Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.00942378258373058
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
397.6197.68-0.0700000000000074
497.6997.55934033521910.13065966478085
597.6897.64057164349250.0394283565075142
697.6797.63094320775190.0390567922481324
797.6797.62131127047040.048688729529573
897.9697.62177010247180.338229897528208
998.2797.91495750748940.355042492510592
1099.5298.22830335074681.29169664925318
1199.5999.49047601913350.0995239808664934
1299.7599.56141391149110.188586088508927
1399.7599.72319110578750.0268088942125075
1499.899.72344374697790.0765562530221331
1599.9999.77416519646180.215834803538229
16100.2599.96619917672430.283800823275698
17100.08100.22887365398-0.148873653979948
18100.08100.0574707010320.022529298967612
19100.08100.0576830122480.0223169877523759
20100.06100.0578933226880.00210667731187186
21101100.0379131755570.962086824442906
22101.81100.9869796726170.823020327382693
23101.82101.8047356372450.0152643627554312
24101.96101.814879485280.145120514719551
25101.96101.956247069460.00375293054040071
26101.93101.956282436261-0.0262824362610559
27102.03101.9260347562960.103965243704025
28102.11102.0270145021490.082985497851098
29102.07102.107796539438-0.0377965394382613
30102.34102.0674403530680.272559646931839
31102.34102.340008895922-8.8959219510798e-06
32102.33102.340008812089-0.0100088120887278
33102.77102.329914491220.440085508780328
34103.08102.7740617613730.305938238627334
35103.38103.0869448568180.293055143182457
36103.44103.3897065447720.0502934552280578
3799.1103.450180499359-4.3501804993594
3899.1599.06918534413340.0808146558665612
3999.2199.11994692387990.0900530761200713
4099.0199.1807955644903-0.170795564490248
4199.0898.97918602422420.10081397577575
4299.1199.05013607321340.0598639267866474
43100.1199.0807002178441.029299782156
44100.31100.0904001152050.219599884795485
45100.55100.2924695767740.257530423225745
46101.38100.5348964874910.845103512508587
47101.49101.3728605592540.117139440745959
48101.5101.4839644558760.0160355441243922
49100.69101.494115571357-0.804115571357059
50100.8100.676537761040.123462238959604
51100.58100.787701242338-0.207701242337649
52100.34100.565743910987-0.225743910987489
53100.38100.3236165494510.056383450549248
54100.33100.36414789483-0.034147894830042
55101.06100.3138260924930.746173907506531
56101.15101.0508578731670.0991421268325468
57101.36101.1417921670160.218207832984376
58101.98101.3538485101920.626151489808265
59102.24101.9797492256960.260250774303827
60102.34102.242201772410.0977982275895499
61101.91102.343123401644-0.433123401644337
62101.8101.909041740875-0.109041740875313
63101.8101.7980141552170.00198584478324904
64101.73101.798032869386-0.0680328693862293
65101.8101.7273917424170.0726082575834113
66101.81101.798075986850.0119240131501641
67102.28101.8081883561570.471811643842713
68101.7102.282634606509-0.58263460650933
69101.7101.6971439846520.00285601534817204
70102.37101.697170899120.672829100880463
71102.43102.3735114942820.0564885057177662
72102.41102.434043829679-0.0240438296786039


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73102.413817245855101.171474070979103.656160420731
74102.41763449171100.652398009015104.182870974405
75102.421451737566100.249309025516104.593594449616
76102.42526898342199.9053239317049104.945214035137
77102.42908622927699.598522454904105.259650003648
78102.43290347513199.3177176464279105.548089303835
79102.43672072098799.056295955095105.817145486878
80102.44053796684298.8099688700245106.071107063659
81102.44435521269798.5757717524919106.312938672902
82102.44817245855298.3515563186436106.544788598461
83102.45198970440898.1357084891933106.768270919622
84102.45580695026397.9269802461144106.984633654411