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Description of Statistical Computation

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Module--
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationSun, 13 Dec 2015 13:15:10 +0000
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2015/Dec/13/t1450012557z2pc90ml59jn55z.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 16 May 2024 21:35:44 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=286169, Retrieved Thu, 16 May 2024 21:35:44 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact108

Tree of Dependent Computations

Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Linear Regression Graphical Model Validation] [Colombia Coffee -...] [2008-02-26 10:22:06] [74be16979710d4c4e7c6647856088456]
- RMPD  [Exponential Smoothing] [Voorspelling van ...] [2015-12-11 16:10:08] [9378e2688aa9dcfd1390615d31e9d404]
- RM        [Exponential Smoothing] [Prognose van de w...] [2015-12-13 13:15:10] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
-  MP         [Exponential Smoothing] [Prognose van de w...] [2015-12-13 13:16:24] [74be16979710d4c4e7c6647856088456]
- R PD          [Exponential Smoothing] [Prognose van het ...] [2015-12-13 13:24:15] [9378e2688aa9dcfd1390615d31e9d404]
-   P           [Exponential Smoothing] [Prognose van de w...] [2015-12-13 13:26:19] [9378e2688aa9dcfd1390615d31e9d404]
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Dataset

Dataseries X:
Download CSV
Histogram
Boxplots 
8.5
8.4
8.5
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.5
8.3
8
8.2
8.1
8.1
8
7.9
7.9
8
8
7.9
8
7.7
7.2
7.5
7.3
7
7
7
7.2
7.3
7.1
6.8
6.4
6.1
6.5
7.7
7.9
7.5
6.9
6.6
6.9
7.7
8
8
7.7
7.3
7.4
8.1
8.3
8.1
7.9
7.9
8.3
8.6
8.7
8.5
8.3
8
8
8.8
8.7
8.5
8.1
7.8
7.7
7.5
7.2
6.9
6.6
6.5
6.6
7.7
8
7.7
7.3
7
7
7.3
7.3
7.1
7.1
7
7
7.5
7.8
7.9
8.1
8.3
8.4
8.6
8.5
8.4
8.3
8
8
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.5
8.5
8.6
8.8
8.7
8.6
8.4
8.1
8.1
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.6
8.5
8.6
8.8
8.8
8.7
8.5
8.3
8.3
8.9
9
8.8

Tables (Output of Computation)





Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 0 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=286169&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]0 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=286169&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=286169&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  
QR Code


The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time0 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net


Figures (Output of Computation)

Input Parameters & R Code

Parameters (Session):
Parameters (R input):
par1 = ; par2 = ; par3 = ; par4 = ; par5 = ; par6 = ; par7 = ; par8 = ; par9 = ; par10 = ; par11 = ; par12 = ; par13 = ; par14 = ; par15 = ; par16 = ; par17 = ; par18 = ; par19 = ; par20 = ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')