.99 | 1220 | 38.9931 | -18.9931 |
87 | 1190 | 1190.76 | 1225 | -34.2361 | -0.763889 |
88 | 1200 | 1204.36 | 1227.5 | -23.1424 | -4.35764 |
89 | 1150 | 1201.65 | 1233.33 | -31.684 | -51.6493 |
90 | 1270 | 1292.01 | 1235.83 | 56.1806 | -22.0139 |
91 | 1410 | 1327.12 | 1234.58 | 92.5347 | 82.8819 |
92 | 1420 | 1308.21 | 1235 | 73.2118 | 111.788 |
93 | 1260 | 1289.46 | 1242.5 | 46.9618 | -29.4618 |
94 | 1300 | 1214.62 | 1247.92 | -33.2986 | 85.3819 |
95 | 1410 | 1376.18 | 1248.33 | 127.847 | 33.8194 |
96 | 1000 | 1155.56 | 1249.17 | -93.6111 | -155.556 |
97 | 950 | 1026.49 | 1246.25 | -219.757 | -76.4931 |
98 | 1280 | 1284.41 | 1245.42 | 38.9931 | -4.40972 |
99 | 1330 | 1213.68 | 1247.92 | -34.2361 | 116.319 |
100 | 1190 | 1224.36 | 1247.5 | -23.1424 | -34.3576 |
101 | 1170 | 1215.82 | 1247.5 | -31.684 | -45.816 |
102 | 1270 | 1303.68 | 1247.5 | 56.1806 | -33.6806 |
103 | 1340 | NA | NA | 92.5347 | NA |
104 | 1470 | NA | NA | 73.2118 | NA |
105 | 1270 | NA | NA | 46.9618 | NA |
106 | 1280 | NA | NA | -33.2986 | NA |
107 | 1430 | NA | NA | 127.847 | NA |
108 | 980 | NA | NA | -93.6111 | NA |