Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 70.99 | NA | NA | -0.909931 | NA |
2 | 70.99 | NA | NA | -0.923194 | NA |
3 | 72.03 | NA | NA | 0.0259722 | NA |
4 | 72.31 | NA | NA | 0.825903 | NA |
5 | 72.33 | NA | NA | 0.875486 | NA |
6 | 72.33 | NA | NA | 0.503264 | NA |
7 | 73.14 | 73.0962 | 72.6387 | 0.4575 | 0.04375 |
8 | 73.28 | 73.1088 | 72.8296 | 0.279236 | 0.171181 |
9 | 73.28 | 73.0555 | 73.0208 | 0.0346528 | 0.224514 |
10 | 73.28 | 73.071 | 73.2583 | -0.187292 | 0.208958 |
11 | 73.28 | 73.2919 | 73.58 | -0.288056 | -0.0119444 |
12 | 73.28 | 73.2465 | 73.94 | -0.693542 | 0.0335417 |
13 | 73.28 | 73.3567 | 74.2667 | -0.909931 | -0.0767361 |
14 | 73.28 | 73.631 | 74.5542 | -0.923194 | -0.350972 |
15 | 74.33 | 74.8618 | 74.8358 | 0.0259722 | -0.531806 |
16 | 75.71 | 75.9434 | 75.1175 | 0.825903 | -0.233403 |
17 | 76.65 | 76.2747 | 75.3992 | 0.875486 | 0.375347 |
18 | 76.65 | 76.1637 | 75.6604 | 0.503264 | 0.486319 |
19 | 76.66 | 76.3537 | 75.8962 | 0.4575 | 0.30625 |
20 | 76.66 | 76.4067 | 76.1275 | 0.279236 | 0.253264 |
21 | 76.66 | 76.3509 | 76.3163 | 0.0346528 | 0.309097 |
22 | 76.66 | 76.3398 | 76.5271 | -0.187292 | 0.320208 |
23 | 76.66 | 76.5253 | 76.8133 | -0.288056 | 0.134722 |
24 | 76.17 | 76.3994 | 77.0929 | -0.693542 | -0.229375 |
25 | 76.05 | 76.4626 | 77.3725 | -0.909931 | -0.412569 |
26 | 76.06 | 76.7901 | 77.7133 | -0.923194 | -0.730139 |
27 | 76.08 | 78.1585 | 78.1325 | 0.0259722 | -2.07847 |
28 | 79.02 | 79.413 | 78.5871 | 0.825903 | -0.392986 |
29 | 80.21 | 79.918 | 79.0425 | 0.875486 | 0.292014 |
30 | 79.8 | 80.0216 | 79.5183 | 0.503264 | -0.221597 |
31 | 80.22 | 80.4775 | 80.02 | 0.4575 | -0.2575 |
32 | 81.28 | 80.8055 | 80.5262 | 0.279236 | 0.474514 |
33 | 82.1 | 81.0659 | 81.0312 | 0.0346528 | 1.0341 |
34 | 82.13 | 81.2485 | 81.4358 | -0.187292 | 0.881458 |
35 | 82.12 | 81.4503 | 81.7383 | -0.288056 | 0.669722 |
36 | 82.13 | 81.3915 | 82.085 | -0.693542 | 0.738542 |
37 | 82.13 | 81.5513 | 82.4613 | -0.909931 | 0.578681 |
38 | 82.13 | 81.8547 | 82.7779 | -0.923194 | 0.275278 |
39 | 82.13 | 83.0447 | 83.0188 | 0.0259722 | -0.914722 |
40 | 82.68 | 84.0797 | 83.2538 | 0.825903 | -1.39965 |
41 | 83.81 | 84.443 | 83.5675 | 0.875486 | -0.632986 |
42 | 84.52 | 84.4474 | 83.9442 | 0.503264 | 0.0725694 |
43 | 84.53 | 84.7917 | 84.3342 | 0.4575 | -0.261667 |
44 | 84.57 | 85.0726 | 84.7933 | 0.279236 | -0.502569 |
45 | 84.59 | 85.5709 | 85.5363 | 0.0346528 | -0.980903 |
46 | 85.28 | 86.3731 | 86.5604 | -0.187292 | -1.09312 |
47 | 86.5 | 87.3207 | 87.6088 | -0.288056 | -0.820694 |
48 | 86.79 | 87.8977 | 88.5912 | -0.693542 | -1.10771 |
49 | 86.83 | 88.6376 | 89.5475 | -0.909931 | -1.80757 |
50 | 88.45 | 89.5764 | 90.4996 | -0.923194 | -1.12639 |
51 | 93.64 | 91.4756 | 91.4496 | 0.0259722 | 2.16444 |
52 | 95.75 | 93.1984 | 92.3725 | 0.825903 | 2.5516 |
53 | 95.9 | 94.093 | 93.2175 | 0.875486 | 1.80701 |
54 | 96.01 | 94.5037 | 94.0004 | 0.503264 | 1.50632 |
55 | 95.99 | 95.2271 | 94.7696 | 0.4575 | 0.762917 |
56 | 95.96 | 95.7488 | 95.4696 | 0.279236 | 0.211181 |
57 | 96 | 95.9242 | 95.8896 | 0.0346528 | 0.0757639 |
58 | 96.02 | 95.8235 | 96.0108 | -0.187292 | 0.196458 |
59 | 96.04 | 95.7524 | 96.0404 | -0.288056 | 0.287639 |
60 | 96.04 | 95.3652 | 96.0587 | -0.693542 | 0.674792 |
61 | 96.04 | 95.1742 | 96.0842 | -0.909931 | 0.865764 |
62 | 96.04 | 95.2014 | 96.1246 | -0.923194 | 0.838611 |
63 | 96.13 | 96.1914 | 96.1654 | 0.0259722 | -0.0613889 |
64 | 96.17 | 97.0417 | 96.2158 | 0.825903 | -0.871736 |
65 | 96.19 | 97.1722 | 96.2967 | 0.875486 | -0.982153 |
66 | 96.16 | 96.9008 | 96.3975 | 0.503264 | -0.740764 |
67 | 96.45 | 97 | 96.5425 | 0.4575 | -0.55 |
68 | 96.47 | 97.0338 | 96.7546 | 0.279236 | -0.563819 |
69 | 96.47 | 97.0888 | 97.0542 | 0.0346528 | -0.618819 |
70 | 96.76 | 97.2302 | 97.4175 | -0.187292 | -0.470208 |
71 | 97.24 | 97.4557 | 97.7438 | -0.288056 | -0.215694 |
72 | 97.26 | 97.326 | 98.0196 | -0.693542 | -0.0660417 |
73 | 98.3 | 97.4038 | 98.3137 | -0.909931 | 0.896181 |
74 | 98.87 | 97.7326 | 98.6558 | -0.923194 | 1.13736 |
75 | 100.49 | 99.0243 | 98.9983 | 0.0259722 | 1.46569 |
76 | 100.53 | 100.14 | 99.3142 | 0.825903 | 0.389931 |
77 | 99.66 | 100.475 | 99.6 | 0.875486 | -0.815486 |
78 | 99.31 | 100.369 | 99.8658 | 0.503264 | -1.0591 |
79 | 100.36 | NA | NA | 0.4575 | NA |
80 | 100.77 | NA | NA | 0.279236 | NA |
81 | 100.39 | NA | NA | 0.0346528 | NA |
82 | 100.42 | NA | NA | -0.187292 | NA |
83 | 100.44 | NA | NA | -0.288056 | NA |
84 | 100.44 | NA | NA | -0.693542 | NA |