Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 37729 | NA | NA | -6327.45 | NA |
2 | 48191 | NA | NA | -856.835 | NA |
3 | 52498 | 51226.1 | 49765.2 | 1460.86 | 1271.89 |
4 | 57319 | 56305.9 | 50582.5 | 5723.42 | 1013.08 |
5 | 44377 | 44253.7 | 50581.1 | -6327.45 | 123.326 |
6 | 48081 | 49238.2 | 50095 | -856.835 | -1157.17 |
7 | 52597 | 50458.6 | 48997.8 | 1460.86 | 2138.39 |
8 | 53331 | 53897 | 48173.6 | 5723.42 | -566.049 |
9 | 39587 | 41341.8 | 47669.2 | -6327.45 | -1754.8 |
10 | 46278 | 47014 | 47870.9 | -856.835 | -736.04 |
11 | 50365 | 49770.4 | 48309.5 | 1460.86 | 594.638 |
12 | 57176 | 54199.4 | 48476 | 5723.42 | 2976.58 |
13 | 39251 | 42364.8 | 48692.2 | -6327.45 | -3113.8 |
14 | 47946 | 47485.8 | 48342.6 | -856.835 | 460.21 |
15 | 50427 | 49691 | 48230.1 | 1460.86 | 736.013 |
16 | 54317 | 54529.2 | 48805.8 | 5723.42 | -212.174 |
17 | 41210 | 43471.7 | 49799.1 | -6327.45 | -2261.67 |
18 | 50592 | 50202.7 | 51059.5 | -856.835 | 389.335 |
19 | 55728 | 53906.7 | 52445.9 | 1460.86 | 1821.26 |
20 | 59099 | 59284.3 | 53560.9 | 5723.42 | -185.299 |
21 | 47519 | 47329 | 53656.5 | -6327.45 | 189.951 |
22 | 53203 | 52076.9 | 52933.8 | -856.835 | 1126.08 |
23 | 53882 | 53619.6 | 52158.8 | 1460.86 | 262.388 |
24 | 55163 | 57251.7 | 51528.2 | 5723.42 | -2088.67 |
25 | 45255 | 44638.2 | 50965.6 | -6327.45 | 616.826 |
26 | 50423 | 49818.5 | 50675.4 | -856.835 | 604.46 |
27 | 52161 | 51525.6 | 50064.8 | 1460.86 | 635.388 |
28 | 54562 | 54951.5 | 49228.1 | 5723.42 | -389.549 |
29 | 40971 | 42134.4 | 48461.9 | -6327.45 | -1163.42 |
30 | 48014 | 45940.5 | 46797.4 | -856.835 | 2073.46 |
31 | 48440 | 45339.7 | 43878.9 | 1460.86 | 3100.26 |
32 | 44967 | 45665 | 39941.6 | 5723.42 | -698.049 |
33 | 27218 | 29495.3 | 35822.8 | -6327.45 | -2277.3 |
34 | 30269 | 32045.7 | 32902.5 | -856.835 | -1776.67 |
35 | 33234 | 33409.7 | 31948.9 | 1460.86 | -175.737 |
36 | 36811 | 37940.9 | 32217.5 | 5723.42 | -1129.92 |
37 | 27745 | 25988.3 | 32315.8 | -6327.45 | 1756.7 |
38 | 31891 | 31014.7 | 31871.5 | -856.835 | 876.335 |
39 | 32398 | 33069.2 | 31608.4 | 1460.86 | -671.237 |
40 | 34093 | 37113.5 | 31390.1 | 5723.42 | -3020.55 |
41 | 28358 | 24564.2 | 30891.6 | -6327.45 | 3793.83 |
42 | 29532 | 29579.5 | 30436.4 | -856.835 | -47.5402 |
43 | 30769 | 31094.7 | 29633.9 | 1460.86 | -325.737 |
44 | 32080 | 35443.4 | 29720 | 5723.42 | -3363.42 |
45 | 23951 | 23055.7 | 29383.1 | -6327.45 | 895.326 |
46 | 34628 | 28005.4 | 28862.2 | -856.835 | 6622.58 |
47 | 22978 | 30668.5 | 29207.6 | 1460.86 | -7690.49 |
48 | 35704 | 33258.8 | 27535.4 | 5723.42 | 2445.2 |
49 | 23090 | 20386.7 | 26714.1 | -6327.45 | 2703.33 |
50 | 22111 | 26633.7 | 27490.5 | -856.835 | -4522.67 |
51 | 28925 | 29718.5 | 28257.6 | 1460.86 | -793.487 |
52 | 35968 | 36210.5 | 30487.1 | 5723.42 | -242.549 |
53 | 28963 | 26934.4 | 33261.9 | -6327.45 | 2028.58 |
54 | 34074 | 35602.7 | 36459.5 | -856.835 | -1528.67 |
55 | 39160 | 40534.1 | 39073.2 | 1460.86 | -1374.11 |
56 | 51314 | 46323.2 | 40599.8 | 5723.42 | 4990.83 |
57 | 34527 | 36534.4 | 42861.9 | -6327.45 | -2007.42 |
58 | 40722 | 43576.3 | 44433.1 | -856.835 | -2854.29 |
59 | 50609 | NA | NA | 1460.86 | NA |
60 | 52435 | NA | NA | 5723.42 | NA |