Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999948123556096
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
289.9589.720.230000000000004
390.1989.94998806841790.240011931582103
490.2390.18998754903450.0400124509655058
590.3290.22999792429630.0900020757036657
690.8690.31999533101240.540004668987635
790.9990.85997198647810.130028013521923
890.9890.989993254609-0.00999325460904288
991.2290.98000051841450.239999481585485
1091.4291.21998754968040.200012450319647
1191.5591.41998962406540.130010375934646
1291.6791.5499932555240.120006744475987
1392.391.66999377447690.630006225523147
1492.9292.29996731751740.620032682482616
1593.192.91996783490930.180032165090665
1693.2393.09999066057150.130009339428526
1793.3693.22999325557780.13000674442219
1893.4293.35999325571240.0600067442875911
1993.5893.41999688706350.160003112936494
2093.6893.57999169960750.100008300392531
2194.0293.6799948119250.340005188074983
2294.2994.01998236173990.270017638260072
2394.5494.28998599244510.250014007554867
2494.6494.53998703016240.100012969837636
2596.794.63999481168282.06000518831722
2696.8396.69989313425640.130106865743599
2797.0796.82999325051850.240006749481523
2897.1197.06998754930330.040012450696679
2997.4297.10999792429630.310002075703665
3097.4497.41998391819470.020016081805295
3197.6797.43999896163690.230001038363142
3297.8497.6699880683640.170011931635955
3398.1797.83999118038560.330008819614434
3498.3198.1699828803160.140017119684018
3598.4298.30999273640970.110007263590262
3698.4498.41999429321440.0200057067856392
3798.8998.43999896217510.450001037824933
3899.2698.88997665554640.3700233444536
3999.5999.25998080450470.330019195495268
4099.8299.58998287977770.230017120222271
4199.9599.81998806752970.130011932470254
4299.9999.94999325544330.0400067445567203
43100.2899.98999792459240.290002075407642
44100.38100.2799849557240.10001504427639
45100.46100.3799948115750.0800051884248347
46100.52100.4599958496150.0600041503846711
47100.43100.519996887198-0.0899968871980406
48100.44100.4300046687180.00999533128153018
49101.33100.4399994814780.890000518522243
50101.43101.3299538299380.100046170061987
51101.41101.42999480996-0.0199948099604796
52101.53101.410001037260.119998962740368
53101.58101.5299937748810.0500062251194606
54101.73101.5799974058550.150002594145136
55102.12101.7299922183990.39000778160117
56101.86102.119979767783-0.259979767783207
57101.93101.8600134868260.0699865131741717
58101.86101.929996369349-0.0699963693485728
59101.92101.8600036311630.0599963688372753
60102.02101.9199968876020.100003112398255


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61102.019994812194101.416598641338102.623390983051
62102.019994812194101.166685897488102.8733037269
63102.019994812194100.974918131357103.065071493032
64102.019994812194100.813249423248103.22674020114
65102.019994812194100.67081595131103.369173673078
66102.019994812194100.542045975607103.497943648781
67102.019994812194100.423629588168103.616360036221
68102.019994812194100.31341018394103.726579440449
69102.019994812194100.209889771511103.830099852877
70102.019994812194100.111977667822103.928011956567
71102.019994812194100.018850492528104.02113913186
72102.01999481219499.929868559298104.11012106509