Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[19])
16	185	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	172	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	136	186.7969	95.3314	278.2624	0.1382	0.0448	0.6244	0.0448
21	132	129.7031	36.7239	222.6822	0.4807	0.4472	0.5227	0.002
22	125	266.4938	173.4646	359.523	0.0014	0.9977	0.5042	0.5042
23	155	186.8871	56.0334	317.7408	0.3165	0.823	0.777	0.118
24	148	129.7195	-2.2095	261.6486	0.393	0.3536	0.4865	0.0215

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
20	0.2498	-0.3735	0.3735	0.3147	2580.326	0	0	-4.2331	4.2331
21	0.3657	0.0174	0.1955	0.1661	5.2759	1292.801	35.9555	0.1914	2.2122
22	0.1781	-1.132	0.5076	0.3517	20020.4928	7535.3649	86.8065	-11.7911	5.4052
23	0.3572	-0.2057	0.4321	0.3104	1016.7881	5905.7207	76.8487	-2.6573	4.7182
24	0.5189	0.1235	0.3704	0.2747	334.175	4791.4116	69.22	1.5234	4.0793