Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
1 | 1.647 | 1.647 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 1.667 | 1.6486065662858 | 0.000535522095268115 | 0.00442424127406067 | 0.279671663569668 |
3 | 1.777 | 1.67098963338903 | 0.00599740834725631 | 0.0306058295976479 | 1.65546945847509 |
4 | 1.707 | 1.68429555381313 | 0.00745911076262646 | 0.00194620372170536 | 0.466890674371599 |
5 | 1.733 | 1.69932528883606 | 0.00872088147267729 | 0.0130350309092071 | 0.465501524478169 |
6 | 1.717 | 1.70883193487589 | 0.008833133553698 | 0.00598682946260412 | 0.0489672709823233 |
7 | 1.625 | 1.69805101531929 | 0.00638137691491151 | -0.0160290486765606 | -1.270461062721 |
8 | 1.604 | 1.68268196859828 | 0.00396466317758647 | -0.0115565474194902 | -1.48292153449443 |
9 | 1.647 | 1.67679840206976 | 0.00297984020697643 | 0.0026540484378037 | -0.710889718214409 |
10 | 1.647 | 1.67278634342158 | 0.00234421303832524 | -0.00114439355250093 | -0.535491825766914 |
11 | 1.702 | 1.67834312017589 | 0.00261192668132396 | 0.0115542718175176 | 0.261066605568248 |
12 | 1.718 | 1.68650674244182 | 0.0030389801878322 | 0.00917522355828625 | 0.478200108848589 |
13 | 1.756 | 1.69595066509659 | 0.00349647607832794 | -0.00796769412560051 | 1.40057575501223 |
14 | 1.59 | 1.68943541754832 | 0.00282902783655456 | -0.0552663209379841 | -0.984708996310256 |
15 | 1.834 | 1.70709930716111 | 0.00375620669756929 | 0.0696197165098917 | 1.30814851628095 |
16 | 1.626 | 1.70230293452081 | 0.00325311379534184 | -0.0420657221504548 | -0.781748037459795 |
17 | 1.793 | 1.71438076691732 | 0.00374337593985095 | 0.0407903639835482 | 0.859256366124497 |
18 | 1.707 | 1.71643797173639 | 0.00365463009138897 | -0.00168445909905278 | -0.175137854031569 |
19 | 1.647 | 1.71228956630651 | 0.00326447831532546 | -0.0269649159685253 | -0.861339588954599 |
20 | 1.614 | 1.70415084199247 | 0.00272146866630793 | -0.0306187859098291 | -1.3320566535073 |
21 | 1.639 | 1.69753724743472 | 0.00229714761066911 | -0.00695804921771609 | -1.14959725392856 |
22 | 1.639 | 1.69279150156069 | 0.00199093485046488 | -0.0127439930496564 | -0.911638439151106 |
23 | 1.713 | 1.69475397725543 | 0.00198974905230944 | 0.0184209600145029 | -0.00387150049781746 |
24 | 1.7 | 1.69691240115292 | 0.0019964960461166 | 0.00197168680083591 | 0.0245602155252781 |
25 | 1.872 | 1.70997513239579 | 0.00242212047676105 | 0.0662265091738493 | 2.097563100474 |
26 | 1.648 | 1.71493918105172 | 0.00251626596487852 | -0.0854813716340082 | 0.413505826218763 |
27 | 1.774 | 1.71664878748017 | 0.00248745669572026 | 0.0629028246619605 | -0.124861405325464 |
28 | 1.788 | 1.72858812340784 | 0.00281338356578752 | -0.00618640806198112 | 1.47729180472527 |
29 | 1.844 | 1.7382115869326 | 0.00304038623108652 | 0.0570347766085383 | 1.09677504345605 |
30 | 1.757 | 1.74292171157456 | 0.00309424876046962 | 0.00166947971803832 | 0.278676549416581 |
31 | 1.757 | 1.74799179064064 | 0.00315599345752012 | -0.00624751469016747 | 0.341995836125871 |
32 | 1.681 | 1.74780996599947 | 0.00305484745452935 | -0.040055619370229 | -0.598722381314837 |
33 | 1.635 | 1.74237472283413 | 0.00280513890688603 | -0.0368012534480413 | -1.57670154715982 |
34 | 1.85 | 1.75143744179353 | 0.00298392690838651 | 0.0446271123564885 | 1.20298470549974 |
35 | 1.754 | 1.75441361230375 | 0.00298371145288194 | -0.000344043139116368 | -0.00154869849339133 |
36 | 1.717 | 1.75618560401779 | 0.00295096227075096 | -0.0276821520483842 | -0.255396784084781 |
37 | 1.88 | 1.76232675327561 | 0.00303491455988435 | 0.083765922072245 | 0.751856280331095 |
38 | 1.683 | 1.76638728253341 | 0.00306121237265153 | -0.0938521171923662 | 0.233057421608449 |
39 | 1.811 | 1.76951656928468 | 0.00306291423211692 | 0.0408056233319584 | 0.0151490767153331 |
40 | 1.806 | 1.77549497222093 | 0.00313402371270557 | 0.00136570484475242 | 0.65189406260328 |
41 | 1.875 | 1.78144794771617 | 0.00320114161228974 | 0.0648719155859121 | 0.641466966197821 |
42 | 1.712 | 1.78121156085867 | 0.00312119908973662 | -0.0334077413799615 | -0.800247351254321 |
43 | 1.852 | 1.78723918435451 | 0.00318725418987519 | 0.0337081143291588 | 0.693475529280158 |
44 | 1.688 | 1.78705700723844 | 0.00311237793863203 | -0.0621081784793455 | -0.824423429423724 |
45 | 1.723 | 1.78869907973248 | 0.00308041477679294 | -0.0491455486789287 | -0.369018270032177 |
46 | 1.899 | 1.79453303763112 | 0.00313900080066216 | 0.0726033588116562 | 0.709629517808711 |
47 | 1.768 | 1.79669395117785 | 0.00311862398287186 | -0.0170167858931181 | -0.259767194748747 |
48 | 1.801 | 1.80137641719333 | 0.00315053912639444 | -0.0198365058890182 | 0.432360065476849 |
49 | 1.921 | 1.80633980055376 | 0.00318679601107523 | 0.0907536753225266 | 0.530776751950343 |
50 | 1.78 | 1.81277078354856 | 0.00325040752056005 | -0.0753435384960364 | 0.946131886946099 |
51 | 2.02 | 1.82404117562167 | 0.00340463799272442 | 0.0915463092228982 | 2.32404669162764 |
52 | 1.763 | 1.8262444393915 | 0.0033819705545566 | -0.0475403743533848 | -0.349754836905953 |
53 | 1.656 | 1.81919116509607 | 0.00318872527955682 | -0.0250854919885362 | -3.07571364333953 |
54 | 1.745 | 1.81900216229039 | 0.0031273120416434 | -0.0285479532302978 | -1.01195974139836 |
55 | 1.792 | 1.81840540485863 | 0.00306081080104694 | 0.0246559885496937 | -1.13626900087706 |
Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
1 | 1.64307297262645 | 1.75471545632798 | -0.111642483701524 |
2 | 1.65873092530889 | 1.75631017204373 | -0.0975792467348393 |
3 | 1.83445103130391 | 1.75790488775949 | 0.0765461435444292 |
4 | 1.71410650665659 | 1.75949960347524 | -0.04539309681865 |
5 | 1.73980579723706 | 1.76109431919099 | -0.0212885219539314 |