Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_autocorrelation.wasp
Title produced by software(Partial) Autocorrelation Function
Date of computationMon, 27 Oct 2008 11:28:52 -0600
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Oct/27/t1225128561t5nm7kbnkxasmmz.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 00:02:52 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305, Retrieved Sun, 19 May 2024 00:02:52 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact163
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Univariate Explorative Data Analysis] [Investigation Dis...] [2007-10-21 17:06:37] [b9964c45117f7aac638ab9056d451faa]
F RMPD  [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [Q4] [2008-10-23 10:50:20] [28075c6928548bea087cb2be962cfe7e]
F           [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [] [2008-10-27 17:28:52] [e0f4dc76ea1a8276fe566258b977cec4] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-10-31 13:46:07 [Stijn Van de Velde] [reply
Deze berekening is niet juist, want de lag word hier maar berekend over een periode van 12 maanden. Dat is niet genoeg om seizoenaliteit waar te nemen.

Ik heb daarom de berekening van Q3 gereproduceerd en hierbij rekening gehouden met een lag=36.
link:http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2008/Oct/31/t1225460439z3sin9nd3ps5kpq.htm

Als we naar de autocorrelatie grafiek kijken zien we dat er elke 12de maand zich een piek voordoet. Men kan hier dus spreken van seizoenaliteit.
2008-11-01 11:16:03 [2df1bcd103d52957f4a39bd4617794c8] [reply
Unverified author, niet opgeslagen onder eigen inlog...

Wanneer we nu de berekening reproduceren en vervolgens, zoals voorgaande student correct besluit, de lag aanpassen naar 36 merken we elke 12 maanden een outlier. Deze duidt op seizonaliteit van de data.
2008-11-03 09:22:52 [256f97d8b7c07ed49f142eff724c6520] [reply
U had dit beter op een langere termijn gedaan. De outliers kon je toewijzen aan seizoensinvloeden.
2008-11-03 09:23:07 [Bas van Keken] [reply
Men kan dus pas conclusies trekken over seizoenaliteit indien men de mogelijkheid heeft meerdere jaren met elkaar te kunnen spiegelen.

Post a new message
Dataseries X:
109.20
88.60
94.30
98.30
86.40
80.60
104.10
108.20
93.40
71.90
94.10
94.90
96.40
91.10
84.40
86.40
88.00
75.10
109.70
103.00
82.10
68.00
96.40
94.30
90.00
88.00
76.10
82.50
81.40
66.50
97.20
94.10
80.70
70.50
87.80
89.50
99.60
84.20
75.10
92.00
80.80
73.10
99.80
90.00
83.10
72.40
78.80
87.30
91.00
80.10
73.60
86.40
74.50
71.20
92.40
81.50
85.30
69.90
84.20
90.70
100.30




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135







Autocorrelation Function
Time lag kACF(k)T-STATP-value
10.1348681.05340.148167
2-0.230388-1.79940.038452
3-0.025856-0.20190.420317
40.2268231.77150.040733
50.1893471.47880.072164
60.1969711.53840.064562
70.0967310.75550.226431
80.1573531.2290.111903
9-0.121757-0.9510.172691
10-0.273532-2.13640.018336
110.0938150.73270.233269
120.6218644.85694e-06
13-0.008279-0.06470.474327
14-0.26372-2.05970.02185
15-0.145361-1.13530.130345
160.1151760.89960.185948
170.1370871.07070.144266

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Autocorrelation Function \tabularnewline
Time lag k & ACF(k) & T-STAT & P-value \tabularnewline
1 & 0.134868 & 1.0534 & 0.148167 \tabularnewline
2 & -0.230388 & -1.7994 & 0.038452 \tabularnewline
3 & -0.025856 & -0.2019 & 0.420317 \tabularnewline
4 & 0.226823 & 1.7715 & 0.040733 \tabularnewline
5 & 0.189347 & 1.4788 & 0.072164 \tabularnewline
6 & 0.196971 & 1.5384 & 0.064562 \tabularnewline
7 & 0.096731 & 0.7555 & 0.226431 \tabularnewline
8 & 0.157353 & 1.229 & 0.111903 \tabularnewline
9 & -0.121757 & -0.951 & 0.172691 \tabularnewline
10 & -0.273532 & -2.1364 & 0.018336 \tabularnewline
11 & 0.093815 & 0.7327 & 0.233269 \tabularnewline
12 & 0.621864 & 4.8569 & 4e-06 \tabularnewline
13 & -0.008279 & -0.0647 & 0.474327 \tabularnewline
14 & -0.26372 & -2.0597 & 0.02185 \tabularnewline
15 & -0.145361 & -1.1353 & 0.130345 \tabularnewline
16 & 0.115176 & 0.8996 & 0.185948 \tabularnewline
17 & 0.137087 & 1.0707 & 0.144266 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Autocorrelation Function[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Time lag k[/C][C]ACF(k)[/C][C]T-STAT[/C][C]P-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]0.134868[/C][C]1.0534[/C][C]0.148167[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]-0.230388[/C][C]-1.7994[/C][C]0.038452[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]-0.025856[/C][C]-0.2019[/C][C]0.420317[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]0.226823[/C][C]1.7715[/C][C]0.040733[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]0.189347[/C][C]1.4788[/C][C]0.072164[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]0.196971[/C][C]1.5384[/C][C]0.064562[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]0.096731[/C][C]0.7555[/C][C]0.226431[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]0.157353[/C][C]1.229[/C][C]0.111903[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]-0.121757[/C][C]-0.951[/C][C]0.172691[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]-0.273532[/C][C]-2.1364[/C][C]0.018336[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]0.093815[/C][C]0.7327[/C][C]0.233269[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]0.621864[/C][C]4.8569[/C][C]4e-06[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]-0.008279[/C][C]-0.0647[/C][C]0.474327[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]-0.26372[/C][C]-2.0597[/C][C]0.02185[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]-0.145361[/C][C]-1.1353[/C][C]0.130345[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]0.115176[/C][C]0.8996[/C][C]0.185948[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]0.137087[/C][C]1.0707[/C][C]0.144266[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Autocorrelation Function
Time lag kACF(k)T-STATP-value
10.1348681.05340.148167
2-0.230388-1.79940.038452
3-0.025856-0.20190.420317
40.2268231.77150.040733
50.1893471.47880.072164
60.1969711.53840.064562
70.0967310.75550.226431
80.1573531.2290.111903
9-0.121757-0.9510.172691
10-0.273532-2.13640.018336
110.0938150.73270.233269
120.6218644.85694e-06
13-0.008279-0.06470.474327
14-0.26372-2.05970.02185
15-0.145361-1.13530.130345
160.1151760.89960.185948
170.1370871.07070.144266







Partial Autocorrelation Function
Time lag kPACF(k)T-STATP-value
10.1348681.05340.148167
2-0.253183-1.97740.026259
30.0513990.40140.344751
40.1792421.39990.083301
50.1406331.09840.138178
60.2718562.12330.018899
70.1344911.05040.148838
80.2529031.97520.026385
9-0.200811-1.56840.060983
10-0.378002-2.95230.002236
11-0.137616-1.07480.143345
120.4737473.70010.000232
13-0.089353-0.69790.243955
140.0727080.56790.286104
15-0.09552-0.7460.229255
16-0.014972-0.11690.453649
17-0.008653-0.06760.473169

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Partial Autocorrelation Function \tabularnewline
Time lag k & PACF(k) & T-STAT & P-value \tabularnewline
1 & 0.134868 & 1.0534 & 0.148167 \tabularnewline
2 & -0.253183 & -1.9774 & 0.026259 \tabularnewline
3 & 0.051399 & 0.4014 & 0.344751 \tabularnewline
4 & 0.179242 & 1.3999 & 0.083301 \tabularnewline
5 & 0.140633 & 1.0984 & 0.138178 \tabularnewline
6 & 0.271856 & 2.1233 & 0.018899 \tabularnewline
7 & 0.134491 & 1.0504 & 0.148838 \tabularnewline
8 & 0.252903 & 1.9752 & 0.026385 \tabularnewline
9 & -0.200811 & -1.5684 & 0.060983 \tabularnewline
10 & -0.378002 & -2.9523 & 0.002236 \tabularnewline
11 & -0.137616 & -1.0748 & 0.143345 \tabularnewline
12 & 0.473747 & 3.7001 & 0.000232 \tabularnewline
13 & -0.089353 & -0.6979 & 0.243955 \tabularnewline
14 & 0.072708 & 0.5679 & 0.286104 \tabularnewline
15 & -0.09552 & -0.746 & 0.229255 \tabularnewline
16 & -0.014972 & -0.1169 & 0.453649 \tabularnewline
17 & -0.008653 & -0.0676 & 0.473169 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Partial Autocorrelation Function[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Time lag k[/C][C]PACF(k)[/C][C]T-STAT[/C][C]P-value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]0.134868[/C][C]1.0534[/C][C]0.148167[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]-0.253183[/C][C]-1.9774[/C][C]0.026259[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]0.051399[/C][C]0.4014[/C][C]0.344751[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]0.179242[/C][C]1.3999[/C][C]0.083301[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]0.140633[/C][C]1.0984[/C][C]0.138178[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]0.271856[/C][C]2.1233[/C][C]0.018899[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]0.134491[/C][C]1.0504[/C][C]0.148838[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]0.252903[/C][C]1.9752[/C][C]0.026385[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]-0.200811[/C][C]-1.5684[/C][C]0.060983[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]-0.378002[/C][C]-2.9523[/C][C]0.002236[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]-0.137616[/C][C]-1.0748[/C][C]0.143345[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]0.473747[/C][C]3.7001[/C][C]0.000232[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]-0.089353[/C][C]-0.6979[/C][C]0.243955[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]0.072708[/C][C]0.5679[/C][C]0.286104[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]-0.09552[/C][C]-0.746[/C][C]0.229255[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]-0.014972[/C][C]-0.1169[/C][C]0.453649[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]-0.008653[/C][C]-0.0676[/C][C]0.473169[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=19305&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Partial Autocorrelation Function
Time lag kPACF(k)T-STATP-value
10.1348681.05340.148167
2-0.253183-1.97740.026259
30.0513990.40140.344751
40.1792421.39990.083301
50.1406331.09840.138178
60.2718562.12330.018899
70.1344911.05040.148838
80.2529031.97520.026385
9-0.200811-1.56840.060983
10-0.378002-2.95230.002236
11-0.137616-1.07480.143345
120.4737473.70010.000232
13-0.089353-0.69790.243955
140.0727080.56790.286104
15-0.09552-0.7460.229255
16-0.014972-0.11690.453649
17-0.008653-0.06760.473169



Parameters (Session):
par1 = Default ; par2 = 1 ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = 0 ; par5 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = Default ; par2 = 1 ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = 0 ; par5 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
if (par1 == 'Default') {
par1 = 10*log10(length(x))
} else {
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
}
par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
par4 <- as.numeric(par4)
par5 <- as.numeric(par5)
if (par2 == 0) {
x <- log(x)
} else {
x <- (x ^ par2 - 1) / par2
}
if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par3)
if (par4 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par5,difference=par4)
bitmap(file='pic1.png')
racf <- acf(x,par1,main='Autocorrelation',xlab='lags',ylab='ACF')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='pic2.png')
rpacf <- pacf(x,par1,main='Partial Autocorrelation',xlab='lags',ylab='PACF')
dev.off()
(myacf <- c(racf$acf))
(mypacf <- c(rpacf$acf))
lengthx <- length(x)
sqrtn <- sqrt(lengthx)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Autocorrelation Function',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Time lag k',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('basics.htm','ACF(k)','click here for more information about the Autocorrelation Function'),header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'P-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 2:(par1+1)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i-1,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(myacf[i],6))
mytstat <- myacf[i]*sqrtn
a<-table.element(a,round(mytstat,4))
a<-table.element(a,round(1-pt(abs(mytstat),lengthx),6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Partial Autocorrelation Function',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Time lag k',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('basics.htm','PACF(k)','click here for more information about the Partial Autocorrelation Function'),header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'P-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par1) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(mypacf[i],6))
mytstat <- mypacf[i]*sqrtn
a<-table.element(a,round(mytstat,4))
a<-table.element(a,round(1-pt(abs(mytstat),lengthx),6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')