Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.882411060037558
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2103.66102.80.859999999999999
3103.55103.558873511632-0.008873511632288
4103.87103.5510434268270.318956573173423
5104.03103.8324942346660.197505765333517
6104.02104.0067755064180.0132244935820296
7104.02104.0184449458180.00155505418184987
8102.97104.019817142827-1.04981714282717
9103.18103.0934468849790.0865531150205641
10103.53103.1698223109540.360177689045699
11103.78103.4876470873470.292352912653001
12103.85103.7456225309060.104377469093791
13103.85103.8377263640530.0122736359466984
14104.78103.848556756160.931443243840462
15104.76104.6704725763220.0895274236783763
16104.84104.7494725651520.0905274348478997
17104.85104.8293549748990.0206450251012882
18104.83104.847572373383-0.0175723733828335
19104.83104.832066316759-0.00206631675871449
20103.71104.830242975997-1.12024297599729
21103.84103.841728184048-0.00172818404789155
22104.37103.840203215330.529796784669756
23104.44104.3077017576950.132298242304827
24104.4104.424443189928-0.0244431899284621
2599.54104.402874248793-4.86287424879299
26100.42100.1118202280860.308179771913771
27100.34100.383761467303-0.0437614673027866
28100.36100.3451458645510.0148541354486582
29100.37100.3582533179590.011746682041462
30100.42100.3686187201110.0513812798893269
31100.41100.413958129764-0.00395812976390175
3299.13100.410465432283-1.28046543228318
3399.4299.28056857284070.139431427159266
3499.7699.40360440628290.35639559371711
3599.9299.71809181992750.201908180072465
3699.9299.89625783113550.023742168864473
37100.4799.91720818353080.552791816469181
38100.44100.4049977962810.035002203718534
39100.47100.4358841279680.0341158720316059
40100.61100.4659883507720.144011649228091
41100.73100.5930658228250.136934177174979
42100.64100.713898055261-0.0738980552613668
4399.99100.648689593983-0.658689593983482
4499.74100.067454611121-0.327454611120814
4599.4999.7785050406075-0.288505040607504
4699.4199.5239250018988-0.113925001898849
4799.4999.42339632020850.0666036797914842
4899.5399.48216814389570.0478318561042954
4999.9199.52437550274430.385624497255733
5099.8499.8646548241442-0.0246548241441502
5199.6799.8428991346361-0.172899134636069
5299.3999.6903310259623-0.300331025962279
5399.3899.4253156069807-0.0453156069807363
5499.2999.3853286141886-0.0953286141886167
5597.9199.3012095906905-1.39120959069054
5697.6298.0735908610349-0.453590861034868
5797.6797.6733372685258-0.00333726852575467
5897.6497.6703924258683-0.0303924258683139
5997.6397.6435738131407-0.0135738131407521
6097.6697.63159613029850.0284038697015347


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
6197.65666001907196.17659846168699.1367215764559
6297.65666001907195.682760965262499.6305590728795
6397.65666001907195.2898113260608100.023508712081
6497.65666001907194.9533901478628100.359929890279
6597.65666001907194.6544336356083100.658886402534
6697.65666001907194.3826626888129100.930657349329
6797.65666001907194.131783598611101.181536439531
6897.65666001907193.8976110648151101.415708973327
6997.65666001907193.6771946904785101.636125347663
7097.65666001907193.4683620876378101.844957950504
7197.65666001907193.2694587673132102.043861270829
7297.65666001907193.079190184719102.234129853423