| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.345911531677233 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 266674 | 272567 | -5893 |
| 3 | 301601 | 270528.543343826 | 31072.4566561739 |
| 4 | 322421 | 281276.864418738 | 41144.1355812624 |
| 5 | 313776 | 295509.095377188 | 18266.9046228122 |
| 6 | 300156 | 301827.828334267 | -1671.82833426673 |
| 7 | 315745 | 301249.523634459 | 14495.4763655409 |
| 8 | 299214 | 306263.676066454 | -7049.6760664545 |
| 9 | 295184 | 303825.111820479 | -8641.11182047887 |
| 10 | 340003 | 300836.051595263 | 39166.9484047372 |
| 11 | 332748 | 314384.350709069 | 18363.6492909314 |
| 12 | 316337 | 320736.548762478 | -4399.54876247817 |
| 13 | 293572 | 319214.694111361 | -25642.6941113606 |
| 14 | 308713 | 310344.590514969 | -1631.59051496908 |
| 15 | 354188 | 309780.204540866 | 44407.7954591339 |
| 16 | 334540 | 325141.373086544 | 9398.62691345566 |
| 17 | 313285 | 328392.466517841 | -15107.4665178406 |
| 18 | 337881 | 323166.619634892 | 14714.3803651081 |
| 19 | 356955 | 328256.493484668 | 28698.5065153322 |
| 20 | 323661 | 338183.637830235 | -14522.6378302354 |
| 21 | 296034 | 333160.089934385 | -37126.0899343849 |
| 22 | 377623 | 320317.747299995 | 57305.2527000049 |
| 23 | 342590 | 340140.295034605 | 2449.70496539533 |
| 24 | 300905 | 340987.676231342 | -40082.6762313418 |
| 25 | 309470 | 327122.616302436 | -17652.6163024358 |
| 26 | 271492 | 321016.37275915 | -49524.3727591497 |
| 27 | 307759 | 303885.321122678 | 3873.678877322 |
| 28 | 326106 | 305225.271316358 | 20880.7286836418 |
| 29 | 335576 | 312448.156157853 | 23127.8438421466 |
| 30 | 310485 | 320448.344045682 | -9963.34404568223 |
| 31 | 335173 | 317001.908446213 | 18171.091553787 |
| 32 | 298344 | 323287.498557831 | -24943.4985578307 |
| 33 | 288269 | 314659.254766303 | -26390.2547663026 |
| 34 | 319410 | 305530.561318739 | 13879.4386812615 |
| 35 | 327692 | 310331.619211794 | 17360.3807882061 |
| 36 | 315401 | 316336.775120742 | -935.77512074227 |
| 37 | 277720 | 316013.079715421 | -38293.0797154208 |
| 38 | 260573 | 302767.061858421 | -42194.0618584212 |
| 39 | 318025 | 288171.649293291 | 29853.3507067092 |
| 40 | 300264 | 298498.267561946 | 1765.73243805382 |
| 41 | 317640 | 299109.054774126 | 18530.9452258744 |
| 42 | 303273 | 305519.122420635 | -2246.12242063473 |
| 43 | 315089 | 304742.162773778 | 10346.8372262216 |
| 44 | 275840 | 308321.253086716 | -32481.2530867157 |
| 45 | 292823 | 297085.613080694 | -4262.61308069399 |
| 46 | 339759 | 295611.126061004 | 44147.8739389963 |
| 47 | 328032 | 310882.384755535 | 17149.6152444647 |
| 48 | 344675 | 316814.634432423 | 27860.3655675767 |
| 49 | 260952 | 326451.856158991 | -65499.8561589913 |
| 50 | 275466 | 303794.700590396 | -28328.7005903962 |
| 51 | 331940 | 293995.476378746 | 37944.5236212536 |
| 52 | 347644 | 307120.924663337 | 40523.0753366628 |
| 53 | 338063 | 321138.323721314 | 16924.6762786859 |
| 54 | 384283 | 326992.764416016 | 57290.2355839844 |
| 55 | 398482 | 346810.117557021 | 51671.8824429788 |
| 56 | 347062 | 364684.017557518 | -17622.0175575179 |
| 57 | 350731 | 358588.358472954 | -7857.35847295378 |
| 58 | 368799 | 355870.407568637 | 12928.5924313628 |
| 59 | 387710 | 360342.556779001 | 27367.4432209994 |
| 60 | 362988 | 369809.270981666 | -6821.27098166622 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 367449.714688413 | 312926.359628448 | 421973.069748377 |
| 62 | 367449.714688413 | 309756.512740999 | 425142.916635826 |
| 63 | 367449.714688413 | 306751.981164869 | 428147.448211957 |
| 64 | 367449.714688413 | 303889.316964317 | 431010.112412509 |
| 65 | 367449.714688413 | 301150.141063876 | 433749.28831295 |
| 66 | 367449.714688413 | 298519.730162479 | 436379.699214347 |
| 67 | 367449.714688413 | 295986.073088676 | 438913.356288149 |
| 68 | 367449.714688413 | 293539.218988237 | 441360.210388589 |
| 69 | 367449.714688413 | 291170.814076278 | 443728.615300547 |
| 70 | 367449.714688413 | 288873.76428025 | 446025.665096575 |
| 71 | 367449.714688413 | 286641.984324938 | 448257.445051888 |
| 72 | 367449.714688413 | 284470.207637297 | 450429.221739529 |
