Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 86.37 | NA | NA | -0.158134 | NA |
2 | 86.84 | NA | NA | -0.141363 | NA |
3 | 86.73 | NA | NA | -0.296155 | NA |
4 | 90.99 | NA | NA | 0.631137 | NA |
5 | 92.61 | NA | NA | 0.27947 | NA |
6 | 93.83 | NA | NA | 0.33572 | NA |
7 | 94.2 | 92.9147 | 92.105 | 0.809679 | 1.28532 |
8 | 94.01 | 93.2175 | 92.7746 | 0.442908 | 0.792509 |
9 | 93.47 | 93.4144 | 93.4325 | -0.0181337 | 0.0556337 |
10 | 93.27 | 93.5133 | 93.995 | -0.481675 | -0.243325 |
11 | 94.3 | 93.6826 | 94.4154 | -0.732821 | 0.617405 |
12 | 94.53 | 94.0789 | 94.7496 | -0.670634 | 0.45105 |
13 | 94.59 | 94.8939 | 95.0521 | -0.158134 | -0.30395 |
14 | 94.69 | 95.2545 | 95.3958 | -0.141363 | -0.56447 |
15 | 94.67 | 95.5213 | 95.8175 | -0.296155 | -0.851345 |
16 | 96.55 | 96.9261 | 96.295 | 0.631137 | -0.376137 |
17 | 97.14 | 97.0028 | 96.7233 | 0.27947 | 0.137196 |
18 | 97.32 | 97.4395 | 97.1037 | 0.33572 | -0.11947 |
19 | 97.97 | 98.3172 | 97.5075 | 0.809679 | -0.347179 |
20 | 98.49 | 98.3617 | 97.9187 | 0.442908 | 0.128342 |
21 | 99.11 | 98.3114 | 98.3296 | -0.0181337 | 0.79855 |
22 | 99.09 | 98.2317 | 98.7133 | -0.481675 | 0.858342 |
23 | 98.76 | 98.2905 | 99.0233 | -0.732821 | 0.469488 |
24 | 99.2 | 98.6323 | 99.3029 | -0.670634 | 0.567717 |
25 | 99.61 | 99.3902 | 99.5483 | -0.158134 | 0.2198 |
26 | 99.54 | 99.587 | 99.7283 | -0.141363 | -0.0469705 |
27 | 99.68 | 99.5534 | 99.8496 | -0.296155 | 0.126571 |
28 | 100.75 | 100.561 | 99.9296 | 0.631137 | 0.18928 |
29 | 100.38 | 100.264 | 99.9846 | 0.27947 | 0.115946 |
30 | 100.79 | 100.336 | 100 | 0.33572 | 0.453863 |
31 | 100.39 | 100.808 | 99.9983 | 0.809679 | -0.418012 |
32 | 100.39 | 100.458 | 100.015 | 0.442908 | -0.067908 |
33 | 100.12 | 100.014 | 100.032 | -0.0181337 | 0.105634 |
34 | 100 | 99.5625 | 100.044 | -0.481675 | 0.437509 |
35 | 99.17 | 99.3484 | 100.081 | -0.732821 | -0.178429 |
36 | 99.17 | 99.4606 | 100.131 | -0.670634 | -0.290616 |
37 | 99.59 | 100.058 | 100.216 | -0.158134 | -0.468116 |
38 | 99.96 | 100.182 | 100.324 | -0.141363 | -0.222387 |
39 | 99.68 | 100.127 | 100.423 | -0.296155 | -0.446762 |
40 | 101.03 | 101.157 | 100.526 | 0.631137 | -0.12697 |
41 | 100.99 | 100.951 | 100.672 | 0.27947 | 0.0388628 |
42 | 101.38 | 101.22 | 100.884 | 0.33572 | 0.160113 |
43 | 101.84 | 101.997 | 101.188 | 0.809679 | -0.157179 |
44 | 101.52 | 102.01 | 101.567 | 0.442908 | -0.489991 |
45 | 101.37 | 101.967 | 101.985 | -0.0181337 | -0.596866 |
46 | 101.22 | 101.91 | 102.391 | -0.481675 | -0.689575 |
47 | 101.45 | 101.996 | 102.728 | -0.732821 | -0.545512 |
48 | 101.99 | 102.355 | 103.026 | -0.670634 | -0.3652 |
49 | 104.05 | 103.135 | 103.293 | -0.158134 | 0.915217 |
50 | 104.61 | 103.413 | 103.555 | -0.141363 | 1.19678 |
51 | 105.06 | 103.526 | 103.822 | -0.296155 | 1.53449 |
52 | 105.4 | 104.723 | 104.092 | 0.631137 | 0.67678 |
53 | 104.71 | 104.639 | 104.36 | 0.27947 | 0.0709462 |
54 | 104.8 | 104.932 | 104.596 | 0.33572 | -0.131554 |
55 | 104.83 | NA | NA | 0.809679 | NA |
56 | 104.81 | NA | NA | 0.442908 | NA |
57 | 104.49 | NA | NA | -0.0181337 | NA |
58 | 104.59 | NA | NA | -0.481675 | NA |
59 | 104.5 | NA | NA | -0.732821 | NA |
60 | 104.61 | NA | NA | -0.670634 | NA |