Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.924039247655013
beta0.0247732549460181
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1399.7598.55555555555561.19444444444444
1499.899.74604349660520.0539565033947582
1599.99100.010577628446-0.0205776284462047
16100.25100.267851578554-0.0178515785539304
17100.08100.118069190393-0.0380691903925481
18100.08100.122066809388-0.0420668093879328
19100.08100.0355741675220.0444258324775717
20100.06100.422521093535-0.362521093535037
21101100.4280511178040.571948882195798
22101.81102.229744153617-0.419744153617287
23101.82101.924632012935-0.104632012934644
24101.96102.004550678131-0.0445506781309462
25101.96102.069281256645-0.109281256644735
26101.93101.957250078578-0.0272500785779926
27102.03102.128032454476-0.0980324544755007
28102.11102.299117105869-0.189117105868704
29102.07101.9707973134040.099202686595973
30102.34102.0857326355640.254267364436345
31102.34102.2708147321020.0691852678983906
32102.33102.641475418371-0.311475418370577
33102.77102.7580722671810.01192773281862
34103.08103.947049905561-0.867049905560748
35103.38103.2224022411960.157597758803675
36103.44103.525054544607-0.0850545446070043
3799.1103.522372998569-4.42237299856876
3899.1599.3073059769339-0.157305976933856
3999.2199.2257568011632-0.0157568011631781
4099.0199.3410538218396-0.331053821839546
4199.0898.77533607799250.304663922007478
4299.1198.9684639392650.141536060734964
43100.1198.90929779146121.20070220853883
44100.31100.1964902227980.113509777202367
45100.55100.639965504858-0.0899655048581138
46101.38101.57529899108-0.195298991080193
47101.49101.4718629041460.0181370958537599
48101.5101.546677932122-0.0466779321222361
49100.69101.170332308134-0.480332308133924
50100.8100.932422765164-0.13242276516435
51100.58100.89576791369-0.315767913690493
52100.34100.714174078544-0.374174078544357
53100.38100.1601954233970.219804576602712
54100.33100.2638703497780.0661296502219955
55101.06100.2151063596240.844893640375531
56101.15101.0824143597850.0675856402151567
57101.36101.458427136294-0.0984271362938074
58101.98102.368176167961-0.388176167961447
59102.24102.0885471610520.151452838947648
60102.34102.270499957370.0695000426299117
61101.91101.960098300233-0.0500983002332163
62101.8102.147549692522-0.347549692521937
63101.8101.894637867749-0.0946378677486592
64101.73101.914458073463-0.184458073462935
65101.8101.5867641705550.213235829444912
66101.81101.6784063376320.131593662368417
67102.28101.756498013310.523501986690036
68101.7102.267634337668-0.567634337668224
69101.7102.029379082256-0.329379082256452
70102.37102.683733683835-0.313733683835039
71102.43102.495610963181-0.0656109631805464
72102.41102.447522067584-0.0375220675844474


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73102.003452084362100.691517212152103.315386956572
74102.190057548214100.383261830616103.996853265812
75102.260918479616100.051083915415104.470753043818
76102.34694320528299.7818796443639104.9120067662
77102.20970567069399.319227953955105.10018338743
78102.08302742331598.887545654636105.278509191993
79102.05119813174198.5655013814263105.536894882055
80101.96563790369998.2008537679043105.730422039494
81102.25291444735598.2176373998022106.288191494907
82103.20327399686598.904266032943107.502281960786
83103.32154023628698.7641913014552107.878889171116
84103.33535316448398.5239974070149108.146708921951