Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_structuraltimeseries.wasp
Title produced by softwareStructural Time Series Models
Date of computationThu, 01 Dec 2011 05:13:42 -0500
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2011/Dec/01/t1322734432y4e1feispj7f7gz.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 13:43:38 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194, Retrieved Mon, 29 Apr 2024 13:43:38 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact128
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Structural Time Series Models] [] [2011-12-01 10:13:42] [c7041fab4904771a5085f5eb0f28763f] [Current]
Feedback Forum

Post a new message
Dataseries X:
4581945
3874038
4086290
4364364
3793586
4533914
4823043
3981535
4746356
5284534
4264830
3924674
3734753
3762290
3609739
3877594
3636415
3578195
3604342
3459513
3366571
3371277
3724848
3350830
3305159
3390736
3349758
3253655
3734250
3455433
2966726
2993716
3009320
3169713
3170061
3368934
3292638
3337344
3208306
3359130
3223078
3437159
3400156
3657576
3765613
3481921
3604800
3981340
3734078
4018173
3887417
3919880
4014466
4197758
3896531
3964742
4201847
4050512
3997402
4314479
4925744
5130631
4444855
3967319
3931250
4235952
4169219
3779064
3558810
3699466
3650693
3525633
3470276
3859094
3661155
3356365
3344440
3338684
3404294
3289319
3469252
3571850
3639914
3091730
3078149
3188115
3246082
3486992
3378187
3282306
3288345
3325749
3352262
3531954
3722622
3809365
3750617
3615286
3696556
4123959
4136163
3933392
4035576
4551202
4032195
3970893
4489016
5426127
4578224
4126390
4892100
4128697
4408721
4199465
4074767
4161758
3891319
4470302
4283111
3845962
3911471
3798478
3644313
3784029
3647134
3994662
3607836
3566008
3511412
3258665
3486573
3369443
3465544
3905224
3733881
3220642
3225812
3354461
3352261
3450652




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net







Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
145819454581945000
238740384133245.53511331-33907.2862542628-33907.2862515979-1.93254225752988
340862904111055.4734103-33383.2140759101-33383.21407591010.0648789633012847
443643644252143.42194767-28254.2255200298-28254.22552002981.02608921559923
537935864006636.55611844-33082.164967723-33082.1649677229-1.30166028574928
645339144293285.8820103-27062.2228174465-27062.22281744661.92870349451728
748230434580454.1661576-21672.3235719794-21672.32357197941.90081174845483
839815354259918.35272684-26531.765853106-26531.765853106-1.81010415498851
947463564523553.02751946-21968.8172329487-21968.81723294871.75847800562571
1052845344934477.64727577-15320.7808270611-15320.7808270612.62425918316415
1142648304575495.96114744-20499.175342376-20499.175342376-2.08370582895248
1239246744227026.09085582-25359.3473922692-25359.3473922692-1.98882409690003
1337347533942041.79208383-2845.992401488131305.9164322047-2.04136673536762
1437622903835243.23763575-6420.35781358617-6420.35782930573-0.520747831411165
1536097393711254.75981624-8819.92561208684-8819.92561208688-0.679417407214532
1638775943802253.32894539-7466.64615364224-7466.646153642170.597280934614131
1736364153713331.20423287-8310.12468735569-8310.12468735565-0.492371865232398
1835781953641151.96000596-8875.79455127-8875.79455127002-0.387410592555851
1936043423622011.46434983-8959.35239734069-8959.35239734064-0.0623468930287849
2034595133535200.46899123-9565.19835028086-9565.19835028083-0.47313784611818
2133665713445142.34381987-10175.9823191464-10175.9823191464-0.489319624173959
2233712773406154.90032777-10391.1924538789-10391.1924538789-0.175168676268735
2337248483578534.09143702-9041.22057551512-9041.220575515081.1112891306655
2433508303456634.73860469-9867.24794088318-9867.24794088318-0.68623411627962
2533051593339879.33785141-5450.3404024317959953.7444394784-0.744687936762693
2633907363369979.18799694-4651.81984456103-4651.819857017030.191688033395808
2733497583359345.91217392-4730.98452484118-4730.98452484121-0.0352373660653635
2832536553302527.44794319-5189.75395655334-5189.75395655326-0.313738362207209
2937342503535848.16908157-3580.2428954687-3580.242895468691.4460314636352
3034554333492789.25008065-3808.79106028019-3808.79106028021-0.23988747492647
3129667263209684.83877088-5299.09630668169-5299.09630668164-1.69859364944446
3229937163093765.9543494-5864.90152758189-5864.90152758185-0.673008016912106
3330093203048736.10099592-6060.74111077941-6060.74111077942-0.238318807823544
3431697133114360.30803182-5706.98230381905-5706.9823038190.436238195620825
3531700613144799.98650165-5530.15090558444-5530.150905584380.219979293246189
3633689343265940.61184264-4914.5698327276-4914.569832727580.770903837148453
3732926383250698.76040274-4634.4509612741850978.9605862006-0.0689333524911753
3833373443300325.5808143-3729.45305315923-3729.453064695840.30251983160432
3932083063250466.02678865-4181.18312052763-4181.18312052766-0.274230116801218
4033591303309558.62778557-3768.4768571568-3768.476857156720.382320655005199
4132230783263211.65286896-3981.57666839145-3981.57666839145-0.258514762911347
4234371593357267.3672503-3560.02831628646-3560.028316286480.596219858450636
4334001563380650.9175238-3453.09714069865-3453.097140698590.163965138821655
4436575763530102.36498395-2870.64021359681-2870.640213596780.930756689314993
4537656133657191.80716019-2386.04629199046-2386.046291990470.7911876729494
4634819213562961.62040586-2724.45520413172-2724.45520413167-0.559173165296477
4736048003585709.64419098-2631.29887441444-2631.29887441440.155088189289158
4839813403799028.75645775-1845.79912450457-1845.799124504541.31482646622551
4937340783757318.42781536-1041.0277374966311451.3051277448-0.260302810767183
5040181733903530.1246621912.065533587745912.0655204360230.836805777554408
5138874173894681.50883467836.213371575516836.213371575445-0.0583310682016885
5239198803908229.40686284902.045887465902902.0458874659630.0769501704065075
5340144663965448.87054071126.040855278471126.040855278470.342219895758586
5441977584090560.962025261550.080299598221550.08029959820.754408075683418
5538965313985894.595728711214.519470596371214.5194705964-0.646618604130806
5639647423974404.1631951175.964045448771175.96404544882-0.0773613671551536
5742018474096846.46664881536.465815878261536.465815878250.738471622602843
5840505124071765.442446891458.216330876981458.21633087703-0.162099053847467
5939974024031590.577505841336.646696227341336.64669622737-0.25354887008652
6043144794183887.490001271775.398243809021775.398243809040.919371301185317
6149257444557279.92297966-4198.8690323160546187.55936871782.39425205361924
6251306314876727.46155913-635.732895703676-635.7329037241361.86210948367264
6344448554642163.59868401-2142.59464218533-2142.59464218547-1.4028126062688
6439673194277859.18618523-3697.81676147173-3697.81676147173-2.19500924789548
6539312504091251.65516646-4301.39958302086-4301.39958302083-1.11209354618812
6642359524169571.32692854-4066.82770430085-4066.827704300880.502884657638366
6741692194169697.37196857-4055.82558976954-4055.825589769530.0255313594840451
6837790643959540.1046304-4575.58518923091-4575.58518923085-1.25522526291891
6935588103743989.90139772-5097.05004107771-5097.05004107772-1.28500820066684
7036994663720396.92359741-5142.28078249648-5142.28078249645-0.112659574047269
7136506933683241.35572537-5220.07967846196-5220.07967846195-0.194998005930818
7235256333598731.84752221-5411.96411116795-5411.96411116793-0.482969051938163
7334702763502583.54482713-4200.0564997413546200.621489522-0.579346933693746
7438590943700448.95720671-2298.60692332909-2298.606912198311.17270885193727
7536611553679322.98468293-2402.1657771555-2402.16577715556-0.113178174243076
7633563653505142.27522528-3032.21009410472-3032.2100941047-1.0420185406983
7733444403418732.62185645-3267.30312635562-3267.30312635558-0.507136143991976
7833386843375845.57483088-3363.45619452022-3363.45619452025-0.241207826939792
7934042943391436.50866392-3320.92512771075-3320.925127710690.115437576954568
8032893193336671.44039833-3431.90611946852-3431.90611946848-0.313357575431117
8134692523408372.79067186-3272.98788213228-3272.987882132290.457684624441489
8235718503496707.9585845-3081.21295995918-3081.212959959130.558061515243621
8336399143574105.76816469-2913.72716463193-2913.727164631920.490272222394395
8430917303314430.58203231-3446.02837337282-3446.02837337281-1.56418400135824
8530781493174897.57279084-1891.4308116326520805.7389128585-0.863290675736078
8631881153182387.23348936-1814.35115109733-1814.351135826170.054794234128034
8732460823217072.66570128-1639.17893077834-1639.178930778350.219810284386838
8834869923362905.50538521-1167.15084145976-1167.15084145970.895145763283636
8933781873371235.9146236-1143.77364167775-1143.773641677720.0577850967165671
9032823063323396.84425038-1242.73021780205-1242.73021780207-0.284334200385147
9132883453304605.15987798-1277.12490850041-1277.12490850034-0.106891882364732
9233257493316097.43029281-1253.05659593419-1253.056595934160.0777897051245723
9333522623335681.04161894-1214.53992728543-1214.539927285440.126942210773603
9435319543441530.67093298-1018.61238083462-1018.612380834550.652279816121497
9537226223593066.03285816-741.008014329791-741.0080143297760.929435084232451
9638093653709668.51976174-528.239555252055-528.2395552520370.714920025864863
9737506173727221.64469876-708.6812666510527795.493922892750.114142701700218
9836152863665690.24532752-1152.17745977088-1152.17745065026-0.357017379215662
9936965563682509.35369868-1075.6800541922-1075.680054192250.108378420257422
10041239593920846.92603304-395.913211008133-395.9132110080651.45394189495515
10141361634036960.85404988-141.464779986327-141.4647799863110.709031210077163
10239333923981154.03375453-246.157036439484-246.15703643951-0.339000238695603
10340355764010499.91492215-194.673430013589-194.6734300135390.180265180155956
10445512024301872.18479266293.259076014912293.259076014941.77634345227377
10540321954156537.085438954.201354434251554.2013544342387-0.887273743412304
10639708934056501.72994875-108.490410453701-108.490410453648-0.609833174001059
10744890164289562.13377199268.462605091942268.4626050919551.42068549055908
10854261274901956.338207041254.720785746141254.720785746183.72967085880101
10945782244744393.884167282661.75328940533-29279.2861824447-0.998748841520895
11041263904404744.85096151418.283950357475418.283942696023-2.01717522338852
11148921004668613.916761291425.788852313991425.78885231391.59054232868406
11241286974377146.71150348678.567141165712678.567141165717-1.77942172656519
11344087214394115.66302719710.539850798251710.5398507982770.0991546179519769
11441994654289154.26647596531.898910821562531.898910821533-0.643608514319647
11540747674173582.87836486350.302675997652350.302675997664-0.707320387479954
11641617584167183.69619859340.146412407992340.14641240804-0.0411233707377187
11738913194018507.65418108120.155784174442120.155784174435-0.907971435584331
11844703024261945.49622199475.898114595053475.8981145951131.48259287977945
11942831114273313.41156498491.739042592156491.7390425921810.0663683558257292
12038459624043000.19590635157.142798148601157.14279814865-1.40637166521881
12139114713976474.83173634688.30155651924-7571.31711400372-0.41806142609862
12237984783878828.3784197103.039286727357103.039277065973-0.581314788185182
12336443133751884.66183499-338.018803584141-338.018803584183-0.767718465155558
12437840293769255.39253612-297.002873893279-297.0028738932550.107621057468285
12536471343703443.44981239-413.759011759057-413.759011759041-0.398828608793797
12639946623860426.77491394-172.115449462814-172.1154494628410.958732027832268
12736078363724321.24323768-365.226985585635-365.226985585631-0.82818281843622
12835660083639039.56423606-481.300990925559-481.30099092552-0.517408963363842
12935114123570303.67406121-572.847382271084-572.847382271096-0.415903617562107
13032586653402420.1075301-795.118188335485-795.118188335438-1.01951402803753
13134865733447827.95311253-734.052584069178-734.0525840691490.281542097954524
13233694433405647.0656197-788.663477867678-788.663477867621-0.252561348689055
13334655443431663.17263823-982.60679763026510808.67477870480.16762886146991
13439052243690993.59191603436.336542235684436.336542730591.54292580140888
13537338813714162.84541903508.593640532531508.5936405325050.137473691165778
13632206423447861.209517-57.2458074667901-57.2458074667812-1.62191360046433
13732258123328162.47701748-252.501200648386-252.501200648353-0.728418972053387
13833544613342355.64910856-232.189183737963-232.1891837379840.0879974946716191
13933522613347711.66965117-224.91736000013-224.9173600000920.034048363512279
14034506523403201.22935115-155.150386732294-155.1503867322720.339492481176954

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Structural Time Series Model \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Level & Slope & Seasonal & Stand. Residuals \tabularnewline
1 & 4581945 & 4581945 & 0 & 0 & 0 \tabularnewline
2 & 3874038 & 4133245.53511331 & -33907.2862542628 & -33907.2862515979 & -1.93254225752988 \tabularnewline
3 & 4086290 & 4111055.4734103 & -33383.2140759101 & -33383.2140759101 & 0.0648789633012847 \tabularnewline
4 & 4364364 & 4252143.42194767 & -28254.2255200298 & -28254.2255200298 & 1.02608921559923 \tabularnewline
5 & 3793586 & 4006636.55611844 & -33082.164967723 & -33082.1649677229 & -1.30166028574928 \tabularnewline
6 & 4533914 & 4293285.8820103 & -27062.2228174465 & -27062.2228174466 & 1.92870349451728 \tabularnewline
7 & 4823043 & 4580454.1661576 & -21672.3235719794 & -21672.3235719794 & 1.90081174845483 \tabularnewline
8 & 3981535 & 4259918.35272684 & -26531.765853106 & -26531.765853106 & -1.81010415498851 \tabularnewline
9 & 4746356 & 4523553.02751946 & -21968.8172329487 & -21968.8172329487 & 1.75847800562571 \tabularnewline
10 & 5284534 & 4934477.64727577 & -15320.7808270611 & -15320.780827061 & 2.62425918316415 \tabularnewline
11 & 4264830 & 4575495.96114744 & -20499.175342376 & -20499.175342376 & -2.08370582895248 \tabularnewline
12 & 3924674 & 4227026.09085582 & -25359.3473922692 & -25359.3473922692 & -1.98882409690003 \tabularnewline
13 & 3734753 & 3942041.79208383 & -2845.9924014881 & 31305.9164322047 & -2.04136673536762 \tabularnewline
14 & 3762290 & 3835243.23763575 & -6420.35781358617 & -6420.35782930573 & -0.520747831411165 \tabularnewline
15 & 3609739 & 3711254.75981624 & -8819.92561208684 & -8819.92561208688 & -0.679417407214532 \tabularnewline
16 & 3877594 & 3802253.32894539 & -7466.64615364224 & -7466.64615364217 & 0.597280934614131 \tabularnewline
17 & 3636415 & 3713331.20423287 & -8310.12468735569 & -8310.12468735565 & -0.492371865232398 \tabularnewline
18 & 3578195 & 3641151.96000596 & -8875.79455127 & -8875.79455127002 & -0.387410592555851 \tabularnewline
19 & 3604342 & 3622011.46434983 & -8959.35239734069 & -8959.35239734064 & -0.0623468930287849 \tabularnewline
20 & 3459513 & 3535200.46899123 & -9565.19835028086 & -9565.19835028083 & -0.47313784611818 \tabularnewline
21 & 3366571 & 3445142.34381987 & -10175.9823191464 & -10175.9823191464 & -0.489319624173959 \tabularnewline
22 & 3371277 & 3406154.90032777 & -10391.1924538789 & -10391.1924538789 & -0.175168676268735 \tabularnewline
23 & 3724848 & 3578534.09143702 & -9041.22057551512 & -9041.22057551508 & 1.1112891306655 \tabularnewline
24 & 3350830 & 3456634.73860469 & -9867.24794088318 & -9867.24794088318 & -0.68623411627962 \tabularnewline
25 & 3305159 & 3339879.33785141 & -5450.34040243179 & 59953.7444394784 & -0.744687936762693 \tabularnewline
26 & 3390736 & 3369979.18799694 & -4651.81984456103 & -4651.81985701703 & 0.191688033395808 \tabularnewline
27 & 3349758 & 3359345.91217392 & -4730.98452484118 & -4730.98452484121 & -0.0352373660653635 \tabularnewline
28 & 3253655 & 3302527.44794319 & -5189.75395655334 & -5189.75395655326 & -0.313738362207209 \tabularnewline
29 & 3734250 & 3535848.16908157 & -3580.2428954687 & -3580.24289546869 & 1.4460314636352 \tabularnewline
30 & 3455433 & 3492789.25008065 & -3808.79106028019 & -3808.79106028021 & -0.23988747492647 \tabularnewline
31 & 2966726 & 3209684.83877088 & -5299.09630668169 & -5299.09630668164 & -1.69859364944446 \tabularnewline
32 & 2993716 & 3093765.9543494 & -5864.90152758189 & -5864.90152758185 & -0.673008016912106 \tabularnewline
33 & 3009320 & 3048736.10099592 & -6060.74111077941 & -6060.74111077942 & -0.238318807823544 \tabularnewline
34 & 3169713 & 3114360.30803182 & -5706.98230381905 & -5706.982303819 & 0.436238195620825 \tabularnewline
35 & 3170061 & 3144799.98650165 & -5530.15090558444 & -5530.15090558438 & 0.219979293246189 \tabularnewline
36 & 3368934 & 3265940.61184264 & -4914.5698327276 & -4914.56983272758 & 0.770903837148453 \tabularnewline
37 & 3292638 & 3250698.76040274 & -4634.45096127418 & 50978.9605862006 & -0.0689333524911753 \tabularnewline
38 & 3337344 & 3300325.5808143 & -3729.45305315923 & -3729.45306469584 & 0.30251983160432 \tabularnewline
39 & 3208306 & 3250466.02678865 & -4181.18312052763 & -4181.18312052766 & -0.274230116801218 \tabularnewline
40 & 3359130 & 3309558.62778557 & -3768.4768571568 & -3768.47685715672 & 0.382320655005199 \tabularnewline
41 & 3223078 & 3263211.65286896 & -3981.57666839145 & -3981.57666839145 & -0.258514762911347 \tabularnewline
42 & 3437159 & 3357267.3672503 & -3560.02831628646 & -3560.02831628648 & 0.596219858450636 \tabularnewline
43 & 3400156 & 3380650.9175238 & -3453.09714069865 & -3453.09714069859 & 0.163965138821655 \tabularnewline
44 & 3657576 & 3530102.36498395 & -2870.64021359681 & -2870.64021359678 & 0.930756689314993 \tabularnewline
45 & 3765613 & 3657191.80716019 & -2386.04629199046 & -2386.04629199047 & 0.7911876729494 \tabularnewline
46 & 3481921 & 3562961.62040586 & -2724.45520413172 & -2724.45520413167 & -0.559173165296477 \tabularnewline
47 & 3604800 & 3585709.64419098 & -2631.29887441444 & -2631.2988744144 & 0.155088189289158 \tabularnewline
48 & 3981340 & 3799028.75645775 & -1845.79912450457 & -1845.79912450454 & 1.31482646622551 \tabularnewline
49 & 3734078 & 3757318.42781536 & -1041.02773749663 & 11451.3051277448 & -0.260302810767183 \tabularnewline
50 & 4018173 & 3903530.1246621 & 912.065533587745 & 912.065520436023 & 0.836805777554408 \tabularnewline
51 & 3887417 & 3894681.50883467 & 836.213371575516 & 836.213371575445 & -0.0583310682016885 \tabularnewline
52 & 3919880 & 3908229.40686284 & 902.045887465902 & 902.045887465963 & 0.0769501704065075 \tabularnewline
53 & 4014466 & 3965448.8705407 & 1126.04085527847 & 1126.04085527847 & 0.342219895758586 \tabularnewline
54 & 4197758 & 4090560.96202526 & 1550.08029959822 & 1550.0802995982 & 0.754408075683418 \tabularnewline
55 & 3896531 & 3985894.59572871 & 1214.51947059637 & 1214.5194705964 & -0.646618604130806 \tabularnewline
56 & 3964742 & 3974404.163195 & 1175.96404544877 & 1175.96404544882 & -0.0773613671551536 \tabularnewline
57 & 4201847 & 4096846.4666488 & 1536.46581587826 & 1536.46581587825 & 0.738471622602843 \tabularnewline
58 & 4050512 & 4071765.44244689 & 1458.21633087698 & 1458.21633087703 & -0.162099053847467 \tabularnewline
59 & 3997402 & 4031590.57750584 & 1336.64669622734 & 1336.64669622737 & -0.25354887008652 \tabularnewline
60 & 4314479 & 4183887.49000127 & 1775.39824380902 & 1775.39824380904 & 0.919371301185317 \tabularnewline
61 & 4925744 & 4557279.92297966 & -4198.86903231605 & 46187.5593687178 & 2.39425205361924 \tabularnewline
62 & 5130631 & 4876727.46155913 & -635.732895703676 & -635.732903724136 & 1.86210948367264 \tabularnewline
63 & 4444855 & 4642163.59868401 & -2142.59464218533 & -2142.59464218547 & -1.4028126062688 \tabularnewline
64 & 3967319 & 4277859.18618523 & -3697.81676147173 & -3697.81676147173 & -2.19500924789548 \tabularnewline
65 & 3931250 & 4091251.65516646 & -4301.39958302086 & -4301.39958302083 & -1.11209354618812 \tabularnewline
66 & 4235952 & 4169571.32692854 & -4066.82770430085 & -4066.82770430088 & 0.502884657638366 \tabularnewline
67 & 4169219 & 4169697.37196857 & -4055.82558976954 & -4055.82558976953 & 0.0255313594840451 \tabularnewline
68 & 3779064 & 3959540.1046304 & -4575.58518923091 & -4575.58518923085 & -1.25522526291891 \tabularnewline
69 & 3558810 & 3743989.90139772 & -5097.05004107771 & -5097.05004107772 & -1.28500820066684 \tabularnewline
70 & 3699466 & 3720396.92359741 & -5142.28078249648 & -5142.28078249645 & -0.112659574047269 \tabularnewline
71 & 3650693 & 3683241.35572537 & -5220.07967846196 & -5220.07967846195 & -0.194998005930818 \tabularnewline
72 & 3525633 & 3598731.84752221 & -5411.96411116795 & -5411.96411116793 & -0.482969051938163 \tabularnewline
73 & 3470276 & 3502583.54482713 & -4200.05649974135 & 46200.621489522 & -0.579346933693746 \tabularnewline
74 & 3859094 & 3700448.95720671 & -2298.60692332909 & -2298.60691219831 & 1.17270885193727 \tabularnewline
75 & 3661155 & 3679322.98468293 & -2402.1657771555 & -2402.16577715556 & -0.113178174243076 \tabularnewline
76 & 3356365 & 3505142.27522528 & -3032.21009410472 & -3032.2100941047 & -1.0420185406983 \tabularnewline
77 & 3344440 & 3418732.62185645 & -3267.30312635562 & -3267.30312635558 & -0.507136143991976 \tabularnewline
78 & 3338684 & 3375845.57483088 & -3363.45619452022 & -3363.45619452025 & -0.241207826939792 \tabularnewline
79 & 3404294 & 3391436.50866392 & -3320.92512771075 & -3320.92512771069 & 0.115437576954568 \tabularnewline
80 & 3289319 & 3336671.44039833 & -3431.90611946852 & -3431.90611946848 & -0.313357575431117 \tabularnewline
81 & 3469252 & 3408372.79067186 & -3272.98788213228 & -3272.98788213229 & 0.457684624441489 \tabularnewline
82 & 3571850 & 3496707.9585845 & -3081.21295995918 & -3081.21295995913 & 0.558061515243621 \tabularnewline
83 & 3639914 & 3574105.76816469 & -2913.72716463193 & -2913.72716463192 & 0.490272222394395 \tabularnewline
84 & 3091730 & 3314430.58203231 & -3446.02837337282 & -3446.02837337281 & -1.56418400135824 \tabularnewline
85 & 3078149 & 3174897.57279084 & -1891.43081163265 & 20805.7389128585 & -0.863290675736078 \tabularnewline
86 & 3188115 & 3182387.23348936 & -1814.35115109733 & -1814.35113582617 & 0.054794234128034 \tabularnewline
87 & 3246082 & 3217072.66570128 & -1639.17893077834 & -1639.17893077835 & 0.219810284386838 \tabularnewline
88 & 3486992 & 3362905.50538521 & -1167.15084145976 & -1167.1508414597 & 0.895145763283636 \tabularnewline
89 & 3378187 & 3371235.9146236 & -1143.77364167775 & -1143.77364167772 & 0.0577850967165671 \tabularnewline
90 & 3282306 & 3323396.84425038 & -1242.73021780205 & -1242.73021780207 & -0.284334200385147 \tabularnewline
91 & 3288345 & 3304605.15987798 & -1277.12490850041 & -1277.12490850034 & -0.106891882364732 \tabularnewline
92 & 3325749 & 3316097.43029281 & -1253.05659593419 & -1253.05659593416 & 0.0777897051245723 \tabularnewline
93 & 3352262 & 3335681.04161894 & -1214.53992728543 & -1214.53992728544 & 0.126942210773603 \tabularnewline
94 & 3531954 & 3441530.67093298 & -1018.61238083462 & -1018.61238083455 & 0.652279816121497 \tabularnewline
95 & 3722622 & 3593066.03285816 & -741.008014329791 & -741.008014329776 & 0.929435084232451 \tabularnewline
96 & 3809365 & 3709668.51976174 & -528.239555252055 & -528.239555252037 & 0.714920025864863 \tabularnewline
97 & 3750617 & 3727221.64469876 & -708.681266651052 & 7795.49392289275 & 0.114142701700218 \tabularnewline
98 & 3615286 & 3665690.24532752 & -1152.17745977088 & -1152.17745065026 & -0.357017379215662 \tabularnewline
99 & 3696556 & 3682509.35369868 & -1075.6800541922 & -1075.68005419225 & 0.108378420257422 \tabularnewline
100 & 4123959 & 3920846.92603304 & -395.913211008133 & -395.913211008065 & 1.45394189495515 \tabularnewline
101 & 4136163 & 4036960.85404988 & -141.464779986327 & -141.464779986311 & 0.709031210077163 \tabularnewline
102 & 3933392 & 3981154.03375453 & -246.157036439484 & -246.15703643951 & -0.339000238695603 \tabularnewline
103 & 4035576 & 4010499.91492215 & -194.673430013589 & -194.673430013539 & 0.180265180155956 \tabularnewline
104 & 4551202 & 4301872.18479266 & 293.259076014912 & 293.25907601494 & 1.77634345227377 \tabularnewline
105 & 4032195 & 4156537.0854389 & 54.2013544342515 & 54.2013544342387 & -0.887273743412304 \tabularnewline
106 & 3970893 & 4056501.72994875 & -108.490410453701 & -108.490410453648 & -0.609833174001059 \tabularnewline
107 & 4489016 & 4289562.13377199 & 268.462605091942 & 268.462605091955 & 1.42068549055908 \tabularnewline
108 & 5426127 & 4901956.33820704 & 1254.72078574614 & 1254.72078574618 & 3.72967085880101 \tabularnewline
109 & 4578224 & 4744393.88416728 & 2661.75328940533 & -29279.2861824447 & -0.998748841520895 \tabularnewline
110 & 4126390 & 4404744.85096151 & 418.283950357475 & 418.283942696023 & -2.01717522338852 \tabularnewline
111 & 4892100 & 4668613.91676129 & 1425.78885231399 & 1425.7888523139 & 1.59054232868406 \tabularnewline
112 & 4128697 & 4377146.71150348 & 678.567141165712 & 678.567141165717 & -1.77942172656519 \tabularnewline
113 & 4408721 & 4394115.66302719 & 710.539850798251 & 710.539850798277 & 0.0991546179519769 \tabularnewline
114 & 4199465 & 4289154.26647596 & 531.898910821562 & 531.898910821533 & -0.643608514319647 \tabularnewline
115 & 4074767 & 4173582.87836486 & 350.302675997652 & 350.302675997664 & -0.707320387479954 \tabularnewline
116 & 4161758 & 4167183.69619859 & 340.146412407992 & 340.14641240804 & -0.0411233707377187 \tabularnewline
117 & 3891319 & 4018507.65418108 & 120.155784174442 & 120.155784174435 & -0.907971435584331 \tabularnewline
118 & 4470302 & 4261945.49622199 & 475.898114595053 & 475.898114595113 & 1.48259287977945 \tabularnewline
119 & 4283111 & 4273313.41156498 & 491.739042592156 & 491.739042592181 & 0.0663683558257292 \tabularnewline
120 & 3845962 & 4043000.19590635 & 157.142798148601 & 157.14279814865 & -1.40637166521881 \tabularnewline
121 & 3911471 & 3976474.83173634 & 688.30155651924 & -7571.31711400372 & -0.41806142609862 \tabularnewline
122 & 3798478 & 3878828.3784197 & 103.039286727357 & 103.039277065973 & -0.581314788185182 \tabularnewline
123 & 3644313 & 3751884.66183499 & -338.018803584141 & -338.018803584183 & -0.767718465155558 \tabularnewline
124 & 3784029 & 3769255.39253612 & -297.002873893279 & -297.002873893255 & 0.107621057468285 \tabularnewline
125 & 3647134 & 3703443.44981239 & -413.759011759057 & -413.759011759041 & -0.398828608793797 \tabularnewline
126 & 3994662 & 3860426.77491394 & -172.115449462814 & -172.115449462841 & 0.958732027832268 \tabularnewline
127 & 3607836 & 3724321.24323768 & -365.226985585635 & -365.226985585631 & -0.82818281843622 \tabularnewline
128 & 3566008 & 3639039.56423606 & -481.300990925559 & -481.30099092552 & -0.517408963363842 \tabularnewline
129 & 3511412 & 3570303.67406121 & -572.847382271084 & -572.847382271096 & -0.415903617562107 \tabularnewline
130 & 3258665 & 3402420.1075301 & -795.118188335485 & -795.118188335438 & -1.01951402803753 \tabularnewline
131 & 3486573 & 3447827.95311253 & -734.052584069178 & -734.052584069149 & 0.281542097954524 \tabularnewline
132 & 3369443 & 3405647.0656197 & -788.663477867678 & -788.663477867621 & -0.252561348689055 \tabularnewline
133 & 3465544 & 3431663.17263823 & -982.606797630265 & 10808.6747787048 & 0.16762886146991 \tabularnewline
134 & 3905224 & 3690993.59191603 & 436.336542235684 & 436.33654273059 & 1.54292580140888 \tabularnewline
135 & 3733881 & 3714162.84541903 & 508.593640532531 & 508.593640532505 & 0.137473691165778 \tabularnewline
136 & 3220642 & 3447861.209517 & -57.2458074667901 & -57.2458074667812 & -1.62191360046433 \tabularnewline
137 & 3225812 & 3328162.47701748 & -252.501200648386 & -252.501200648353 & -0.728418972053387 \tabularnewline
138 & 3354461 & 3342355.64910856 & -232.189183737963 & -232.189183737984 & 0.0879974946716191 \tabularnewline
139 & 3352261 & 3347711.66965117 & -224.91736000013 & -224.917360000092 & 0.034048363512279 \tabularnewline
140 & 3450652 & 3403201.22935115 & -155.150386732294 & -155.150386732272 & 0.339492481176954 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Structural Time Series Model[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Level[/C][C]Slope[/C][C]Seasonal[/C][C]Stand. Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]4581945[/C][C]4581945[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]3874038[/C][C]4133245.53511331[/C][C]-33907.2862542628[/C][C]-33907.2862515979[/C][C]-1.93254225752988[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]4086290[/C][C]4111055.4734103[/C][C]-33383.2140759101[/C][C]-33383.2140759101[/C][C]0.0648789633012847[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]4364364[/C][C]4252143.42194767[/C][C]-28254.2255200298[/C][C]-28254.2255200298[/C][C]1.02608921559923[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]3793586[/C][C]4006636.55611844[/C][C]-33082.164967723[/C][C]-33082.1649677229[/C][C]-1.30166028574928[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]4533914[/C][C]4293285.8820103[/C][C]-27062.2228174465[/C][C]-27062.2228174466[/C][C]1.92870349451728[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]4823043[/C][C]4580454.1661576[/C][C]-21672.3235719794[/C][C]-21672.3235719794[/C][C]1.90081174845483[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]3981535[/C][C]4259918.35272684[/C][C]-26531.765853106[/C][C]-26531.765853106[/C][C]-1.81010415498851[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]4746356[/C][C]4523553.02751946[/C][C]-21968.8172329487[/C][C]-21968.8172329487[/C][C]1.75847800562571[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]5284534[/C][C]4934477.64727577[/C][C]-15320.7808270611[/C][C]-15320.780827061[/C][C]2.62425918316415[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]4264830[/C][C]4575495.96114744[/C][C]-20499.175342376[/C][C]-20499.175342376[/C][C]-2.08370582895248[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]3924674[/C][C]4227026.09085582[/C][C]-25359.3473922692[/C][C]-25359.3473922692[/C][C]-1.98882409690003[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]3734753[/C][C]3942041.79208383[/C][C]-2845.9924014881[/C][C]31305.9164322047[/C][C]-2.04136673536762[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]3762290[/C][C]3835243.23763575[/C][C]-6420.35781358617[/C][C]-6420.35782930573[/C][C]-0.520747831411165[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]3609739[/C][C]3711254.75981624[/C][C]-8819.92561208684[/C][C]-8819.92561208688[/C][C]-0.679417407214532[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]3877594[/C][C]3802253.32894539[/C][C]-7466.64615364224[/C][C]-7466.64615364217[/C][C]0.597280934614131[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]3636415[/C][C]3713331.20423287[/C][C]-8310.12468735569[/C][C]-8310.12468735565[/C][C]-0.492371865232398[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]3578195[/C][C]3641151.96000596[/C][C]-8875.79455127[/C][C]-8875.79455127002[/C][C]-0.387410592555851[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]3604342[/C][C]3622011.46434983[/C][C]-8959.35239734069[/C][C]-8959.35239734064[/C][C]-0.0623468930287849[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]3459513[/C][C]3535200.46899123[/C][C]-9565.19835028086[/C][C]-9565.19835028083[/C][C]-0.47313784611818[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]3366571[/C][C]3445142.34381987[/C][C]-10175.9823191464[/C][C]-10175.9823191464[/C][C]-0.489319624173959[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]3371277[/C][C]3406154.90032777[/C][C]-10391.1924538789[/C][C]-10391.1924538789[/C][C]-0.175168676268735[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]3724848[/C][C]3578534.09143702[/C][C]-9041.22057551512[/C][C]-9041.22057551508[/C][C]1.1112891306655[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]3350830[/C][C]3456634.73860469[/C][C]-9867.24794088318[/C][C]-9867.24794088318[/C][C]-0.68623411627962[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]3305159[/C][C]3339879.33785141[/C][C]-5450.34040243179[/C][C]59953.7444394784[/C][C]-0.744687936762693[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]3390736[/C][C]3369979.18799694[/C][C]-4651.81984456103[/C][C]-4651.81985701703[/C][C]0.191688033395808[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]3349758[/C][C]3359345.91217392[/C][C]-4730.98452484118[/C][C]-4730.98452484121[/C][C]-0.0352373660653635[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]3253655[/C][C]3302527.44794319[/C][C]-5189.75395655334[/C][C]-5189.75395655326[/C][C]-0.313738362207209[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]3734250[/C][C]3535848.16908157[/C][C]-3580.2428954687[/C][C]-3580.24289546869[/C][C]1.4460314636352[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]3455433[/C][C]3492789.25008065[/C][C]-3808.79106028019[/C][C]-3808.79106028021[/C][C]-0.23988747492647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]2966726[/C][C]3209684.83877088[/C][C]-5299.09630668169[/C][C]-5299.09630668164[/C][C]-1.69859364944446[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]2993716[/C][C]3093765.9543494[/C][C]-5864.90152758189[/C][C]-5864.90152758185[/C][C]-0.673008016912106[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]3009320[/C][C]3048736.10099592[/C][C]-6060.74111077941[/C][C]-6060.74111077942[/C][C]-0.238318807823544[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]3169713[/C][C]3114360.30803182[/C][C]-5706.98230381905[/C][C]-5706.982303819[/C][C]0.436238195620825[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]3170061[/C][C]3144799.98650165[/C][C]-5530.15090558444[/C][C]-5530.15090558438[/C][C]0.219979293246189[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]3368934[/C][C]3265940.61184264[/C][C]-4914.5698327276[/C][C]-4914.56983272758[/C][C]0.770903837148453[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]3292638[/C][C]3250698.76040274[/C][C]-4634.45096127418[/C][C]50978.9605862006[/C][C]-0.0689333524911753[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]3337344[/C][C]3300325.5808143[/C][C]-3729.45305315923[/C][C]-3729.45306469584[/C][C]0.30251983160432[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]3208306[/C][C]3250466.02678865[/C][C]-4181.18312052763[/C][C]-4181.18312052766[/C][C]-0.274230116801218[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]3359130[/C][C]3309558.62778557[/C][C]-3768.4768571568[/C][C]-3768.47685715672[/C][C]0.382320655005199[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]3223078[/C][C]3263211.65286896[/C][C]-3981.57666839145[/C][C]-3981.57666839145[/C][C]-0.258514762911347[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]3437159[/C][C]3357267.3672503[/C][C]-3560.02831628646[/C][C]-3560.02831628648[/C][C]0.596219858450636[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]3400156[/C][C]3380650.9175238[/C][C]-3453.09714069865[/C][C]-3453.09714069859[/C][C]0.163965138821655[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]3657576[/C][C]3530102.36498395[/C][C]-2870.64021359681[/C][C]-2870.64021359678[/C][C]0.930756689314993[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]3765613[/C][C]3657191.80716019[/C][C]-2386.04629199046[/C][C]-2386.04629199047[/C][C]0.7911876729494[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]3481921[/C][C]3562961.62040586[/C][C]-2724.45520413172[/C][C]-2724.45520413167[/C][C]-0.559173165296477[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]3604800[/C][C]3585709.64419098[/C][C]-2631.29887441444[/C][C]-2631.2988744144[/C][C]0.155088189289158[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]3981340[/C][C]3799028.75645775[/C][C]-1845.79912450457[/C][C]-1845.79912450454[/C][C]1.31482646622551[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]3734078[/C][C]3757318.42781536[/C][C]-1041.02773749663[/C][C]11451.3051277448[/C][C]-0.260302810767183[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]4018173[/C][C]3903530.1246621[/C][C]912.065533587745[/C][C]912.065520436023[/C][C]0.836805777554408[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]3887417[/C][C]3894681.50883467[/C][C]836.213371575516[/C][C]836.213371575445[/C][C]-0.0583310682016885[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]3919880[/C][C]3908229.40686284[/C][C]902.045887465902[/C][C]902.045887465963[/C][C]0.0769501704065075[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]4014466[/C][C]3965448.8705407[/C][C]1126.04085527847[/C][C]1126.04085527847[/C][C]0.342219895758586[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]4197758[/C][C]4090560.96202526[/C][C]1550.08029959822[/C][C]1550.0802995982[/C][C]0.754408075683418[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]3896531[/C][C]3985894.59572871[/C][C]1214.51947059637[/C][C]1214.5194705964[/C][C]-0.646618604130806[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]3964742[/C][C]3974404.163195[/C][C]1175.96404544877[/C][C]1175.96404544882[/C][C]-0.0773613671551536[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]4201847[/C][C]4096846.4666488[/C][C]1536.46581587826[/C][C]1536.46581587825[/C][C]0.738471622602843[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]4050512[/C][C]4071765.44244689[/C][C]1458.21633087698[/C][C]1458.21633087703[/C][C]-0.162099053847467[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]3997402[/C][C]4031590.57750584[/C][C]1336.64669622734[/C][C]1336.64669622737[/C][C]-0.25354887008652[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]4314479[/C][C]4183887.49000127[/C][C]1775.39824380902[/C][C]1775.39824380904[/C][C]0.919371301185317[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]4925744[/C][C]4557279.92297966[/C][C]-4198.86903231605[/C][C]46187.5593687178[/C][C]2.39425205361924[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]5130631[/C][C]4876727.46155913[/C][C]-635.732895703676[/C][C]-635.732903724136[/C][C]1.86210948367264[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]4444855[/C][C]4642163.59868401[/C][C]-2142.59464218533[/C][C]-2142.59464218547[/C][C]-1.4028126062688[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]3967319[/C][C]4277859.18618523[/C][C]-3697.81676147173[/C][C]-3697.81676147173[/C][C]-2.19500924789548[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]3931250[/C][C]4091251.65516646[/C][C]-4301.39958302086[/C][C]-4301.39958302083[/C][C]-1.11209354618812[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]4235952[/C][C]4169571.32692854[/C][C]-4066.82770430085[/C][C]-4066.82770430088[/C][C]0.502884657638366[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]4169219[/C][C]4169697.37196857[/C][C]-4055.82558976954[/C][C]-4055.82558976953[/C][C]0.0255313594840451[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]3779064[/C][C]3959540.1046304[/C][C]-4575.58518923091[/C][C]-4575.58518923085[/C][C]-1.25522526291891[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]3558810[/C][C]3743989.90139772[/C][C]-5097.05004107771[/C][C]-5097.05004107772[/C][C]-1.28500820066684[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]3699466[/C][C]3720396.92359741[/C][C]-5142.28078249648[/C][C]-5142.28078249645[/C][C]-0.112659574047269[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]3650693[/C][C]3683241.35572537[/C][C]-5220.07967846196[/C][C]-5220.07967846195[/C][C]-0.194998005930818[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]3525633[/C][C]3598731.84752221[/C][C]-5411.96411116795[/C][C]-5411.96411116793[/C][C]-0.482969051938163[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]3470276[/C][C]3502583.54482713[/C][C]-4200.05649974135[/C][C]46200.621489522[/C][C]-0.579346933693746[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]3859094[/C][C]3700448.95720671[/C][C]-2298.60692332909[/C][C]-2298.60691219831[/C][C]1.17270885193727[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]3661155[/C][C]3679322.98468293[/C][C]-2402.1657771555[/C][C]-2402.16577715556[/C][C]-0.113178174243076[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]3356365[/C][C]3505142.27522528[/C][C]-3032.21009410472[/C][C]-3032.2100941047[/C][C]-1.0420185406983[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]3344440[/C][C]3418732.62185645[/C][C]-3267.30312635562[/C][C]-3267.30312635558[/C][C]-0.507136143991976[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]3338684[/C][C]3375845.57483088[/C][C]-3363.45619452022[/C][C]-3363.45619452025[/C][C]-0.241207826939792[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]3404294[/C][C]3391436.50866392[/C][C]-3320.92512771075[/C][C]-3320.92512771069[/C][C]0.115437576954568[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]3289319[/C][C]3336671.44039833[/C][C]-3431.90611946852[/C][C]-3431.90611946848[/C][C]-0.313357575431117[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]3469252[/C][C]3408372.79067186[/C][C]-3272.98788213228[/C][C]-3272.98788213229[/C][C]0.457684624441489[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]3571850[/C][C]3496707.9585845[/C][C]-3081.21295995918[/C][C]-3081.21295995913[/C][C]0.558061515243621[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]3639914[/C][C]3574105.76816469[/C][C]-2913.72716463193[/C][C]-2913.72716463192[/C][C]0.490272222394395[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]3091730[/C][C]3314430.58203231[/C][C]-3446.02837337282[/C][C]-3446.02837337281[/C][C]-1.56418400135824[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]3078149[/C][C]3174897.57279084[/C][C]-1891.43081163265[/C][C]20805.7389128585[/C][C]-0.863290675736078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]3188115[/C][C]3182387.23348936[/C][C]-1814.35115109733[/C][C]-1814.35113582617[/C][C]0.054794234128034[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]3246082[/C][C]3217072.66570128[/C][C]-1639.17893077834[/C][C]-1639.17893077835[/C][C]0.219810284386838[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]3486992[/C][C]3362905.50538521[/C][C]-1167.15084145976[/C][C]-1167.1508414597[/C][C]0.895145763283636[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]3378187[/C][C]3371235.9146236[/C][C]-1143.77364167775[/C][C]-1143.77364167772[/C][C]0.0577850967165671[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]3282306[/C][C]3323396.84425038[/C][C]-1242.73021780205[/C][C]-1242.73021780207[/C][C]-0.284334200385147[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]3288345[/C][C]3304605.15987798[/C][C]-1277.12490850041[/C][C]-1277.12490850034[/C][C]-0.106891882364732[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]3325749[/C][C]3316097.43029281[/C][C]-1253.05659593419[/C][C]-1253.05659593416[/C][C]0.0777897051245723[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]3352262[/C][C]3335681.04161894[/C][C]-1214.53992728543[/C][C]-1214.53992728544[/C][C]0.126942210773603[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]3531954[/C][C]3441530.67093298[/C][C]-1018.61238083462[/C][C]-1018.61238083455[/C][C]0.652279816121497[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]3722622[/C][C]3593066.03285816[/C][C]-741.008014329791[/C][C]-741.008014329776[/C][C]0.929435084232451[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]3809365[/C][C]3709668.51976174[/C][C]-528.239555252055[/C][C]-528.239555252037[/C][C]0.714920025864863[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]3750617[/C][C]3727221.64469876[/C][C]-708.681266651052[/C][C]7795.49392289275[/C][C]0.114142701700218[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]3615286[/C][C]3665690.24532752[/C][C]-1152.17745977088[/C][C]-1152.17745065026[/C][C]-0.357017379215662[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]3696556[/C][C]3682509.35369868[/C][C]-1075.6800541922[/C][C]-1075.68005419225[/C][C]0.108378420257422[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]4123959[/C][C]3920846.92603304[/C][C]-395.913211008133[/C][C]-395.913211008065[/C][C]1.45394189495515[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]4136163[/C][C]4036960.85404988[/C][C]-141.464779986327[/C][C]-141.464779986311[/C][C]0.709031210077163[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]3933392[/C][C]3981154.03375453[/C][C]-246.157036439484[/C][C]-246.15703643951[/C][C]-0.339000238695603[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]4035576[/C][C]4010499.91492215[/C][C]-194.673430013589[/C][C]-194.673430013539[/C][C]0.180265180155956[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]4551202[/C][C]4301872.18479266[/C][C]293.259076014912[/C][C]293.25907601494[/C][C]1.77634345227377[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]4032195[/C][C]4156537.0854389[/C][C]54.2013544342515[/C][C]54.2013544342387[/C][C]-0.887273743412304[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]3970893[/C][C]4056501.72994875[/C][C]-108.490410453701[/C][C]-108.490410453648[/C][C]-0.609833174001059[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]4489016[/C][C]4289562.13377199[/C][C]268.462605091942[/C][C]268.462605091955[/C][C]1.42068549055908[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]5426127[/C][C]4901956.33820704[/C][C]1254.72078574614[/C][C]1254.72078574618[/C][C]3.72967085880101[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]4578224[/C][C]4744393.88416728[/C][C]2661.75328940533[/C][C]-29279.2861824447[/C][C]-0.998748841520895[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]4126390[/C][C]4404744.85096151[/C][C]418.283950357475[/C][C]418.283942696023[/C][C]-2.01717522338852[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]4892100[/C][C]4668613.91676129[/C][C]1425.78885231399[/C][C]1425.7888523139[/C][C]1.59054232868406[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]4128697[/C][C]4377146.71150348[/C][C]678.567141165712[/C][C]678.567141165717[/C][C]-1.77942172656519[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]4408721[/C][C]4394115.66302719[/C][C]710.539850798251[/C][C]710.539850798277[/C][C]0.0991546179519769[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]4199465[/C][C]4289154.26647596[/C][C]531.898910821562[/C][C]531.898910821533[/C][C]-0.643608514319647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]4074767[/C][C]4173582.87836486[/C][C]350.302675997652[/C][C]350.302675997664[/C][C]-0.707320387479954[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]4161758[/C][C]4167183.69619859[/C][C]340.146412407992[/C][C]340.14641240804[/C][C]-0.0411233707377187[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]3891319[/C][C]4018507.65418108[/C][C]120.155784174442[/C][C]120.155784174435[/C][C]-0.907971435584331[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]4470302[/C][C]4261945.49622199[/C][C]475.898114595053[/C][C]475.898114595113[/C][C]1.48259287977945[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]4283111[/C][C]4273313.41156498[/C][C]491.739042592156[/C][C]491.739042592181[/C][C]0.0663683558257292[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]3845962[/C][C]4043000.19590635[/C][C]157.142798148601[/C][C]157.14279814865[/C][C]-1.40637166521881[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]3911471[/C][C]3976474.83173634[/C][C]688.30155651924[/C][C]-7571.31711400372[/C][C]-0.41806142609862[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]3798478[/C][C]3878828.3784197[/C][C]103.039286727357[/C][C]103.039277065973[/C][C]-0.581314788185182[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]3644313[/C][C]3751884.66183499[/C][C]-338.018803584141[/C][C]-338.018803584183[/C][C]-0.767718465155558[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]3784029[/C][C]3769255.39253612[/C][C]-297.002873893279[/C][C]-297.002873893255[/C][C]0.107621057468285[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]3647134[/C][C]3703443.44981239[/C][C]-413.759011759057[/C][C]-413.759011759041[/C][C]-0.398828608793797[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]3994662[/C][C]3860426.77491394[/C][C]-172.115449462814[/C][C]-172.115449462841[/C][C]0.958732027832268[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]3607836[/C][C]3724321.24323768[/C][C]-365.226985585635[/C][C]-365.226985585631[/C][C]-0.82818281843622[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]3566008[/C][C]3639039.56423606[/C][C]-481.300990925559[/C][C]-481.30099092552[/C][C]-0.517408963363842[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]3511412[/C][C]3570303.67406121[/C][C]-572.847382271084[/C][C]-572.847382271096[/C][C]-0.415903617562107[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]3258665[/C][C]3402420.1075301[/C][C]-795.118188335485[/C][C]-795.118188335438[/C][C]-1.01951402803753[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]3486573[/C][C]3447827.95311253[/C][C]-734.052584069178[/C][C]-734.052584069149[/C][C]0.281542097954524[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]3369443[/C][C]3405647.0656197[/C][C]-788.663477867678[/C][C]-788.663477867621[/C][C]-0.252561348689055[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]3465544[/C][C]3431663.17263823[/C][C]-982.606797630265[/C][C]10808.6747787048[/C][C]0.16762886146991[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]3905224[/C][C]3690993.59191603[/C][C]436.336542235684[/C][C]436.33654273059[/C][C]1.54292580140888[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]3733881[/C][C]3714162.84541903[/C][C]508.593640532531[/C][C]508.593640532505[/C][C]0.137473691165778[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]3220642[/C][C]3447861.209517[/C][C]-57.2458074667901[/C][C]-57.2458074667812[/C][C]-1.62191360046433[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]3225812[/C][C]3328162.47701748[/C][C]-252.501200648386[/C][C]-252.501200648353[/C][C]-0.728418972053387[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]3354461[/C][C]3342355.64910856[/C][C]-232.189183737963[/C][C]-232.189183737984[/C][C]0.0879974946716191[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]3352261[/C][C]3347711.66965117[/C][C]-224.91736000013[/C][C]-224.917360000092[/C][C]0.034048363512279[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]3450652[/C][C]3403201.22935115[/C][C]-155.150386732294[/C][C]-155.150386732272[/C][C]0.339492481176954[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=149194&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
145819454581945000
238740384133245.53511331-33907.2862542628-33907.2862515979-1.93254225752988
340862904111055.4734103-33383.2140759101-33383.21407591010.0648789633012847
443643644252143.42194767-28254.2255200298-28254.22552002981.02608921559923
537935864006636.55611844-33082.164967723-33082.1649677229-1.30166028574928
645339144293285.8820103-27062.2228174465-27062.22281744661.92870349451728
748230434580454.1661576-21672.3235719794-21672.32357197941.90081174845483
839815354259918.35272684-26531.765853106-26531.765853106-1.81010415498851
947463564523553.02751946-21968.8172329487-21968.81723294871.75847800562571
1052845344934477.64727577-15320.7808270611-15320.7808270612.62425918316415
1142648304575495.96114744-20499.175342376-20499.175342376-2.08370582895248
1239246744227026.09085582-25359.3473922692-25359.3473922692-1.98882409690003
1337347533942041.79208383-2845.992401488131305.9164322047-2.04136673536762
1437622903835243.23763575-6420.35781358617-6420.35782930573-0.520747831411165
1536097393711254.75981624-8819.92561208684-8819.92561208688-0.679417407214532
1638775943802253.32894539-7466.64615364224-7466.646153642170.597280934614131
1736364153713331.20423287-8310.12468735569-8310.12468735565-0.492371865232398
1835781953641151.96000596-8875.79455127-8875.79455127002-0.387410592555851
1936043423622011.46434983-8959.35239734069-8959.35239734064-0.0623468930287849
2034595133535200.46899123-9565.19835028086-9565.19835028083-0.47313784611818
2133665713445142.34381987-10175.9823191464-10175.9823191464-0.489319624173959
2233712773406154.90032777-10391.1924538789-10391.1924538789-0.175168676268735
2337248483578534.09143702-9041.22057551512-9041.220575515081.1112891306655
2433508303456634.73860469-9867.24794088318-9867.24794088318-0.68623411627962
2533051593339879.33785141-5450.3404024317959953.7444394784-0.744687936762693
2633907363369979.18799694-4651.81984456103-4651.819857017030.191688033395808
2733497583359345.91217392-4730.98452484118-4730.98452484121-0.0352373660653635
2832536553302527.44794319-5189.75395655334-5189.75395655326-0.313738362207209
2937342503535848.16908157-3580.2428954687-3580.242895468691.4460314636352
3034554333492789.25008065-3808.79106028019-3808.79106028021-0.23988747492647
3129667263209684.83877088-5299.09630668169-5299.09630668164-1.69859364944446
3229937163093765.9543494-5864.90152758189-5864.90152758185-0.673008016912106
3330093203048736.10099592-6060.74111077941-6060.74111077942-0.238318807823544
3431697133114360.30803182-5706.98230381905-5706.9823038190.436238195620825
3531700613144799.98650165-5530.15090558444-5530.150905584380.219979293246189
3633689343265940.61184264-4914.5698327276-4914.569832727580.770903837148453
3732926383250698.76040274-4634.4509612741850978.9605862006-0.0689333524911753
3833373443300325.5808143-3729.45305315923-3729.453064695840.30251983160432
3932083063250466.02678865-4181.18312052763-4181.18312052766-0.274230116801218
4033591303309558.62778557-3768.4768571568-3768.476857156720.382320655005199
4132230783263211.65286896-3981.57666839145-3981.57666839145-0.258514762911347
4234371593357267.3672503-3560.02831628646-3560.028316286480.596219858450636
4334001563380650.9175238-3453.09714069865-3453.097140698590.163965138821655
4436575763530102.36498395-2870.64021359681-2870.640213596780.930756689314993
4537656133657191.80716019-2386.04629199046-2386.046291990470.7911876729494
4634819213562961.62040586-2724.45520413172-2724.45520413167-0.559173165296477
4736048003585709.64419098-2631.29887441444-2631.29887441440.155088189289158
4839813403799028.75645775-1845.79912450457-1845.799124504541.31482646622551
4937340783757318.42781536-1041.0277374966311451.3051277448-0.260302810767183
5040181733903530.1246621912.065533587745912.0655204360230.836805777554408
5138874173894681.50883467836.213371575516836.213371575445-0.0583310682016885
5239198803908229.40686284902.045887465902902.0458874659630.0769501704065075
5340144663965448.87054071126.040855278471126.040855278470.342219895758586
5441977584090560.962025261550.080299598221550.08029959820.754408075683418
5538965313985894.595728711214.519470596371214.5194705964-0.646618604130806
5639647423974404.1631951175.964045448771175.96404544882-0.0773613671551536
5742018474096846.46664881536.465815878261536.465815878250.738471622602843
5840505124071765.442446891458.216330876981458.21633087703-0.162099053847467
5939974024031590.577505841336.646696227341336.64669622737-0.25354887008652
6043144794183887.490001271775.398243809021775.398243809040.919371301185317
6149257444557279.92297966-4198.8690323160546187.55936871782.39425205361924
6251306314876727.46155913-635.732895703676-635.7329037241361.86210948367264
6344448554642163.59868401-2142.59464218533-2142.59464218547-1.4028126062688
6439673194277859.18618523-3697.81676147173-3697.81676147173-2.19500924789548
6539312504091251.65516646-4301.39958302086-4301.39958302083-1.11209354618812
6642359524169571.32692854-4066.82770430085-4066.827704300880.502884657638366
6741692194169697.37196857-4055.82558976954-4055.825589769530.0255313594840451
6837790643959540.1046304-4575.58518923091-4575.58518923085-1.25522526291891
6935588103743989.90139772-5097.05004107771-5097.05004107772-1.28500820066684
7036994663720396.92359741-5142.28078249648-5142.28078249645-0.112659574047269
7136506933683241.35572537-5220.07967846196-5220.07967846195-0.194998005930818
7235256333598731.84752221-5411.96411116795-5411.96411116793-0.482969051938163
7334702763502583.54482713-4200.0564997413546200.621489522-0.579346933693746
7438590943700448.95720671-2298.60692332909-2298.606912198311.17270885193727
7536611553679322.98468293-2402.1657771555-2402.16577715556-0.113178174243076
7633563653505142.27522528-3032.21009410472-3032.2100941047-1.0420185406983
7733444403418732.62185645-3267.30312635562-3267.30312635558-0.507136143991976
7833386843375845.57483088-3363.45619452022-3363.45619452025-0.241207826939792
7934042943391436.50866392-3320.92512771075-3320.925127710690.115437576954568
8032893193336671.44039833-3431.90611946852-3431.90611946848-0.313357575431117
8134692523408372.79067186-3272.98788213228-3272.987882132290.457684624441489
8235718503496707.9585845-3081.21295995918-3081.212959959130.558061515243621
8336399143574105.76816469-2913.72716463193-2913.727164631920.490272222394395
8430917303314430.58203231-3446.02837337282-3446.02837337281-1.56418400135824
8530781493174897.57279084-1891.4308116326520805.7389128585-0.863290675736078
8631881153182387.23348936-1814.35115109733-1814.351135826170.054794234128034
8732460823217072.66570128-1639.17893077834-1639.178930778350.219810284386838
8834869923362905.50538521-1167.15084145976-1167.15084145970.895145763283636
8933781873371235.9146236-1143.77364167775-1143.773641677720.0577850967165671
9032823063323396.84425038-1242.73021780205-1242.73021780207-0.284334200385147
9132883453304605.15987798-1277.12490850041-1277.12490850034-0.106891882364732
9233257493316097.43029281-1253.05659593419-1253.056595934160.0777897051245723
9333522623335681.04161894-1214.53992728543-1214.539927285440.126942210773603
9435319543441530.67093298-1018.61238083462-1018.612380834550.652279816121497
9537226223593066.03285816-741.008014329791-741.0080143297760.929435084232451
9638093653709668.51976174-528.239555252055-528.2395552520370.714920025864863
9737506173727221.64469876-708.6812666510527795.493922892750.114142701700218
9836152863665690.24532752-1152.17745977088-1152.17745065026-0.357017379215662
9936965563682509.35369868-1075.6800541922-1075.680054192250.108378420257422
10041239593920846.92603304-395.913211008133-395.9132110080651.45394189495515
10141361634036960.85404988-141.464779986327-141.4647799863110.709031210077163
10239333923981154.03375453-246.157036439484-246.15703643951-0.339000238695603
10340355764010499.91492215-194.673430013589-194.6734300135390.180265180155956
10445512024301872.18479266293.259076014912293.259076014941.77634345227377
10540321954156537.085438954.201354434251554.2013544342387-0.887273743412304
10639708934056501.72994875-108.490410453701-108.490410453648-0.609833174001059
10744890164289562.13377199268.462605091942268.4626050919551.42068549055908
10854261274901956.338207041254.720785746141254.720785746183.72967085880101
10945782244744393.884167282661.75328940533-29279.2861824447-0.998748841520895
11041263904404744.85096151418.283950357475418.283942696023-2.01717522338852
11148921004668613.916761291425.788852313991425.78885231391.59054232868406
11241286974377146.71150348678.567141165712678.567141165717-1.77942172656519
11344087214394115.66302719710.539850798251710.5398507982770.0991546179519769
11441994654289154.26647596531.898910821562531.898910821533-0.643608514319647
11540747674173582.87836486350.302675997652350.302675997664-0.707320387479954
11641617584167183.69619859340.146412407992340.14641240804-0.0411233707377187
11738913194018507.65418108120.155784174442120.155784174435-0.907971435584331
11844703024261945.49622199475.898114595053475.8981145951131.48259287977945
11942831114273313.41156498491.739042592156491.7390425921810.0663683558257292
12038459624043000.19590635157.142798148601157.14279814865-1.40637166521881
12139114713976474.83173634688.30155651924-7571.31711400372-0.41806142609862
12237984783878828.3784197103.039286727357103.039277065973-0.581314788185182
12336443133751884.66183499-338.018803584141-338.018803584183-0.767718465155558
12437840293769255.39253612-297.002873893279-297.0028738932550.107621057468285
12536471343703443.44981239-413.759011759057-413.759011759041-0.398828608793797
12639946623860426.77491394-172.115449462814-172.1154494628410.958732027832268
12736078363724321.24323768-365.226985585635-365.226985585631-0.82818281843622
12835660083639039.56423606-481.300990925559-481.30099092552-0.517408963363842
12935114123570303.67406121-572.847382271084-572.847382271096-0.415903617562107
13032586653402420.1075301-795.118188335485-795.118188335438-1.01951402803753
13134865733447827.95311253-734.052584069178-734.0525840691490.281542097954524
13233694433405647.0656197-788.663477867678-788.663477867621-0.252561348689055
13334655443431663.17263823-982.60679763026510808.67477870480.16762886146991
13439052243690993.59191603436.336542235684436.336542730591.54292580140888
13537338813714162.84541903508.593640532531508.5936405325050.137473691165778
13632206423447861.209517-57.2458074667901-57.2458074667812-1.62191360046433
13732258123328162.47701748-252.501200648386-252.501200648353-0.728418972053387
13833544613342355.64910856-232.189183737963-232.1891837379840.0879974946716191
13933522613347711.66965117-224.91736000013-224.9173600000920.034048363512279
14034506523403201.22935115-155.150386732294-155.1503867322720.339492481176954



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
nx <- length(x)
x <- ts(x,frequency=par1)
m <- StructTS(x,type='BSM')
m$coef
m$fitted
m$resid
mylevel <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'level'])
myslope <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'slope'])
myseas <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'sea'])
myresid <- as.numeric(m$resid)
myfit <- mylevel+myseas
mylagmax <- nx/2
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed')
acf(mylevel,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Level')
acf(myseas,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal')
acf(myresid,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
spectrum(mylevel,main='Level')
spectrum(myseas,main='Seasonal')
spectrum(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
cpgram(mylevel,main='Level')
cpgram(myseas,main='Seasonal')
cpgram(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(as.numeric(m$resid),main='Standardized Residuals',ylab='Residuals',xlab='time',type='b')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test5.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
hist(m$resid,main='Residual Histogram')
plot(density(m$resid),main='Residual Kernel Density')
qqnorm(m$resid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(m$resid)
plot(m$resid^2, myfit^2,main='Sq.Resid vs. Sq.Fit',xlab='Squared residuals',ylab='Squared Fit')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Structural Time Series Model',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Slope',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Stand. Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nx) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,mylevel[i])
a<-table.element(a,myslope[i])
a<-table.element(a,myseas[i])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')