Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | 0 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
8 | 33.86 | 25.3944387755102 | 8.46556122448982 |
9 | 44.24 | 33.8647448979592 | 10.3752551020408 |
10 | 37.25 | 25.8993367346939 | 11.3506632653061 |
11 | 66.42 | 39.7996428571428 | 26.6203571428572 |
12 | 58.36 | 34.2699489795918 | 24.0900510204082 |
13 | 38.56 | 24.6745408163265 | 13.8854591836735 |
14 | 30.61 | 64.5362755102041 | -33.9262755102041 |
15 | 92.07 | 44.356581632653 | 47.713418367347 |
16 | 36.82 | 52.826887755102 | -16.006887755102 |
17 | 63.12 | 44.8614795918367 | 18.2585204081633 |
18 | 54.14 | 58.7617857142857 | -4.62178571428569 |
19 | 43.82 | 53.2320918367347 | -9.41209183673467 |
20 | 43.48 | 43.6366836734694 | -0.156683673469367 |
21 | 61.24 | 83.4984183673469 | -22.2584183673469 |
22 | 39.03 | 63.3187244897959 | -24.2887244897959 |
23 | 72.94 | 71.7890306122449 | 1.15096938775511 |
24 | 54.44 | 63.8236224489796 | -9.38362244897958 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
25 | 77.7239285714286 | 36.7612622894819 | 118.686594853375 |
26 | 72.1942346938775 | 31.2315684119309 | 113.156900975824 |
27 | 62.5988265306122 | 21.6361602486656 | 103.561492812559 |
28 | 102.46056122449 | 61.4978949425432 | 143.423227506436 |
29 | 82.2808673469388 | 41.3182010649921 | 123.243533628885 |
30 | 90.7511734693878 | 49.7885071874411 | 131.713839751334 |
31 | 82.7857653061224 | 41.8230990241758 | 123.748431588069 |