Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.0135490486354741
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
391.7891.750.0299999999999869
491.8392.0204064714591-0.19040647145907
592.0192.0678266449168-0.0578266449167586
692.192.2470431488924-0.147043148892379
792.3592.33505085411650.0149491458834916
892.4692.5852534008211-0.125253400821137
993.0892.69355633640170.386443663598342
1093.3893.31879228039460.0612077196053775
1193.4693.6196215867644-0.159621586764416
1293.5893.6974588661221-0.117458866122078
1393.7493.8158674102323-0.0758674102323198
1494.1893.97483947900120.205160520998774
1594.4394.41761920887830.0123807911216716
1694.5394.6677869568194-0.137786956819383
1794.6694.7659200746401-0.10592007464011
1894.894.8944849583973-0.0944849583973308
1995.0495.03320477710070.00679522289932777
2095.2995.27329684590620.0167031540937614
2195.4295.5235231577534-0.103523157753429
2295.6495.6521205174541-0.0121205174541217
2395.8295.8719562959736-0.0519562959736533
2496.0196.0512523375926-0.0412523375925673
2596.1696.2406934076642-0.0806934076642136
2696.496.38960008875920.0103999112407962
2796.8796.62974099766240.240259002337581
289797.1029962785702-0.102996278570203
2997.2697.23160077698260.0283992230174306
3097.4297.4919855594365-0.071985559436456
3197.6497.6510102235906-0.0110102235905885
3297.9397.87086104553570.0591389544643306
3398.198.161662322106-0.061662322105974
3498.2998.3308268563048-0.0408268563047613
3598.4298.5202736912431-0.100273691243075
3698.4998.6489150781236-0.158915078123556
3798.6798.7167619300011-0.0467619300011393
3899.198.89612835033730.203871649662716
3999.3799.32889061723390.0411093827660665
4099.5499.5994476102604-0.0594476102604204
4199.5899.7686421516977-0.188642151697749
4299.7799.8060862300097-0.0360862300096869
43100.0699.99559729592420.0644027040757891
44100.26100.286469891294-0.0264698912939849
45100.57100.4861112494490.0838887505505141
46100.94100.7972478622110.142752137789344
47101.03101.169182017868-0.139182017868379
48101.12101.257296233939-0.137296233939097
49101.26101.345436000588-0.0854360005879897
50101.94101.4842784240610.455721575939194
51102.26102.1704530178570.089546982142565
52102.51102.4916662942740.0183337057263486
53102.61102.741914698544-0.131914698544207
54102.76102.840127379878-0.0801273798778936
55103.04102.9890417301110.050958269889108
56103.22103.269732166188-0.0497321661880079
57103.47103.449058342650.0209416573504342
58103.64103.699342082184-0.0593420821835196
59103.76103.868538053426-0.108538053425875
60103.85103.987067466061-0.137067466061225


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61104.075210332297103.826070275211104.324350389383
62104.300420664594103.945688469062104.655152860127
63104.525630996892104.088234978386104.963027015397
64104.750841329189104.242378354223105.259304304154
65104.976051661486104.403761805064105.548341517908
66105.201261993783104.570166664172105.832357323394
67105.42647232608104.74028409222106.112660559941
68105.651682658378104.913267192022106.390098124733
69105.876892990675105.088531759673106.665254221677
70106.102103322972105.265655374462106.938551271482
71106.327313655269105.444321350373107.210305960166
72106.552523987567105.624285365302107.480762609831