Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[16])
40-------
52-------
60-------
72-------
813-------
98-------
107-------
110-------
1235-------
1327-------
1421-------
1517-------
1638-------
17NA4015.389264.6108NA0.56330.99880.5633
18NA383.195172.8049NANA0.98380.5
19NA40-2.627282.6272NANA0.95970.5366
20NA511.7784100.2216NANA0.93490.6977
21NA46-9.0315101.0315NANA0.9120.6122
22NA45-15.2839105.2839NANA0.89170.59
23NA38-27.1141103.1141NANA0.87370.5
24NA733.3901142.6099NANA0.85770.8378
25NA65-8.8324138.8324NANA0.84350.7632
26NA59-18.8262136.8262NANA0.83070.7016
27NA55-26.6248136.6248NANA0.81920.6584
28NA76-9.2544161.2544NANA0.80880.8088
29NA78-20.4433176.4433NANANA0.7871
30NA76-34.0629186.0629NANANA0.7507
31NA78-42.5679198.5679NANANA0.7422
32NA89-41.2282219.2282NANANA0.7786
33NA84-55.2198223.2198NANANA0.7414
34NA83-64.6649230.6649NANANA0.7248
35NA76-79.6525231.6525NANANA0.6839
36NA111-52.2497274.2497NANANA0.8096
37NA103-67.5087273.5087NANANA0.7725
38NA97-80.4711274.4711NANANA0.7427
39NA93-91.1705277.1705NANANA0.7208
40NA114-76.6346304.6346NANANA0.7827


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPEsMAPESq.EMSERMSEScaledEMASE
170.3139NANANANA00NANA
180.4673NANANANANANANANA
190.5437NANANANANANANANA
200.4924NANANANANANANANA
210.6104NANANANANANANANA
220.6835NANANANANANANANA
230.8742NANANANANANANANA
240.4865NANANANANANANANA
250.5795NANANANANANANANA
260.673NANANANANANANANA
270.7572NANANANANANANANA
280.5723NANANANANANANANA
290.6439NANANANANANANANA
300.7389NANANANANANANANA
310.7886NANANANANANANANA
320.7466NANANANANANANANA
330.8456NANANANANANANANA
340.9077NANANANANANANANA
351.0449NANANANANANANANA
360.7504NANANANANANANANA
370.8446NANANANANANANANA
380.9335NANANANANANANANA
391.0104NANANANANANANANA
400.8532NANANANANANANANA