| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 5.86346627853031e-05 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 721 | 829 | -108 |
| 3 | 19 | 828.993667456419 | -809.993667456419 |
| 4 | 311 | 828.94617375087 | -517.94617375087 |
| 5 | 264 | 828.915804151631 | -564.915804151631 |
| 6 | 120 | 828.882680503952 | -708.882680503952 |
| 7 | 135 | 828.841115407027 | -693.841115407027 |
| 8 | 435 | 828.800432267198 | -393.800432267198 |
| 9 | 1456 | 828.777341911647 | 627.222658088353 |
| 10 | 127 | 828.814118900696 | -701.814118900696 |
| 11 | 313 | 828.772968266496 | -515.772968266496 |
| 12 | 1104 | 828.742726092428 | 275.257273907572 |
| 13 | 585 | 828.758865709863 | -243.758865709863 |
| 14 | 295 | 828.744572990971 | -533.744572990971 |
| 15 | 4073 | 828.71327705792 | 3244.28672294208 |
| 16 | 408 | 828.903504715899 | -420.903504715899 |
| 17 | 224 | 828.878825180834 | -604.878825180834 |
| 18 | 312 | 828.843358314894 | -516.843358314894 |
| 19 | 571 | 828.813053378866 | -257.813053378866 |
| 20 | 1336 | 828.79793659742 | 507.20206340258 |
| 21 | 586 | 828.827676219371 | -242.827676219371 |
| 22 | 2279 | 828.813438100461 | 1450.18656189954 |
| 23 | 239 | 828.898469300494 | -589.898469300494 |
| 24 | 198 | 828.863880802669 | -630.863880802669 |
| 25 | 320 | 828.826890311755 | -508.826890311755 |
| 26 | 112 | 828.797055418625 | -716.797055418625 |
| 27 | 89 | 828.755026264995 | -739.755026264995 |
| 28 | 407 | 828.711650978486 | -421.711650978486 |
| 29 | 434 | 828.686924058039 | -394.686924058039 |
| 30 | 268 | 828.663781723341 | -560.663781723341 |
| 31 | 354 | 828.630907391563 | -474.630907391563 |
| 32 | 150 | 828.603077568361 | -678.603077568361 |
| 33 | 273 | 828.563287905743 | -555.563287905743 |
| 34 | 728 | 828.5307126397 | -100.5307126397 |
| 35 | 226 | 828.524818055265 | -602.524818055265 |
| 36 | 310 | 828.489489215739 | -518.489489215739 |
| 37 | 554 | 828.459087759381 | -274.459087759381 |
| 38 | 5725 | 828.442994943322 | 4896.55700505668 |
| 39 | 303 | 828.730102912122 | -525.730102912122 |
| 40 | 360 | 828.699276904822 | -468.699276904822 |
| 41 | 129 | 828.671794880773 | -699.671794880773 |
| 42 | 2466 | 828.63076986102 | 1637.36923013898 |
| 43 | 1042 | 828.726776453684 | 213.273223546316 |
| 44 | 456 | 828.739281657227 | -372.739281657227 |
| 45 | 335 | 828.717426215141 | -493.717426215141 |
| 46 | 866 | 828.688477260343 | 37.3115227396567 |
| 47 | 1417 | 828.690665008897 | 588.309334991103 |
| 48 | 994 | 828.725160328368 | 165.274839671632 |
| 49 | 201 | 828.734851162859 | -627.734851162859 |
| 50 | 224 | 828.698044141542 | -604.698044141542 |
| 51 | 640 | 828.662587875637 | -188.662587875637 |
| 52 | 1043 | 828.651525708417 | 214.348474291583 |
| 53 | 293 | 828.664093958925 | -535.664093958925 |
| 54 | 2659 | 828.63268547541 | 1830.36731452459 |
| 55 | 436 | 828.74000844567 | -392.74000844567 |
| 56 | 485 | 828.716980267713 | -343.716980267713 |
| 57 | 610 | 828.696826538481 | -218.696826538481 |
| 58 | 31127 | 828.684003323805 | 30298.3159966762 |
| 59 | 2613 | 830.460534865233 | 1782.53946513477 |
| 60 | 432 | 830.565053465672 | -398.565053465672 |
| 61 | 532 | 830.541683738164 | -298.541683738164 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 62 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55497037265 | 8759.60332806707 |
| 63 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55498400283 | 8759.60334169726 |
| 64 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55499763301 | 8759.60335532744 |
| 65 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55501126319 | 8759.60336895762 |
| 66 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55502489338 | 8759.6033825878 |
| 67 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55503852356 | 8759.60339621798 |
| 68 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55505215374 | 8759.60340984816 |
| 69 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55506578392 | 8759.60342347834 |
| 70 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.5550794141 | 8759.60343710852 |
| 71 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55509304428 | 8759.6034507387 |
| 72 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55510667446 | 8759.60346436888 |
| 73 | 830.524178847211 | -7098.55512030464 | 8759.60347799906 |
