Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.894316694477335
beta0.0554592401396707
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
31001000
41001000
51001000
61001000
71001000
81001000
91001000
101001000
111001000
121001000
13100.41000.400000000000006
14100.4100.3775659275190.0224340724810901
15100.4100.418581030708-0.0185810307077645
16100.4100.421994058118-0.021994058118068
17100.4100.421263894108-0.021263894107804
18100.4100.420132078698-0.0201320786981398
19100.4100.419013951362-0.0190139513623109
20100.4100.417952727646-0.0179527276459766
21100.4100.416950152398-0.0169501523980671
22100.4100.416003501166-0.0160035011659687
23101.4100.4151097122940.984890287705809
24101.4101.358180659140.041819340859746
25102101.4599216750120.540078324987732
26102102.034050890468-0.0340508904684924
27102.6102.0930379034560.506962096543603
28102.6102.661006231748-0.0610062317481237
29102.6102.718005207448-0.118005207447652
30102.6102.718176210662-0.118176210661602
31102.6102.712332964458-0.112332964458446
32102.6102.706143926548-0.106143926548285
33102.3102.700225308899-0.400225308899181
34102.4102.411454376852-0.0114543768519155
35102.4102.469799664055-0.0697996640549263
36102.4102.472503854453-0.0725038544529184
37102.9102.4691935870460.430806412953899
38102.9102.937369284311-0.0373692843105857
39102.9102.984994193154-0.0849941931538893
40104.9102.9858117983871.91418820161286
41104.9104.8694717389610.0305282610391657
42105.5105.0700572924480.429942707552414
43105.5105.649170205326-0.149170205326186
44105.5105.702974209841-0.202974209841443
45105.5105.698593254796-0.198593254795526
46105.5105.688280408044-0.188280408044477
47105.5105.677852157225-0.177852157225288
48105.5105.667928931803-0.16792893180326
49105.5105.658551252503-0.158551252502718
50106.8105.6496963436231.15030365637661
51106.8106.868425134158-0.0684251341581046
52106.8106.993830662967-0.19383066296686
53106.9106.997470296463-0.0974702964633423
54107.5107.0824522705280.417547729471607
55107.6107.64873304734-0.0487330473396668
56107.6107.795594073394-0.195594073394318
57107.6107.801413732912-0.201413732911774
58107.8107.7920390304020.007960969598102
59107.8107.970306468908-0.170306468907654
60107.8107.980699479659-0.180699479658642


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61107.972835492132107.252233249902108.693437734363
62108.126574065948107.135654225603109.117493906294
63108.280312639764107.057825610606109.502799668923
64108.43405121358106.998962512349109.869139914811
65108.587789787396106.950874386011110.224705188782
66108.741528361212106.909298392399110.573758330025
67108.895266935028106.871716038248110.918817831808
68109.049005508844106.836513357333111.261497660354
69109.20274408266106.802595900982111.602892264338
70109.356482656476106.769190187138111.943775125813
71109.510221230292106.735732201009112.284710259575
72109.663959804108106.701800588492112.626119019723