Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.928823511067531 |
beta | 0.17743062680492 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 9.31 | 5.93045940170941 | 3.37954059829059 |
14 | 10.4 | 10.543208114985 | -0.143208114985006 |
15 | 11.3 | 11.3665940535765 | -0.0665940535764964 |
16 | 12.2 | 12.0755827845954 | 0.124417215404634 |
17 | 14.19 | 14.0804081130953 | 0.109591886904655 |
18 | 16.31 | 16.2441075946648 | 0.0658924053351555 |
19 | 19.21 | 19.8372438199022 | -0.627243819902219 |
20 | 23.6 | 20.6832079512475 | 2.91679204875251 |
21 | 26.4 | 24.3478983197845 | 2.05210168021553 |
22 | 27.09 | 27.8268005338568 | -0.736800533856769 |
23 | 26.81 | 29.5484621264018 | -2.73846212640177 |
24 | 27.9 | 28.6342133867029 | -0.734213386702859 |
25 | 27.39 | 29.3102688571063 | -1.92026885710631 |
26 | 28.4 | 28.4698604244248 | -0.069860424424796 |
27 | 27.1 | 29.0990817344459 | -1.99908173444589 |
28 | 26.6 | 27.4405038481516 | -0.840503848151577 |
29 | 24.91 | 27.8027897876453 | -2.89278978764527 |
30 | 22.79 | 25.9346556836229 | -3.14465568362294 |
31 | 19.4 | 24.7272799319316 | -5.32727993193165 |
32 | 15.3 | 18.9162735049154 | -3.61627350491544 |
33 | 11.49 | 12.8309742628468 | -1.34097426284677 |
34 | 8.61 | 8.78023958625643 | -0.170239586256431 |
35 | 7.4 | 6.79947137957332 | 0.600528620426682 |
36 | 6.6 | 5.59328893082244 | 1.00671106917756 |
37 | 4.3 | 4.55292187223308 | -0.25292187223308 |
38 | 4.4 | 2.41865694554992 | 1.98134305445008 |
39 | 3.4 | 2.1795778213414 | 1.2204221786586 |
40 | 3.2 | 1.48820295704685 | 1.71179704295315 |
41 | 2.7 | 2.39006367363186 | 0.309936326368141 |
42 | 1.11 | 2.32159699238916 | -1.21159699238916 |
43 | 1.1 | 1.91573854097443 | -0.815738540974426 |
44 | 2.5 | 0.321849590493457 | 2.17815040950654 |
45 | 2.91 | 0.640334786411023 | 2.26966521358898 |
46 | 3.1 | 1.48145485127289 | 1.61854514872711 |
47 | 3.7 | 2.96668649221621 | 0.733313507783793 |
48 | 4.3 | 3.68430554431238 | 0.615694455687617 |
49 | 2.2 | 3.89821372937339 | -1.69821372937339 |
50 | 1.8 | 2.04948518621434 | -0.249485186214338 |
51 | 1.6 | 0.785486603887987 | 0.814513396112013 |
52 | 1.3 | 0.786459921128816 | 0.513540078871184 |
53 | 3.6 | 1.31248850795495 | 2.28751149204505 |
54 | 4.4 | 4.13536719448735 | 0.264632805512652 |
55 | 4.7 | 6.53495119622936 | -1.83495119622936 |
56 | 4.9 | 5.44562975022727 | -0.545629750227267 |
57 | 4.5 | 4.02997557135304 | 0.470024428646957 |
58 | 4.8 | 3.64587656900075 | 1.15412343099925 |
59 | 4.4 | 5.05287125864518 | -0.652871258645177 |
60 | 4.5 | 4.66228847874635 | -0.16228847874635 |
61 | 5.5 | 4.04836990413645 | 1.45163009586355 |
62 | 5.3 | 5.80698345060329 | -0.506983450603295 |
63 | 5.3 | 4.91568762556769 | 0.38431237443231 |
64 | 7.1 | 4.96090153543987 | 2.13909846456013 |
65 | 4.7 | 7.85619051299111 | -3.15619051299111 |
66 | 4.8 | 5.31485632410792 | -0.514856324107923 |
67 | 5.2 | 6.54853725159877 | -1.34853725159877 |
68 | 5.8 | 5.79048552388295 | 0.00951447611704825 |
69 | 7.5 | 4.84194942287199 | 2.65805057712801 |
70 | 7.9 | 6.77861919664218 | 1.12138080335782 |
71 | 8.2 | 8.26097706596958 | -0.060977065969583 |
72 | 8.8 | 8.78701351919799 | 0.012986480802013 |
73 | 10.3 | 8.81158915450288 | 1.48841084549712 |
74 | 10.8 | 10.8318414710479 | -0.0318414710479491 |
75 | 12.2 | 10.8904953995351 | 1.30950460046494 |
76 | 12.6 | 12.5176098049285 | 0.0823901950714827 |
77 | 14 | 13.3843913031924 | 0.615608696807588 |
78 | 15.1 | 15.4147044514399 | -0.3147044514399 |
79 | 16.2 | 17.6882486975535 | -1.48824869755353 |
80 | 16.4 | 17.7873623935722 | -1.38736239357218 |
81 | 15.7 | 16.389951324582 | -0.689951324581973 |
82 | 15.9 | 15.2158505365481 | 0.684149463451936 |
83 | 16.7 | 16.2441921699239 | 0.455807830076079 |
84 | 18.8 | 17.3769126933777 | 1.42308730662231 |
85 | 21.1 | 19.1700433642018 | 1.9299566357982 |
86 | 23.2 | 21.9187797929076 | 1.28122020709239 |
87 | 22.4 | 23.9354756527896 | -1.53547565278964 |
88 | 21.7 | 23.0068731953569 | -1.30687319535692 |
89 | 21.3 | 22.5663831731781 | -1.26638317317807 |
90 | 22.6 | 22.4174424296865 | 0.182557570313456 |
91 | 24 | 24.7862770472689 | -0.786277047268914 |
92 | 25.8 | 25.3772158704471 | 0.42278412955287 |
93 | 27.3 | 25.8417026358305 | 1.45829736416947 |
94 | 27.7 | 27.2457364380917 | 0.454263561908324 |
95 | 27.5 | 28.4914035204803 | -0.991403520480318 |
96 | 25.5 | 28.5573661625033 | -3.05736616250326 |
97 | 24.1 | 25.6952354619864 | -1.59523546198643 |
98 | 22.4 | 24.012769996179 | -1.61276999617899 |
99 | 21.3 | 21.5532967663838 | -0.253296766383752 |
100 | 20.7 | 20.4555082065366 | 0.244491793463386 |
101 | 20.3 | 20.33813692611 | -0.0381369261099778 |
102 | 18.9 | 20.5148603332559 | -1.61486033325593 |
103 | 16.7 | 19.9307447465519 | -3.23074474655193 |
104 | 14.5 | 16.7199007535203 | -2.21990075352031 |
105 | 13.2 | 12.7506243278222 | 0.449375672177823 |
106 | 12.1 | 10.9269327571936 | 1.17306724280638 |
107 | 11.2 | 10.6366526031454 | 0.563347396854589 |
108 | 10.1 | 10.1551906488713 | -0.055190648871335 |
109 | 9 | 8.83591838605022 | 0.164081613949776 |
110 | 9.3 | 7.72653635526088 | 1.57346364473912 |
111 | 9.8 | 7.78860763317628 | 2.01139236682372 |
112 | 9.7 | 8.66830439104761 | 1.03169560895239 |
113 | 8.9 | 9.23028052289784 | -0.330280522897844 |
114 | 8.6 | 8.94357320055438 | -0.343573200554378 |
115 | 8.3 | 9.55490108957633 | -1.25490108957633 |
116 | 8.1 | 8.70649301044537 | -0.606493010445371 |
117 | 7.4 | 7.14694729802462 | 0.253052701975385 |
118 | 7 | 5.88123173992482 | 1.11876826007518 |
119 | 6.9 | 6.17698670745687 | 0.723013292543135 |
120 | 7 | 6.50598105295384 | 0.49401894704616 |
121 | 5.9 | 6.50912552922007 | -0.609125529220068 |
122 | 5.6 | 5.45115043270998 | 0.148849567290024 |
123 | 4 | 4.65566305779743 | -0.655663057797434 |
124 | 3.2 | 2.9833554555011 | 0.2166445444989 |
125 | 2.8 | 2.5519812840909 | 0.248018715909097 |
126 | 2.8 | 2.75739945175977 | 0.042600548240225 |
127 | 2.7 | 3.68212527019111 | -0.98212527019111 |
128 | 1.9 | 3.19775891645608 | -1.29775891645608 |
129 | 1.8 | 1.00793652208778 | 0.792063477912219 |
130 | 1.5 | 0.343923249849836 | 1.15607675015016 |
131 | 1.1 | 0.691749085670209 | 0.408250914329791 |
132 | 0.4 | 0.705798648085017 | -0.305798648085017 |
133 | 0.3 | -0.250562615046708 | 0.550562615046708 |
134 | -1 | -0.124421872021783 | -0.875578127978217 |
135 | 0.7 | -2.04449140446737 | 2.74449140446737 |
136 | -0.3 | -0.0520236893408548 | -0.247976310659145 |
137 | -1 | -0.544741736509953 | -0.455258263490047 |
138 | -1.3 | -0.755092179488607 | -0.544907820511394 |
139 | -1.4 | -0.29374420634726 | -1.10625579365274 |
140 | -1.4 | -0.78107840299034 | -0.61892159700966 |
141 | -1.5 | -1.94496774398783 | 0.444967743987825 |
142 | -1.1 | -2.71599771760771 | 1.61599771760771 |
143 | -1.2 | -1.72895352640176 | 0.528953526401763 |
144 | -1 | -1.36846351569732 | 0.368463515697318 |
145 | -1.2 | -1.24132929909382 | 0.041329299093825 |
146 | -1.3 | -1.3773345173277 | 0.0773345173276963 |
147 | -1.8 | -1.68526127589978 | -0.114738724100222 |
148 | -1.3 | -2.5633219008803 | 1.2633219008803 |
149 | -2.2 | -1.4198144949581 | -0.780185505041901 |
150 | -2.68 | -1.74464477043211 | -0.935355229567894 |
151 | -1.4 | -1.55655355042429 | 0.156553550424286 |
152 | -1.7 | -0.498806068844684 | -1.20119393115532 |
153 | -0.8 | -1.88629129585825 | 1.08629129585825 |
154 | -0.6 | -1.63109539865033 | 1.03109539865033 |
155 | -0.9 | -1.01388746470607 | 0.113887464706069 |
156 | -1 | -0.867940537365736 | -0.132059462634264 |
157 | -0.2 | -1.12907200357572 | 0.929072003575724 |
158 | 0.7 | -0.191740568470797 | 0.891740568470797 |
159 | -0.2 | 0.62353422696251 | -0.82353422696251 |
160 | -0.3 | -0.551164374290592 | 0.251164374290592 |
161 | 0.1 | -0.396405242995965 | 0.496405242995965 |
162 | 0.5 | 0.760649035057251 | -0.260649035057251 |
163 | 0.5 | 2.07153570703528 | -1.57153570703528 |
164 | 0.3 | 1.56115568808543 | -1.26115568808543 |
165 | 0 | 0.404512066290722 | -0.404512066290722 |
166 | 0 | -0.850880556674228 | 0.850880556674228 |
167 | 1.3 | -0.618010421351273 | 1.91801042135127 |
168 | 0.4 | 1.33179890862214 | -0.931798908622138 |
169 | 1.2 | 0.41723602625333 | 0.78276397374667 |
170 | 0 | 1.20576195729568 | -1.20576195729568 |
171 | 0.8 | -0.405186252043557 | 1.20518625204356 |
172 | 1.6 | 0.359342251631595 | 1.2406577483684 |
173 | 1.7 | 1.59210225788772 | 0.107897742112276 |
174 | 1.4 | 2.41187123926787 | -1.01187123926787 |
175 | 1.5 | 2.88535210035856 | -1.38535210035856 |
176 | 1 | 2.55433027969098 | -1.55433027969098 |
177 | -0.1 | 1.12237113450947 | -1.22237113450947 |
178 | 0.2 | -1.00207933142927 | 1.20207933142927 |
179 | -0.3 | -0.507940342481063 | 0.207940342481063 |
180 | -0.3 | -0.772033632686892 | 0.472033632686892 |
181 | -1 | -0.452003139850663 | -0.547996860149337 |
182 | 0 | -1.45172301161575 | 1.45172301161575 |
183 | -0.8 | -0.395443290789622 | -0.404556709210378 |
184 | -1.3 | -1.36155501490529 | 0.0615550149052879 |
185 | -1.1 | -1.73691526414253 | 0.636915264142525 |
186 | -0.8 | -0.850616622748524 | 0.0506166227485241 |
187 | -0.9 | 0.413111706735613 | -1.31311170673561 |
188 | -0.7 | -0.0209666506871071 | -0.679033349312893 |
189 | -0.7 | -0.630179125452814 | -0.069820874547186 |
190 | -0.8 | -1.33548503890566 | 0.535485038905664 |
191 | -0.7 | -1.46504482013999 | 0.765044820139995 |
192 | -0.4 | -1.03486835039472 | 0.634868350394725 |
193 | 0.4 | -0.451339098138655 | 0.851339098138655 |
194 | 0.2 | 0.406479439271698 | -0.206479439271698 |
195 | 0.9 | -0.0673471489504772 | 0.967347148950477 |
196 | 1 | 0.6422606076058 | 0.3577393923942 |
197 | 0.7 | 1.00005392062575 | -0.300053920625749 |
198 | 0.3 | 1.23702715184622 | -0.937027151846215 |
199 | 0.5 | 1.58626219478125 | -1.08626219478125 |
200 | 0.9 | 1.54532252870981 | -0.645322528709806 |
201 | 1.1 | 1.15364272346646 | -0.0536427234664612 |
202 | 1.8 | 0.651972855965623 | 1.14802714403438 |
203 | 3 | 1.3541696953113 | 1.6458303046887 |
204 | 3.2 | 2.9848037582909 | 0.2151962417091 |
205 | 3.2 | 3.51640545507731 | -0.316405455077315 |
206 | 2.1 | 3.34432339372532 | -1.24432339372532 |
207 | 3 | 1.94905311434127 | 1.05094688565873 |
208 | 3.8 | 2.66567923340806 | 1.13432076659194 |
209 | 4.4 | 3.79870082783022 | 0.601299172169782 |
210 | 5 | 5.07681970255253 | -0.076819702552525 |
211 | 5.3 | 6.60546252216491 | -1.30546252216491 |
212 | 5.3 | 6.74723328053722 | -1.44723328053722 |
213 | 5.2 | 5.87560162578811 | -0.675601625788107 |
214 | 4.3 | 5.00204046045991 | -0.70204046045991 |
215 | 2.8 | 3.83665664818997 | -1.03665664818997 |
216 | 2.4 | 2.24720149564953 | 0.152798504350465 |
217 | 1.9 | 2.0460211530987 | -0.146021153098701 |
218 | 3.9 | 1.3572417139506 | 2.5427582860494 |
219 | 2.7 | 3.65808047607718 | -0.958080476077178 |
220 | 1.8 | 2.19872706624314 | -0.398727066243143 |
221 | 1.8 | 1.30134829634455 | 0.49865170365545 |
222 | 1.6 | 1.85041229921355 | -0.250412299213552 |
223 | 1.8 | 2.51631202089177 | -0.71631202089177 |
224 | 1.3 | 2.67824616724542 | -1.37824616724542 |
225 | 0.9 | 1.42001988902599 | -0.520019889025992 |
226 | 1.2 | 0.209131507663243 | 0.990868492336757 |
227 | 1.3 | 0.391385497146563 | 0.908614502853437 |
228 | 1.6 | 0.813030202384774 | 0.786969797615226 |
229 | 1.9 | 1.40375169997623 | 0.496248300023765 |
230 | 0.9 | 1.83288979826091 | -0.932889798260911 |
231 | 0.8 | 0.413479336880098 | 0.386520663119902 |
232 | 1.2 | 0.221620339062163 | 0.978379660937837 |
233 | 1.4 | 0.872936975559937 | 0.527063024440063 |
234 | 1.5 | 1.6054906013391 | -0.105490601339103 |
235 | 1 | 2.60713551042693 | -1.60713551042693 |
236 | 1.3 | 1.98202806147811 | -0.682028061478115 |
237 | 1.5 | 1.6337793700408 | -0.133779370040802 |
238 | 1.4 | 1.15506141063601 | 0.244938589363985 |
239 | 1.9 | 0.781574491044166 | 1.11842550895583 |
240 | 2.8 | 1.56696643960813 | 1.23303356039187 |
241 | 2.2 | 2.80235008629653 | -0.602350086296525 |
242 | 2.7 | 2.17935239319526 | 0.520647606804737 |
243 | 3.3 | 2.51346739329587 | 0.78653260670413 |
244 | 3 | 3.11073274356044 | -0.110732743560436 |
245 | 3.4 | 2.91430282687095 | 0.485697173129054 |
246 | 4.4 | 3.75256455496144 | 0.647435445038565 |
247 | 5.6 | 5.65989921032425 | -0.0598992103242546 |
248 | 6.5 | 7.10597048972792 | -0.605970489727925 |
249 | 6.2 | 7.44814607157798 | -1.24814607157798 |
250 | 6.5 | 6.3584421610985 | 0.141557838901502 |
251 | 6.9 | 6.33117540124085 | 0.568824598759152 |
252 | 6.5 | 6.90373821563039 | -0.403738215630388 |
253 | 7.1 | 6.5079664718932 | 0.592033528106797 |
254 | 8.7 | 7.29086077037434 | 1.40913922962566 |
255 | 8.3 | 8.83216677973275 | -0.532166779732746 |
256 | 8.5 | 8.2864193279467 | 0.2135806720533 |
257 | 7.7 | 8.63280892784496 | -0.932808927844964 |
258 | 7.1 | 8.13040633446195 | -1.03040633446195 |
259 | 6.3 | 8.11783079233992 | -1.81783079233992 |
260 | 4.9 | 7.29137056400096 | -2.39137056400096 |
261 | 4.6 | 5.03442385502995 | -0.434423855029955 |
262 | 4 | 4.03844842912254 | -0.0384484291225355 |
263 | 2.4 | 3.08374353077145 | -0.683743530771449 |
264 | 1.2 | 1.42658717401789 | -0.226587174017891 |
265 | 1 | 0.298346981914913 | 0.701653018085087 |
266 | -1.6 | 0.291396599997748 | -1.89139659999775 |
267 | -1.2 | -2.86484260915128 | 1.66484260915128 |
268 | -1.5 | -2.44856003123726 | 0.948560031237256 |
269 | -1.4 | -2.51165806341789 | 1.11165806341789 |
270 | -1.7 | -1.79568432986243 | 0.0956843298624339 |
271 | -1.8 | -1.30641083863787 | -0.493589161362129 |
272 | -1.2 | -1.21351387406136 | 0.0135138740613583 |
273 | -0.8 | -0.970936666343992 | 0.170936666343992 |
274 | -0.5 | -1.15016828747076 | 0.650168287470763 |
275 | 0.6 | -1.1714278181147 | 1.7714278181147 |
276 | 1.9 | 0.228763797719974 | 1.67123620228003 |
277 | 1.5 | 1.98648836118765 | -0.486488361187646 |
278 | 2.7 | 1.5527453063301 | 1.1472546936699 |
279 | 2.4 | 2.83411763707238 | -0.434117637072384 |
280 | 2.8 | 2.26606197013766 | 0.533938029862341 |
281 | 3.1 | 2.77733945343579 | 0.322660546564209 |
282 | 2.9 | 3.5060095713751 | -0.606009571375104 |
283 | 3.3 | 4.00379974854531 | -0.703799748545307 |
284 | 3.5 | 4.60510781811001 | -1.10510781811001 |
285 | 3.6 | 4.30310272806617 | -0.703102728066167 |
286 | 4.4 | 3.68532460920494 | 0.714675390795056 |
287 | 5.1 | 4.15359080927419 | 0.946409190725808 |
288 | 4.6 | 4.99419263594929 | -0.394192635949286 |
289 | 4.9 | 4.55337101022566 | 0.346628989774343 |
290 | 4.9 | 5.02048215478285 | -0.120482154782849 |
291 | 5.4 | 4.81362005089153 | 0.586379949108469 |
292 | 5.3 | 5.23233500028834 | 0.0676649997116554 |
293 | 5.5 | 5.18865219735029 | 0.311347802649712 |
294 | 6.4 | 5.73201399073588 | 0.667986009264116 |
295 | 6.5 | 7.50741623666477 | -1.00741623666477 |
296 | 6.2 | 7.84937333141775 | -1.64937333141775 |
297 | 6.1 | 7.03197790187013 | -0.931977901870134 |
298 | 5.5 | 6.22633153737035 | -0.726331537370348 |
299 | 4.2 | 5.05897410361317 | -0.858974103613171 |
300 | 4.1 | 3.51606732712755 | 0.583932672872447 |
301 | 4.5 | 3.58647049608178 | 0.913529503918218 |
302 | 3.2 | 4.19030095409893 | -0.990300954098927 |
303 | 3.6 | 2.72591113078288 | 0.874088869217117 |
304 | 3.4 | 2.9224199797027 | 0.477580020297298 |
305 | 3 | 2.89185847851415 | 0.10814152148585 |
306 | 2.2 | 2.85341111422809 | -0.653411114228089 |
307 | 1.8 | 2.64600021126717 | -0.846000211267172 |
308 | 2 | 2.48257451119208 | -0.482574511192075 |
309 | 1.9 | 2.38266387736604 | -0.482663877366036 |
310 | 1.7 | 1.66570879186172 | 0.0342912081382842 |
311 | 2 | 0.977467228273897 | 1.0225327717261 |
312 | 2.5 | 1.37699752794511 | 1.12300247205489 |
313 | 2 | 2.15254880126207 | -0.152548801262072 |
314 | 3.2 | 1.63596899556111 | 1.56403100443889 |
315 | 2.1 | 3.10305811591053 | -1.00305811591053 |
316 | 2.4 | 1.64470416231707 | 0.755295837682926 |
317 | 2.1 | 2.00846191449789 | 0.0915380855021142 |
318 | 2.7 | 2.06031757866347 | 0.639682421336527 |
319 | 2.7 | 3.41328793246281 | -0.713287932462814 |
320 | 2.6 | 3.79390049128907 | -1.19390049128907 |
321 | 3.1 | 3.31096405353292 | -0.210964053532924 |
322 | 3.2 | 3.20561865458406 | -0.00561865458405997 |
323 | 3 | 2.86652367646354 | 0.133476323536462 |
324 | 2.5 | 2.61678671684923 | -0.116786716849234 |
325 | 2.5 | 2.11504216081509 | 0.384957839184913 |
326 | 2 | 2.27351209121993 | -0.273512091219933 |
327 | 2.4 | 1.60192210354676 | 0.79807789645324 |
328 | 1.8 | 1.98927994255226 | -0.189279942552261 |
329 | 2.5 | 1.32040268270286 | 1.17959731729714 |
330 | 2.3 | 2.49315551117126 | -0.193155511171263 |
331 | 2.3 | 2.91028077351033 | -0.61028077351033 |
332 | 2 | 3.30335028827789 | -1.30335028827789 |
333 | 1.6 | 2.72166855291108 | -1.12166855291108 |
334 | 1.6 | 1.56792176636802 | 0.0320782336319789 |
335 | 1.4 | 1.06281994772115 | 0.337180052278854 |
336 | 1.5 | 0.807124795849338 | 0.692875204150662 |
337 | 0.8 | 1.04920921519291 | -0.249209215192913 |
338 | 1.4 | 0.423353996539277 | 0.976646003460723 |
339 | 1.4 | 1.04681217783848 | 0.353187822161516 |
340 | 1.5 | 0.934950259529335 | 0.565049740470665 |
341 | 1.2 | 1.1727401319378 | 0.027259868062204 |
342 | 1.4 | 1.09615601468549 | 0.303843985314506 |
343 | 1.6 | 1.94581185973236 | -0.345811859732355 |
344 | 2 | 2.5793762784916 | -0.579376278491596 |
345 | 1.6 | 2.84656248132394 | -1.24656248132394 |
346 | 1.3 | 1.80184057510783 | -0.501840575107834 |
347 | 1.5 | 0.877457394660602 | 0.622542605339398 |
348 | 1.6 | 1.01407797246634 | 0.585922027533659 |
349 | 1.8 | 1.17408858534853 | 0.625911414651471 |
350 | 2.3 | 1.67686053347645 | 0.623139466523548 |
351 | 2.3 | 2.09788195637309 | 0.202118043626909 |
352 | 2.3 | 2.00616989016932 | 0.29383010983068 |
353 | 2 | 2.05445655836712 | -0.0544565583671215 |
354 | 1.9 | 2.00888154058055 | -0.108881540580555 |
355 | 1.8 | 2.44815305882133 | -0.648153058821331 |
356 | 1.3 | 2.75365028055713 | -1.45365028055713 |
357 | 1.9 | 1.98659910127703 | -0.0865991012770317 |
358 | 2.1 | 2.08874596321386 | 0.011254036786136 |
359 | 2.3 | 1.82198647064257 | 0.478013529357425 |
360 | 2.1 | 1.89895957956164 | 0.201040420438358 |
361 | 2.5 | 1.71810131235389 | 0.781898687646106 |
362 | 0.8 | 2.40503948457726 | -1.60503948457726 |
363 | 0.9 | 0.398780196043157 | 0.501219803956843 |
364 | 1.2 | 0.312972221634661 | 0.887027778365339 |
365 | 1.5 | 0.706768617237219 | 0.793231382762781 |
366 | 1.5 | 1.40369636419628 | 0.0963036358037166 |
367 | 1.4 | 1.98800417288625 | -0.588004172886253 |
368 | 1.8 | 2.29478819863209 | -0.494788198632087 |
369 | 1.6 | 2.67642627409759 | -1.07642627409759 |
370 | 1.9 | 1.8638116967111 | 0.0361883032889037 |
371 | 1.7 | 1.6551917172929 | 0.0448082827070977 |
372 | 1.8 | 1.24044433546608 | 0.559555664533919 |
373 | 1.5 | 1.42337554420031 | 0.0766244557996876 |
374 | 2.9 | 1.15856276685401 | 1.74143723314599 |
375 | 2.1 | 2.83522926949144 | -0.735229269491442 |
376 | 1.8 | 1.84939322206204 | -0.0493932220620359 |
377 | 1.8 | 1.43337430956648 | 0.366625690433521 |
378 | 1.9 | 1.68078106150233 | 0.219218938497666 |
379 | 2.1 | 2.34713079354966 | -0.247130793549655 |
380 | 2.3 | 3.04991926686779 | -0.749919266867793 |
381 | 2.5 | 3.18389906109695 | -0.683899061096946 |
382 | 2.5 | 2.91046656323908 | -0.410466563239082 |
383 | 2.2 | 2.30938866035028 | -0.109388660350278 |
384 | 1.9 | 1.78443759765318 | 0.115562402346818 |
385 | 1.7 | 1.44381337056729 | 0.256186629432713 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
386 | 1.41707914095025 | -0.691768566360247 | 3.52592684826075 |
387 | 0.965786941195831 | -2.15930634687806 | 4.09088022926973 |
388 | 0.498641157115451 | -3.6012400999151 | 4.598522414146 |
389 | -0.0467726851101649 | -5.12784186391269 | 5.03429649369236 |
390 | -0.415692221338512 | -6.50112496294651 | 5.66974052026949 |
391 | -0.287582824075551 | -7.40771483406764 | 6.83254918591654 |
392 | 0.348255912530003 | -7.84016268451336 | 8.53667450957336 |
393 | 1.04636152816949 | -8.24534552996034 | 10.3380685862993 |
394 | 1.40320436482978 | -9.02726605601832 | 11.8336747856779 |
395 | 1.24804456953816 | -10.3566290199282 | 12.8527181590045 |
396 | 0.901972379690805 | -11.9120277126732 | 13.7159724720548 |
397 | 0.506240216773908 | -13.5517372873592 | 14.5642177209071 |