Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 102.8 | NA | NA | -0.564123 | NA |
2 | 103.66 | NA | NA | -0.0172483 | NA |
3 | 103.55 | NA | NA | 0.0358767 | NA |
4 | 103.87 | NA | NA | 0.144627 | NA |
5 | 104.03 | NA | NA | 0.302543 | NA |
6 | 104.02 | NA | NA | 0.393585 | NA |
7 | 104.02 | 103.912 | 103.649 | 0.26296 | 0.10829 |
8 | 102.97 | 103.147 | 103.739 | -0.592144 | -0.177023 |
9 | 103.18 | 103.419 | 103.836 | -0.416936 | -0.239314 |
10 | 103.53 | 103.882 | 103.927 | -0.0448524 | -0.352231 |
11 | 103.78 | 104.192 | 104.002 | 0.190252 | -0.411918 |
12 | 103.85 | 104.375 | 104.07 | 0.30546 | -0.525043 |
13 | 103.85 | 103.573 | 104.137 | -0.564123 | 0.27704 |
14 | 104.78 | 104.184 | 104.202 | -0.0172483 | 0.595582 |
15 | 104.76 | 104.296 | 104.26 | 0.0358767 | 0.464123 |
16 | 104.84 | 104.467 | 104.322 | 0.144627 | 0.372873 |
17 | 104.85 | 104.688 | 104.385 | 0.302543 | 0.162457 |
18 | 104.83 | 104.829 | 104.435 | 0.393585 | 0.000998264 |
19 | 104.83 | 104.542 | 104.279 | 0.26296 | 0.28829 |
20 | 103.71 | 103.325 | 103.917 | -0.592144 | 0.384644 |
21 | 103.84 | 103.135 | 103.552 | -0.416936 | 0.705269 |
22 | 104.37 | 103.136 | 103.181 | -0.0448524 | 1.23402 |
23 | 104.44 | 102.998 | 102.807 | 0.190252 | 1.44225 |
24 | 104.4 | 102.743 | 102.437 | 0.30546 | 1.65746 |
25 | 99.54 | 101.505 | 102.069 | -0.564123 | -1.96504 |
26 | 100.42 | 101.677 | 101.694 | -0.0172483 | -1.25692 |
27 | 100.34 | 101.355 | 101.319 | 0.0358767 | -1.01504 |
28 | 100.36 | 101.088 | 100.943 | 0.144627 | -0.727543 |
29 | 100.37 | 100.865 | 100.562 | 0.302543 | -0.495043 |
30 | 100.42 | 100.581 | 100.187 | 0.393585 | -0.161085 |
31 | 100.41 | 100.303 | 100.04 | 0.26296 | 0.107457 |
32 | 99.13 | 99.487 | 100.079 | -0.592144 | -0.357023 |
33 | 99.42 | 99.6685 | 100.085 | -0.416936 | -0.248481 |
34 | 99.76 | 100.056 | 100.101 | -0.0448524 | -0.296398 |
35 | 99.92 | 100.317 | 100.127 | 0.190252 | -0.396918 |
36 | 99.92 | 100.456 | 100.151 | 0.30546 | -0.536293 |
37 | 100.47 | 99.5784 | 100.142 | -0.564123 | 0.891623 |
38 | 100.44 | 100.133 | 100.15 | -0.0172483 | 0.306832 |
39 | 100.47 | 100.215 | 100.179 | 0.0358767 | 0.255373 |
40 | 100.61 | 100.312 | 100.167 | 0.144627 | 0.29829 |
41 | 100.73 | 100.437 | 100.135 | 0.302543 | 0.292873 |
42 | 100.64 | 100.494 | 100.1 | 0.393585 | 0.145998 |
43 | 99.99 | 100.324 | 100.061 | 0.26296 | -0.333793 |
44 | 99.74 | 99.4204 | 100.012 | -0.592144 | 0.319644 |
45 | 99.49 | 99.5372 | 99.9542 | -0.416936 | -0.0472309 |
46 | 99.41 | 99.8251 | 99.87 | -0.0448524 | -0.415148 |
47 | 99.49 | 99.9532 | 99.7629 | 0.190252 | -0.463168 |
48 | 99.53 | 99.9559 | 99.6504 | 0.30546 | -0.425877 |
49 | 99.91 | 98.9434 | 99.5075 | -0.564123 | 0.966623 |
50 | 99.84 | 99.3153 | 99.3325 | -0.0172483 | 0.524748 |
51 | 99.67 | 99.2042 | 99.1683 | 0.0358767 | 0.46579 |
52 | 99.39 | 99.1634 | 99.0188 | 0.144627 | 0.226623 |
53 | 99.38 | 99.17 | 98.8675 | 0.302543 | 0.209957 |
54 | 99.29 | 99.1057 | 98.7121 | 0.393585 | 0.184332 |
55 | 97.91 | NA | NA | 0.26296 | NA |
56 | 97.62 | NA | NA | -0.592144 | NA |
57 | 97.67 | NA | NA | -0.416936 | NA |
58 | 97.64 | NA | NA | -0.0448524 | NA |
59 | 97.63 | NA | NA | 0.190252 | NA |
60 | 97.66 | NA | NA | 0.30546 | NA |