Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 75.99 | NA | NA | 0.168573 | NA |
2 | 76.31 | NA | NA | 0.252647 | NA |
3 | 76.51 | NA | NA | 0.248804 | NA |
4 | 76.75 | NA | NA | 0.178526 | NA |
5 | 77.23 | NA | NA | 0.00408179 | NA |
6 | 77.22 | NA | NA | -0.158835 | NA |
7 | 77.25 | 77.0252 | 77.3554 | -0.330224 | 0.224807 |
8 | 77.36 | 77.2375 | 77.6267 | -0.389159 | 0.122492 |
9 | 77.57 | 77.6197 | 77.9217 | -0.301937 | -0.0497299 |
10 | 77.88 | 78.3089 | 78.2113 | 0.0976003 | -0.42885 |
11 | 78.29 | 78.6279 | 78.4808 | 0.147091 | -0.337924 |
12 | 78.42 | 78.822 | 78.7392 | 0.0828318 | -0.401998 |
13 | 78.96 | 79.1732 | 79.0046 | 0.168573 | -0.213156 |
14 | 79.85 | 79.5414 | 79.2888 | 0.252647 | 0.308603 |
15 | 80.05 | 79.8842 | 79.6354 | 0.248804 | 0.165779 |
16 | 80.16 | 80.2998 | 80.1213 | 0.178526 | -0.139776 |
17 | 80.29 | 80.7103 | 80.7062 | 0.00408179 | -0.420332 |
18 | 80.36 | 81.1649 | 81.3237 | -0.158835 | -0.804915 |
19 | 80.48 | 81.6506 | 81.9808 | -0.330224 | -1.17061 |
20 | 80.95 | 82.2413 | 82.6304 | -0.389159 | -1.29126 |
21 | 82.3 | 82.9526 | 83.2546 | -0.301937 | -0.652647 |
22 | 84.81 | 83.9855 | 83.8879 | 0.0976003 | 0.824483 |
23 | 85.4 | 84.6817 | 84.5346 | 0.147091 | 0.718326 |
24 | 86.13 | 85.2632 | 85.1804 | 0.0828318 | 0.866752 |
25 | 87.02 | 85.9911 | 85.8225 | 0.168573 | 1.02893 |
26 | 87.38 | 86.7026 | 86.45 | 0.252647 | 0.677353 |
27 | 87.5 | 87.2655 | 87.0167 | 0.248804 | 0.234529 |
28 | 87.91 | 87.6273 | 87.4487 | 0.178526 | 0.282724 |
29 | 88.06 | 87.7866 | 87.7825 | 0.00408179 | 0.273418 |
30 | 88.09 | 87.9182 | 88.0771 | -0.158835 | 0.171752 |
31 | 88.16 | 87.9669 | 88.2971 | -0.330224 | 0.19314 |
32 | 88.33 | 88.0721 | 88.4613 | -0.389159 | 0.257909 |
33 | 88.52 | 88.3126 | 88.6146 | -0.301937 | 0.207353 |
34 | 88.96 | 88.8447 | 88.7471 | 0.0976003 | 0.115316 |
35 | 89.26 | 89.0038 | 88.8567 | 0.147091 | 0.256242 |
36 | 89.34 | 89.0495 | 88.9667 | 0.0828318 | 0.290502 |
37 | 89.09 | 89.2523 | 89.0838 | 0.168573 | -0.162323 |
38 | 89.25 | 89.4497 | 89.1971 | 0.252647 | -0.19973 |
39 | 89.31 | 89.5492 | 89.3004 | 0.248804 | -0.239221 |
40 | 89.28 | 89.5677 | 89.3892 | 0.178526 | -0.287693 |
41 | 89.32 | 89.4649 | 89.4608 | 0.00408179 | -0.144915 |
42 | 89.47 | 89.3641 | 89.5229 | -0.158835 | 0.105918 |
43 | 89.59 | 89.2677 | 89.5979 | -0.330224 | 0.322307 |
44 | 89.62 | 89.3063 | 89.6954 | -0.389159 | 0.313742 |
45 | 89.71 | 89.5006 | 89.8025 | -0.301937 | 0.209437 |
46 | 89.9 | 90.0164 | 89.9187 | 0.0976003 | -0.11635 |
47 | 90.04 | 90.1871 | 90.04 | 0.147091 | -0.147091 |
48 | 90.05 | 90.2328 | 90.15 | 0.0828318 | -0.182832 |
49 | 90.18 | 90.4065 | 90.2379 | 0.168573 | -0.226489 |
50 | 90.5 | 90.5776 | 90.325 | 0.252647 | -0.0776466 |
51 | 90.63 | 90.6859 | 90.4371 | 0.248804 | -0.0558873 |
52 | 90.75 | 90.7739 | 90.5954 | 0.178526 | -0.0239429 |
53 | 90.76 | 90.7978 | 90.7937 | 0.00408179 | -0.0378318 |
54 | 90.67 | 90.847 | 91.0058 | -0.158835 | -0.176998 |
55 | 90.5 | 90.9335 | 91.2637 | -0.330224 | -0.433526 |
56 | 90.8 | 91.1733 | 91.5625 | -0.389159 | -0.373341 |
57 | 91.22 | 91.591 | 91.8929 | -0.301937 | -0.37098 |
58 | 92.19 | 92.3568 | 92.2592 | 0.0976003 | -0.166767 |
59 | 92.51 | 92.7825 | 92.6354 | 0.147091 | -0.272508 |
60 | 92.67 | 93.107 | 93.0242 | 0.0828318 | -0.436998 |
61 | 93.75 | 93.5969 | 93.4283 | 0.168573 | 0.153094 |
62 | 94.1 | 94.0885 | 93.8358 | 0.252647 | 0.0115201 |
63 | 94.96 | 94.4771 | 94.2283 | 0.248804 | 0.482863 |
64 | 95.21 | 94.751 | 94.5725 | 0.178526 | 0.458974 |
65 | 95.33 | 94.8745 | 94.8704 | 0.00408179 | 0.455502 |
66 | 95.43 | 94.9978 | 95.1567 | -0.158835 | 0.432168 |
67 | 95.44 | 95.0714 | 95.4017 | -0.330224 | 0.368557 |
68 | 95.64 | 95.2083 | 95.5975 | -0.389159 | 0.431659 |
69 | 95.8 | 95.4543 | 95.7562 | -0.301937 | 0.345687 |
70 | 95.87 | 95.9834 | 95.8858 | 0.0976003 | -0.113434 |
71 | 95.98 | 96.1496 | 96.0025 | 0.147091 | -0.169591 |
72 | 96.07 | 96.1891 | 96.1062 | 0.0828318 | -0.119082 |
73 | 96.23 | 96.3844 | 96.2158 | 0.168573 | -0.154406 |
74 | 96.32 | 96.5851 | 96.3325 | 0.252647 | -0.265147 |
75 | 96.55 | 96.698 | 96.4492 | 0.248804 | -0.147971 |
76 | 96.73 | 96.7798 | 96.6013 | 0.178526 | -0.0497762 |
77 | 96.61 | 96.8016 | 96.7975 | 0.00408179 | -0.191582 |
78 | 96.64 | 96.8474 | 97.0062 | -0.158835 | -0.207415 |
79 | 96.86 | 96.8877 | 97.2179 | -0.330224 | -0.0276929 |
80 | 97.02 | 97.0521 | 97.4412 | -0.389159 | -0.032091 |
81 | 97.22 | 97.3785 | 97.6804 | -0.301937 | -0.15848 |
82 | 98.1 | 98.0205 | 97.9229 | 0.0976003 | 0.079483 |
83 | 98.46 | 98.3183 | 98.1712 | 0.147091 | 0.141659 |
84 | 98.6 | 98.5199 | 98.4371 | 0.0828318 | 0.0800849 |
85 | 98.78 | 98.8794 | 98.7108 | 0.168573 | -0.0994059 |
86 | 99.13 | 99.2339 | 98.9812 | 0.252647 | -0.103897 |
87 | 99.48 | 99.5001 | 99.2512 | 0.248804 | -0.020054 |
88 | 99.62 | 99.6735 | 99.495 | 0.178526 | -0.0535262 |
89 | 99.68 | 99.7082 | 99.7042 | 0.00408179 | -0.0282485 |
90 | 99.95 | 99.7441 | 99.9029 | -0.158835 | 0.205918 |
91 | 100.12 | 99.7598 | 100.09 | -0.330224 | 0.360224 |
92 | 100.25 | 99.8729 | 100.262 | -0.389159 | 0.377076 |
93 | 100.47 | 100.114 | 100.416 | -0.301937 | 0.355687 |
94 | 100.7 | 100.654 | 100.557 | 0.0976003 | 0.045733 |
95 | 100.88 | 100.84 | 100.693 | 0.147091 | 0.040409 |
96 | 100.95 | 100.898 | 100.815 | 0.0828318 | 0.0517515 |
97 | 100.92 | 101.089 | 100.921 | 0.168573 | -0.169406 |
98 | 101.12 | 101.269 | 101.016 | 0.252647 | -0.148897 |
99 | 101.19 | 101.352 | 101.103 | 0.248804 | -0.162137 |
100 | 101.28 | 101.359 | 101.181 | 0.178526 | -0.0793596 |
101 | 101.28 | 101.257 | 101.253 | 0.00408179 | 0.0230015 |
102 | 101.3 | 101.167 | 101.325 | -0.158835 | 0.133418 |
103 | 101.3 | 101.078 | 101.408 | -0.330224 | 0.222307 |
104 | 101.36 | 101.107 | 101.496 | -0.389159 | 0.253326 |
105 | 101.45 | 101.277 | 101.579 | -0.301937 | 0.173187 |
106 | 101.58 | 101.76 | 101.662 | 0.0976003 | -0.1801 |
107 | 101.73 | 101.9 | 101.753 | 0.147091 | -0.170008 |
108 | 101.84 | 101.929 | 101.846 | 0.0828318 | -0.0886651 |
109 | 102.01 | 102.107 | 101.939 | 0.168573 | -0.0973225 |
110 | 102.14 | 102.283 | 102.03 | 0.252647 | -0.142647 |
111 | 102.16 | 102.358 | 102.11 | 0.248804 | -0.198387 |
112 | 102.32 | 102.368 | 102.19 | 0.178526 | -0.0481096 |
113 | 102.41 | 102.279 | 102.275 | 0.00408179 | 0.130502 |
114 | 102.4 | 102.2 | 102.359 | -0.158835 | 0.199668 |
115 | 102.43 | NA | NA | -0.330224 | NA |
116 | 102.42 | NA | NA | -0.389159 | NA |
117 | 102.3 | NA | NA | -0.301937 | NA |
118 | 102.65 | NA | NA | 0.0976003 | NA |
119 | 102.72 | NA | NA | 0.147091 | NA |
120 | 102.86 | NA | NA | 0.0828318 | NA |