Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 102.59 | NA | NA | -0.311951 | NA |
2 | 102.91 | NA | NA | 0.0233819 | NA |
3 | 101.94 | NA | NA | 0.299965 | NA |
4 | 101.8 | NA | NA | 0.260215 | NA |
5 | 102.25 | NA | NA | 0.275549 | NA |
6 | 102.6 | NA | NA | 0.0697986 | NA |
7 | 102.49 | 101.891 | 101.741 | 0.150549 | 0.598618 |
8 | 102.13 | 101.385 | 101.486 | -0.101035 | 0.745201 |
9 | 100.76 | 101.067 | 101.238 | -0.171451 | -0.306882 |
10 | 100.86 | 100.899 | 101.03 | -0.130285 | -0.0392986 |
11 | 101.12 | 100.609 | 100.802 | -0.192701 | 0.510618 |
12 | 100.74 | 100.376 | 100.548 | -0.172035 | 0.364118 |
13 | 99.99 | 99.9718 | 100.284 | -0.311951 | 0.0182014 |
14 | 99.39 | 100.058 | 100.035 | 0.0233819 | -0.667965 |
15 | 99.52 | 100.157 | 99.8567 | 0.299965 | -0.636632 |
16 | 99.21 | 99.9894 | 99.7292 | 0.260215 | -0.779382 |
17 | 99.38 | 99.8276 | 99.5521 | 0.275549 | -0.447632 |
18 | 99.37 | 99.4269 | 99.3571 | 0.0697986 | -0.0568819 |
19 | 99.38 | 99.3855 | 99.235 | 0.150549 | -0.00554861 |
20 | 99.26 | 99.1315 | 99.2325 | -0.101035 | 0.128535 |
21 | 99.36 | 99.1127 | 99.2842 | -0.171451 | 0.247285 |
22 | 99.2 | 99.2089 | 99.3392 | -0.130285 | -0.00888194 |
23 | 98.53 | 99.2056 | 99.3983 | -0.192701 | -0.675632 |
24 | 98.65 | 99.278 | 99.45 | -0.172035 | -0.627965 |
25 | 99.15 | 99.156 | 99.4679 | -0.311951 | -0.00596528 |
26 | 100.17 | 99.4592 | 99.4358 | 0.0233819 | 0.710785 |
27 | 99.98 | 99.6841 | 99.3842 | 0.299965 | 0.295868 |
28 | 100.07 | 99.5827 | 99.3225 | 0.260215 | 0.487285 |
29 | 99.94 | 99.578 | 99.3025 | 0.275549 | 0.361951 |
30 | 100.05 | 99.3935 | 99.3237 | 0.0697986 | 0.656451 |
31 | 99.13 | 99.5039 | 99.3533 | 0.150549 | -0.373882 |
32 | 98.74 | 99.2685 | 99.3696 | -0.101035 | -0.528549 |
33 | 98.64 | 99.1981 | 99.3696 | -0.171451 | -0.558132 |
34 | 98.44 | 99.263 | 99.3933 | -0.130285 | -0.823049 |
35 | 98.81 | 99.2223 | 99.415 | -0.192701 | -0.412299 |
36 | 98.88 | 99.238 | 99.41 | -0.172035 | -0.357965 |
37 | 99.63 | 99.1218 | 99.4337 | -0.311951 | 0.508201 |
38 | 100.08 | 99.5238 | 99.5004 | 0.0233819 | 0.556201 |
39 | 100.07 | 99.8983 | 99.5983 | 0.299965 | 0.171701 |
40 | 100.55 | 99.9952 | 99.735 | 0.260215 | 0.554785 |
41 | 99.98 | 100.139 | 99.8637 | 0.275549 | -0.159299 |
42 | 99.89 | 100.028 | 99.9583 | 0.0697986 | -0.138132 |
43 | 99.86 | 100.081 | 99.9308 | 0.150549 | -0.221382 |
44 | 99.61 | 99.6569 | 99.7579 | -0.101035 | -0.0468819 |
45 | 100.12 | 99.4073 | 99.5788 | -0.171451 | 0.712701 |
46 | 100.24 | 99.2664 | 99.3967 | -0.130285 | 0.973618 |
47 | 100.1 | 99.0135 | 99.2063 | -0.192701 | 1.08645 |
48 | 99.86 | 98.8659 | 99.0379 | -0.172035 | 0.994118 |
49 | 97.99 | 98.5351 | 98.8471 | -0.311951 | -0.545132 |
50 | 97.57 | 98.6438 | 98.6204 | 0.0233819 | -1.0738 |
51 | 98.28 | 98.6604 | 98.3604 | 0.299965 | -0.380382 |
52 | 97.97 | 98.3369 | 98.0767 | 0.260215 | -0.366882 |
53 | 97.99 | 98.046 | 97.7704 | 0.275549 | -0.0559653 |
54 | 97.84 | 97.5302 | 97.4604 | 0.0697986 | 0.309785 |
55 | 97.33 | 97.3985 | 97.2479 | 0.150549 | -0.0684653 |
56 | 96.7 | 97.069 | 97.17 | -0.101035 | -0.368965 |
57 | 96.79 | 96.9556 | 97.1271 | -0.171451 | -0.165632 |
58 | 96.76 | 96.933 | 97.0633 | -0.130285 | -0.173049 |
59 | 96.23 | 96.8098 | 97.0025 | -0.192701 | -0.579799 |
60 | 96.29 | 96.733 | 96.905 | -0.172035 | -0.442965 |
61 | 96.46 | 96.506 | 96.8179 | -0.311951 | -0.0459653 |
62 | 97.23 | 96.8259 | 96.8025 | 0.0233819 | 0.404118 |
63 | 97.59 | 97.1112 | 96.8112 | 0.299965 | 0.478785 |
64 | 97.13 | 97.0965 | 96.8362 | 0.260215 | 0.0335347 |
65 | 97.37 | 97.1397 | 96.8642 | 0.275549 | 0.230285 |
66 | 96.12 | 96.9619 | 96.8921 | 0.0697986 | -0.841882 |
67 | 96.96 | NA | NA | 0.150549 | NA |
68 | 96.7 | NA | NA | -0.101035 | NA |
69 | 97 | NA | NA | -0.171451 | NA |
70 | 97.15 | NA | NA | -0.130285 | NA |
71 | 96.51 | NA | NA | -0.192701 | NA |
72 | 96.68 | NA | NA | -0.172035 | NA |