Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_structuraltimeseries.wasp
Title produced by softwareStructural Time Series Models
Date of computationTue, 27 Nov 2012 12:17:12 -0500
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2012/Nov/27/t1354036662fjtdkxay0oylm6o.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 04 May 2024 07:42:25 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982, Retrieved Sat, 04 May 2024 07:42:25 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact98
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Structural Time Series Models] [Workshop 8 - deco...] [2012-11-27 17:17:12] [729cfeb7382ca95684eaaf6b24800101] [Current]
Feedback Forum

Post a new message
Dataseries X:
178421
139871
118159
109763
97415
119190
97903
96953
87888
84637
90549
95680
99371
79984
86752
85733
84906
78356
108895
101768
73285
65724
67457
67203
69273
80807
75129
74991
68157
73858
71349
85634
91624
116014
120033
108651
105378
138939
132974
135277
152741
158417
157460
193997
154089
147570
162924
153629
155907
197675
250708
266652
209842
165826
137152
150581
145973
126532
115437
119526
110856
97243
103876
116370
109616
98365
90440
88899
92358
88394
98219
113546
107168
77540
74944
75641
75910
87384
84615
80420
80784
79933
82118
91420
112426
114528
131025
116460
111258
155318
155078
134794
139985
198778
172436
169585
203702
282392
220658
194472
269246
215340
218319
195724
174614
172085
152347
189615
173804
145683
133550
121156
112040
120767
127019
136295
113425
107815
100298
97048
98750
98235
101254
139589
134921
80355
80396
82183
79709
90781




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time5 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ yule.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 5 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'George Udny Yule' @ yule.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]5 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'George Udny Yule' @ yule.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time5 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ yule.wessa.net







Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
1178421178421000
2139871147547.204063282-7524.39207126218-7524.39207114085-0.364693280412279
3118159127645.857022788-8285.70424887263-8285.70424887263-0.625644233837677
4109763118214.399703031-8337.75976279794-8337.75976279794-0.0581974094622058
59741583857.724866391-5394.5082321666316183.5246958545-1.49554980236121
6119190118300.33721398-1712.08913447358-1712.089133578321.65137689079881
797903101499.096926316-2107.48854365875-2107.48854365875-0.757764228355765
89695399095.8882499873-2113.45918873038-2113.45918873038-0.01488138443672
98788884670.899309254-1483.985633085414451.95689779937-0.658144598744649
108463785770.0140458987-1335.31305107826-1335.31304960030.116143466100026
119054991111.4114181802-1223.81853245492-1223.818532454920.334629165292249
129568096193.7829105502-1141.94169114441-1141.941691144410.316482005406113
139937195796.7824501105-1166.545749779493499.637248166320.0389118123901675
147998482658.7556801133-1666.80348193293-1666.80348086886-0.555677057905876
158675287673.7407414942-1584.92452455206-1584.924524552060.334566030202903
168573387196.897286543-1574.3220811745-1574.32208117450.0555380858780272
178490680986.0970552913-1461.225891526284383.6776737456-0.239440282305154
187835679785.8210806427-1452.66646056527-1452.666459729530.0123201721156311
19108895107200.000773791-1173.29443428454-1173.294434284541.44460056066886
20101768103240.16603116-1194.40406322312-1194.40406322311-0.13955824398851
217328574114.5401373215-654.3008177657481962.90245334737-1.43268709126833
226572467118.4359175817-825.501791839036-825.501791951515-0.302600469988058
236745768089.4940783136-811.135007247405-811.1350072474060.0898736483471024
246720367943.6377126451-806.963842819937-806.9638428199370.0333025623438042
256927366888.7930892178-802.9935139348742408.98054198552-0.0126575138187859
268080780019.3204370159-483.411753111879-483.4117531527030.669661661718537
277512975989.4020694428-507.575211596773-507.575211596774-0.177369935320865
287499175496.9829615274-507.494156901417-507.4941569014170.000758418469900839
296815767666.5290732471-407.3881156673761222.16434690316-0.37273449427697
307385873558.1289231506-281.798788855623-281.7987886923010.304329140817482
317134971787.7789587392-290.633265772498-290.6332657725-0.0744320748036103
328563484561.0247403993-229.723026212069-229.7230262120690.653551485029934
339162490145.9608878945-299.051842776565897.1555282802310.295253553785463
34116014113672.33837492121.063460612795121.0634609086511.15569396244332
35120033119331.491190498150.178300617362150.178300617360.276880427720654
36108651109533.962571714109.066803024924109.066803024924-0.497556876114126
37105378106163.158521307145.856008160466-437.568024711436-0.176370076025908
38138939135582.170751268608.542153655358608.5421541910341.42439091861129
39132974132726.730306513592.197777428709592.197777428708-0.173163760100324
40135277134556.759678454596.79151960714596.7915196071390.0619029450766543
41152741152326.948395841433.713979208684-1301.14193822080.869103689089694
42158417157470.993611203501.173990717676501.1739913619820.229776230595144
43157460157054.181061808497.245249610398497.245249610398-0.0458855629394918
44193997190139.829123311606.988314068446606.9883140684471.62950523106522
45154089159800.590627785873.704318941366-2621.11295720789-1.56420903612346
46147570148058.639912052708.535254569774708.535254819988-0.616685712930425
47162924160953.832313037756.254742013432756.2547420134290.609101722865591
48153629153696.685074338731.555808896229731.555808896229-0.400647283281497
49155907157697.78675244705.759679279998-2117.279037758840.16509528576582
50197675193230.8956015291125.687783406281125.687783695861.70540903701748
51250708244414.7146895331306.335839127721306.335839127712.50178936794149
52266652263519.8204690211356.909913275191356.909913275190.889805832994142
53209842219441.1558959851687.43624240953-5062.3087257323-2.29229951047299
54165826169637.102733681112.065154306931112.06515226005-2.52513318946277
55137152139280.5953293011006.757458830051006.75745883004-1.57263612073526
56150581148711.757352991028.960477513491028.960477513490.421124249038794
57145973149132.8782075281033.06242925003-3099.18728667778-0.0306440228184998
58126532127869.235020728800.923237450732800.923236139085-1.09481476982339
59115437115943.877786681761.221468255756761.221468255752-0.635961977789812
60119526118573.791443159765.813780280644765.8137802806470.0934069516629513
61110856113809.934208829800.613090746419-2401.839271353-0.278599365826088
629724398182.0033564348640.498737774437640.498736711241-0.807566157962433
63103876102824.95266294652.192616317819652.1926163178150.200003143496062
64116370114584.319163239677.761091000768677.7610910007720.555161239420263
65109616112029.223919552696.820445192428-2090.46133425991-0.162789317366693
669836599105.461477855572.045579370733572.045577906223-0.670185536197868
679044090779.2064934122547.599080785229547.599080785224-0.444632637957359
688889988626.5927458957541.753203476281541.753203476285-0.134955557602922
699235893480.9686723849517.839248829607-1553.517745345880.217054158933852
708839488458.9399285321469.965165476788469.965164273854-0.272816424885122
719821996930.7694404785490.710823321929490.7108233219240.399825728239291
72113546111610.881581826519.704774254288519.7047742542930.709147570032889
73107168109079.604864961535.67365984926-1607.0209779194-0.153488939760987
747754080100.6131175231294.2916547047294.29165275592-1.45458827818473
757494475182.0788709632281.497392514329281.497392514322-0.260459152192496
767564175369.1087749447281.314628811448281.314628811453-0.00472103082157354
777591076640.3973137538276.408341768315-829.2250235315360.0497842644685614
788738486142.1942773807348.017417022648348.0174153495970.454970990010378
798461584472.7773240939343.316488745256343.316488745249-0.100798482773163
808042080513.7621662682335.413233479816335.413233479821-0.215001799475477
818078481693.9793551161331.437597760312-994.3127917231780.0424690042768969
827993379830.7115639062315.226881541389315.226879959711-0.108303588351293
838211881649.5536726147318.561738138246318.561738138240.0751243295004835
849142090259.7996001714333.06108492064333.0610849206460.414348973518977
85112426111102.216714073241.179063438412-723.537188534131.03069576375044
86114528114009.068418848259.959038659874259.9590369078710.131618183068245
87131025129240.861369729291.638724252268291.6387242522610.748013073702597
88116460117398.99891439271.394543272285271.394543272291-0.606312194937714
89111258112638.954281602292.902602151011-878.707804344768-0.252781662869138
90155318151059.758456777549.658757433874549.6587557425121.88353068646197
91155078154258.855871293555.01849576259555.0184957625850.132366840212403
92134794136132.396892093525.216293735883525.216293735888-0.933489009359589
93139985141066.492589791507.195230301318-1521.585689324120.221445743789572
94198778192938.03446935838.461219427074838.4612184096672.5385945427877
95172436173643.689015425799.447503251507799.447503251503-1.00582296090861
96169585169305.88606916791.596465663218791.59646566322-0.256695095794139
97203702202465.618379822664.846595750956-1994.539786891611.62536956623471
98282392274345.1570311831105.501855468911105.501855888453.52116477071151
99220658224706.0090639321011.139947154991011.13994715498-2.5351287778705
100194472196425.885010592968.18028109016968.180281090158-1.46357401050132
101269246264676.124502584715.324701135946-2145.974105704843.37782713743637
102215340219386.510829187441.757885119505441.757886911507-2.27557806507796
103218319218057.005203262438.592021101198438.592021101194-0.0884883429328967
104195724197417.834007399408.876703427189408.876703427188-1.05315340141476
105174614178031.071352675480.390778326487-1441.17233712382-0.993616536664587
106172085172251.666299244444.563869863861444.563871939438-0.309745514488841
107152347153817.232507475412.081645022019412.081645022015-0.94313845591642
108189615185991.231279232455.188713738268455.1887137382671.58695665434821
109173804176289.355237117490.514401469948-1471.54320679017-0.509724169230241
110145683148148.328949683332.572993504038332.572995569408-1.41721456154934
111133550134622.217488968309.587510289904309.587510289897-0.692329152607874
112121156122139.338849772292.850148623141292.850148623139-0.639152520045124
113112040113860.347657147321.591084927681-964.773257486522-0.430095347640865
114120767119859.915445079351.819504586883351.8195073528880.281138423769949
115127019126073.340350737361.203268396351361.2032683963460.292820645572966
116136295135062.192629329372.099551495368372.0995514953670.431057429346919
117113425116603.647683099433.047300180576-1299.14190306032-0.944679950519808
118107815108283.56028315388.019014296921388.019016719051-0.433527509506452
119100298100715.593464993375.710409190909375.710409190903-0.397442208417933
1209704897077.6038200125370.811404383835370.811404383833-0.200530540328668
1219875099624.7869985173364.003486929875-1092.010463521390.109165709129423
1229823598068.5833502746354.447751074854354.447753785451-0.0951303802756595
123101254100671.93910438357.813886783526357.813886783520.112343223323036
124139589135728.564034307398.791235712838398.7912357128381.73357887207231
125134921136118.353861422398.818479589059-1196.45544100622-0.000451441584437512
1268035585228.6474375608151.650012988744151.650014661655-2.54156909832055
1278039680716.1957340299144.888679238903144.888679238895-0.232990766049109
1288218381930.2273932714146.111574793113146.1115747931140.0534144322632701
1297970980336.3065278808151.212515888723-453.637549489531-0.0872549846872228
1309078189685.1240493351194.179826279363194.1798282043330.455890121828791

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Structural Time Series Model \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Level & Slope & Seasonal & Stand. Residuals \tabularnewline
1 & 178421 & 178421 & 0 & 0 & 0 \tabularnewline
2 & 139871 & 147547.204063282 & -7524.39207126218 & -7524.39207114085 & -0.364693280412279 \tabularnewline
3 & 118159 & 127645.857022788 & -8285.70424887263 & -8285.70424887263 & -0.625644233837677 \tabularnewline
4 & 109763 & 118214.399703031 & -8337.75976279794 & -8337.75976279794 & -0.0581974094622058 \tabularnewline
5 & 97415 & 83857.724866391 & -5394.50823216663 & 16183.5246958545 & -1.49554980236121 \tabularnewline
6 & 119190 & 118300.33721398 & -1712.08913447358 & -1712.08913357832 & 1.65137689079881 \tabularnewline
7 & 97903 & 101499.096926316 & -2107.48854365875 & -2107.48854365875 & -0.757764228355765 \tabularnewline
8 & 96953 & 99095.8882499873 & -2113.45918873038 & -2113.45918873038 & -0.01488138443672 \tabularnewline
9 & 87888 & 84670.899309254 & -1483.98563308541 & 4451.95689779937 & -0.658144598744649 \tabularnewline
10 & 84637 & 85770.0140458987 & -1335.31305107826 & -1335.3130496003 & 0.116143466100026 \tabularnewline
11 & 90549 & 91111.4114181802 & -1223.81853245492 & -1223.81853245492 & 0.334629165292249 \tabularnewline
12 & 95680 & 96193.7829105502 & -1141.94169114441 & -1141.94169114441 & 0.316482005406113 \tabularnewline
13 & 99371 & 95796.7824501105 & -1166.54574977949 & 3499.63724816632 & 0.0389118123901675 \tabularnewline
14 & 79984 & 82658.7556801133 & -1666.80348193293 & -1666.80348086886 & -0.555677057905876 \tabularnewline
15 & 86752 & 87673.7407414942 & -1584.92452455206 & -1584.92452455206 & 0.334566030202903 \tabularnewline
16 & 85733 & 87196.897286543 & -1574.3220811745 & -1574.3220811745 & 0.0555380858780272 \tabularnewline
17 & 84906 & 80986.0970552913 & -1461.22589152628 & 4383.6776737456 & -0.239440282305154 \tabularnewline
18 & 78356 & 79785.8210806427 & -1452.66646056527 & -1452.66645972953 & 0.0123201721156311 \tabularnewline
19 & 108895 & 107200.000773791 & -1173.29443428454 & -1173.29443428454 & 1.44460056066886 \tabularnewline
20 & 101768 & 103240.16603116 & -1194.40406322312 & -1194.40406322311 & -0.13955824398851 \tabularnewline
21 & 73285 & 74114.5401373215 & -654.300817765748 & 1962.90245334737 & -1.43268709126833 \tabularnewline
22 & 65724 & 67118.4359175817 & -825.501791839036 & -825.501791951515 & -0.302600469988058 \tabularnewline
23 & 67457 & 68089.4940783136 & -811.135007247405 & -811.135007247406 & 0.0898736483471024 \tabularnewline
24 & 67203 & 67943.6377126451 & -806.963842819937 & -806.963842819937 & 0.0333025623438042 \tabularnewline
25 & 69273 & 66888.7930892178 & -802.993513934874 & 2408.98054198552 & -0.0126575138187859 \tabularnewline
26 & 80807 & 80019.3204370159 & -483.411753111879 & -483.411753152703 & 0.669661661718537 \tabularnewline
27 & 75129 & 75989.4020694428 & -507.575211596773 & -507.575211596774 & -0.177369935320865 \tabularnewline
28 & 74991 & 75496.9829615274 & -507.494156901417 & -507.494156901417 & 0.000758418469900839 \tabularnewline
29 & 68157 & 67666.5290732471 & -407.388115667376 & 1222.16434690316 & -0.37273449427697 \tabularnewline
30 & 73858 & 73558.1289231506 & -281.798788855623 & -281.798788692301 & 0.304329140817482 \tabularnewline
31 & 71349 & 71787.7789587392 & -290.633265772498 & -290.6332657725 & -0.0744320748036103 \tabularnewline
32 & 85634 & 84561.0247403993 & -229.723026212069 & -229.723026212069 & 0.653551485029934 \tabularnewline
33 & 91624 & 90145.9608878945 & -299.051842776565 & 897.155528280231 & 0.295253553785463 \tabularnewline
34 & 116014 & 113672.33837492 & 121.063460612795 & 121.063460908651 & 1.15569396244332 \tabularnewline
35 & 120033 & 119331.491190498 & 150.178300617362 & 150.17830061736 & 0.276880427720654 \tabularnewline
36 & 108651 & 109533.962571714 & 109.066803024924 & 109.066803024924 & -0.497556876114126 \tabularnewline
37 & 105378 & 106163.158521307 & 145.856008160466 & -437.568024711436 & -0.176370076025908 \tabularnewline
38 & 138939 & 135582.170751268 & 608.542153655358 & 608.542154191034 & 1.42439091861129 \tabularnewline
39 & 132974 & 132726.730306513 & 592.197777428709 & 592.197777428708 & -0.173163760100324 \tabularnewline
40 & 135277 & 134556.759678454 & 596.79151960714 & 596.791519607139 & 0.0619029450766543 \tabularnewline
41 & 152741 & 152326.948395841 & 433.713979208684 & -1301.1419382208 & 0.869103689089694 \tabularnewline
42 & 158417 & 157470.993611203 & 501.173990717676 & 501.173991361982 & 0.229776230595144 \tabularnewline
43 & 157460 & 157054.181061808 & 497.245249610398 & 497.245249610398 & -0.0458855629394918 \tabularnewline
44 & 193997 & 190139.829123311 & 606.988314068446 & 606.988314068447 & 1.62950523106522 \tabularnewline
45 & 154089 & 159800.590627785 & 873.704318941366 & -2621.11295720789 & -1.56420903612346 \tabularnewline
46 & 147570 & 148058.639912052 & 708.535254569774 & 708.535254819988 & -0.616685712930425 \tabularnewline
47 & 162924 & 160953.832313037 & 756.254742013432 & 756.254742013429 & 0.609101722865591 \tabularnewline
48 & 153629 & 153696.685074338 & 731.555808896229 & 731.555808896229 & -0.400647283281497 \tabularnewline
49 & 155907 & 157697.78675244 & 705.759679279998 & -2117.27903775884 & 0.16509528576582 \tabularnewline
50 & 197675 & 193230.895601529 & 1125.68778340628 & 1125.68778369586 & 1.70540903701748 \tabularnewline
51 & 250708 & 244414.714689533 & 1306.33583912772 & 1306.33583912771 & 2.50178936794149 \tabularnewline
52 & 266652 & 263519.820469021 & 1356.90991327519 & 1356.90991327519 & 0.889805832994142 \tabularnewline
53 & 209842 & 219441.155895985 & 1687.43624240953 & -5062.3087257323 & -2.29229951047299 \tabularnewline
54 & 165826 & 169637.10273368 & 1112.06515430693 & 1112.06515226005 & -2.52513318946277 \tabularnewline
55 & 137152 & 139280.595329301 & 1006.75745883005 & 1006.75745883004 & -1.57263612073526 \tabularnewline
56 & 150581 & 148711.75735299 & 1028.96047751349 & 1028.96047751349 & 0.421124249038794 \tabularnewline
57 & 145973 & 149132.878207528 & 1033.06242925003 & -3099.18728667778 & -0.0306440228184998 \tabularnewline
58 & 126532 & 127869.235020728 & 800.923237450732 & 800.923236139085 & -1.09481476982339 \tabularnewline
59 & 115437 & 115943.877786681 & 761.221468255756 & 761.221468255752 & -0.635961977789812 \tabularnewline
60 & 119526 & 118573.791443159 & 765.813780280644 & 765.813780280647 & 0.0934069516629513 \tabularnewline
61 & 110856 & 113809.934208829 & 800.613090746419 & -2401.839271353 & -0.278599365826088 \tabularnewline
62 & 97243 & 98182.0033564348 & 640.498737774437 & 640.498736711241 & -0.807566157962433 \tabularnewline
63 & 103876 & 102824.95266294 & 652.192616317819 & 652.192616317815 & 0.200003143496062 \tabularnewline
64 & 116370 & 114584.319163239 & 677.761091000768 & 677.761091000772 & 0.555161239420263 \tabularnewline
65 & 109616 & 112029.223919552 & 696.820445192428 & -2090.46133425991 & -0.162789317366693 \tabularnewline
66 & 98365 & 99105.461477855 & 572.045579370733 & 572.045577906223 & -0.670185536197868 \tabularnewline
67 & 90440 & 90779.2064934122 & 547.599080785229 & 547.599080785224 & -0.444632637957359 \tabularnewline
68 & 88899 & 88626.5927458957 & 541.753203476281 & 541.753203476285 & -0.134955557602922 \tabularnewline
69 & 92358 & 93480.9686723849 & 517.839248829607 & -1553.51774534588 & 0.217054158933852 \tabularnewline
70 & 88394 & 88458.9399285321 & 469.965165476788 & 469.965164273854 & -0.272816424885122 \tabularnewline
71 & 98219 & 96930.7694404785 & 490.710823321929 & 490.710823321924 & 0.399825728239291 \tabularnewline
72 & 113546 & 111610.881581826 & 519.704774254288 & 519.704774254293 & 0.709147570032889 \tabularnewline
73 & 107168 & 109079.604864961 & 535.67365984926 & -1607.0209779194 & -0.153488939760987 \tabularnewline
74 & 77540 & 80100.6131175231 & 294.2916547047 & 294.29165275592 & -1.45458827818473 \tabularnewline
75 & 74944 & 75182.0788709632 & 281.497392514329 & 281.497392514322 & -0.260459152192496 \tabularnewline
76 & 75641 & 75369.1087749447 & 281.314628811448 & 281.314628811453 & -0.00472103082157354 \tabularnewline
77 & 75910 & 76640.3973137538 & 276.408341768315 & -829.225023531536 & 0.0497842644685614 \tabularnewline
78 & 87384 & 86142.1942773807 & 348.017417022648 & 348.017415349597 & 0.454970990010378 \tabularnewline
79 & 84615 & 84472.7773240939 & 343.316488745256 & 343.316488745249 & -0.100798482773163 \tabularnewline
80 & 80420 & 80513.7621662682 & 335.413233479816 & 335.413233479821 & -0.215001799475477 \tabularnewline
81 & 80784 & 81693.9793551161 & 331.437597760312 & -994.312791723178 & 0.0424690042768969 \tabularnewline
82 & 79933 & 79830.7115639062 & 315.226881541389 & 315.226879959711 & -0.108303588351293 \tabularnewline
83 & 82118 & 81649.5536726147 & 318.561738138246 & 318.56173813824 & 0.0751243295004835 \tabularnewline
84 & 91420 & 90259.7996001714 & 333.06108492064 & 333.061084920646 & 0.414348973518977 \tabularnewline
85 & 112426 & 111102.216714073 & 241.179063438412 & -723.53718853413 & 1.03069576375044 \tabularnewline
86 & 114528 & 114009.068418848 & 259.959038659874 & 259.959036907871 & 0.131618183068245 \tabularnewline
87 & 131025 & 129240.861369729 & 291.638724252268 & 291.638724252261 & 0.748013073702597 \tabularnewline
88 & 116460 & 117398.99891439 & 271.394543272285 & 271.394543272291 & -0.606312194937714 \tabularnewline
89 & 111258 & 112638.954281602 & 292.902602151011 & -878.707804344768 & -0.252781662869138 \tabularnewline
90 & 155318 & 151059.758456777 & 549.658757433874 & 549.658755742512 & 1.88353068646197 \tabularnewline
91 & 155078 & 154258.855871293 & 555.01849576259 & 555.018495762585 & 0.132366840212403 \tabularnewline
92 & 134794 & 136132.396892093 & 525.216293735883 & 525.216293735888 & -0.933489009359589 \tabularnewline
93 & 139985 & 141066.492589791 & 507.195230301318 & -1521.58568932412 & 0.221445743789572 \tabularnewline
94 & 198778 & 192938.03446935 & 838.461219427074 & 838.461218409667 & 2.5385945427877 \tabularnewline
95 & 172436 & 173643.689015425 & 799.447503251507 & 799.447503251503 & -1.00582296090861 \tabularnewline
96 & 169585 & 169305.88606916 & 791.596465663218 & 791.59646566322 & -0.256695095794139 \tabularnewline
97 & 203702 & 202465.618379822 & 664.846595750956 & -1994.53978689161 & 1.62536956623471 \tabularnewline
98 & 282392 & 274345.157031183 & 1105.50185546891 & 1105.50185588845 & 3.52116477071151 \tabularnewline
99 & 220658 & 224706.009063932 & 1011.13994715499 & 1011.13994715498 & -2.5351287778705 \tabularnewline
100 & 194472 & 196425.885010592 & 968.18028109016 & 968.180281090158 & -1.46357401050132 \tabularnewline
101 & 269246 & 264676.124502584 & 715.324701135946 & -2145.97410570484 & 3.37782713743637 \tabularnewline
102 & 215340 & 219386.510829187 & 441.757885119505 & 441.757886911507 & -2.27557806507796 \tabularnewline
103 & 218319 & 218057.005203262 & 438.592021101198 & 438.592021101194 & -0.0884883429328967 \tabularnewline
104 & 195724 & 197417.834007399 & 408.876703427189 & 408.876703427188 & -1.05315340141476 \tabularnewline
105 & 174614 & 178031.071352675 & 480.390778326487 & -1441.17233712382 & -0.993616536664587 \tabularnewline
106 & 172085 & 172251.666299244 & 444.563869863861 & 444.563871939438 & -0.309745514488841 \tabularnewline
107 & 152347 & 153817.232507475 & 412.081645022019 & 412.081645022015 & -0.94313845591642 \tabularnewline
108 & 189615 & 185991.231279232 & 455.188713738268 & 455.188713738267 & 1.58695665434821 \tabularnewline
109 & 173804 & 176289.355237117 & 490.514401469948 & -1471.54320679017 & -0.509724169230241 \tabularnewline
110 & 145683 & 148148.328949683 & 332.572993504038 & 332.572995569408 & -1.41721456154934 \tabularnewline
111 & 133550 & 134622.217488968 & 309.587510289904 & 309.587510289897 & -0.692329152607874 \tabularnewline
112 & 121156 & 122139.338849772 & 292.850148623141 & 292.850148623139 & -0.639152520045124 \tabularnewline
113 & 112040 & 113860.347657147 & 321.591084927681 & -964.773257486522 & -0.430095347640865 \tabularnewline
114 & 120767 & 119859.915445079 & 351.819504586883 & 351.819507352888 & 0.281138423769949 \tabularnewline
115 & 127019 & 126073.340350737 & 361.203268396351 & 361.203268396346 & 0.292820645572966 \tabularnewline
116 & 136295 & 135062.192629329 & 372.099551495368 & 372.099551495367 & 0.431057429346919 \tabularnewline
117 & 113425 & 116603.647683099 & 433.047300180576 & -1299.14190306032 & -0.944679950519808 \tabularnewline
118 & 107815 & 108283.56028315 & 388.019014296921 & 388.019016719051 & -0.433527509506452 \tabularnewline
119 & 100298 & 100715.593464993 & 375.710409190909 & 375.710409190903 & -0.397442208417933 \tabularnewline
120 & 97048 & 97077.6038200125 & 370.811404383835 & 370.811404383833 & -0.200530540328668 \tabularnewline
121 & 98750 & 99624.7869985173 & 364.003486929875 & -1092.01046352139 & 0.109165709129423 \tabularnewline
122 & 98235 & 98068.5833502746 & 354.447751074854 & 354.447753785451 & -0.0951303802756595 \tabularnewline
123 & 101254 & 100671.93910438 & 357.813886783526 & 357.81388678352 & 0.112343223323036 \tabularnewline
124 & 139589 & 135728.564034307 & 398.791235712838 & 398.791235712838 & 1.73357887207231 \tabularnewline
125 & 134921 & 136118.353861422 & 398.818479589059 & -1196.45544100622 & -0.000451441584437512 \tabularnewline
126 & 80355 & 85228.6474375608 & 151.650012988744 & 151.650014661655 & -2.54156909832055 \tabularnewline
127 & 80396 & 80716.1957340299 & 144.888679238903 & 144.888679238895 & -0.232990766049109 \tabularnewline
128 & 82183 & 81930.2273932714 & 146.111574793113 & 146.111574793114 & 0.0534144322632701 \tabularnewline
129 & 79709 & 80336.3065278808 & 151.212515888723 & -453.637549489531 & -0.0872549846872228 \tabularnewline
130 & 90781 & 89685.1240493351 & 194.179826279363 & 194.179828204333 & 0.455890121828791 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Structural Time Series Model[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Level[/C][C]Slope[/C][C]Seasonal[/C][C]Stand. Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]178421[/C][C]178421[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]139871[/C][C]147547.204063282[/C][C]-7524.39207126218[/C][C]-7524.39207114085[/C][C]-0.364693280412279[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]118159[/C][C]127645.857022788[/C][C]-8285.70424887263[/C][C]-8285.70424887263[/C][C]-0.625644233837677[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]109763[/C][C]118214.399703031[/C][C]-8337.75976279794[/C][C]-8337.75976279794[/C][C]-0.0581974094622058[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]97415[/C][C]83857.724866391[/C][C]-5394.50823216663[/C][C]16183.5246958545[/C][C]-1.49554980236121[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]119190[/C][C]118300.33721398[/C][C]-1712.08913447358[/C][C]-1712.08913357832[/C][C]1.65137689079881[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]97903[/C][C]101499.096926316[/C][C]-2107.48854365875[/C][C]-2107.48854365875[/C][C]-0.757764228355765[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]96953[/C][C]99095.8882499873[/C][C]-2113.45918873038[/C][C]-2113.45918873038[/C][C]-0.01488138443672[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]87888[/C][C]84670.899309254[/C][C]-1483.98563308541[/C][C]4451.95689779937[/C][C]-0.658144598744649[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]84637[/C][C]85770.0140458987[/C][C]-1335.31305107826[/C][C]-1335.3130496003[/C][C]0.116143466100026[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]90549[/C][C]91111.4114181802[/C][C]-1223.81853245492[/C][C]-1223.81853245492[/C][C]0.334629165292249[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]95680[/C][C]96193.7829105502[/C][C]-1141.94169114441[/C][C]-1141.94169114441[/C][C]0.316482005406113[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]99371[/C][C]95796.7824501105[/C][C]-1166.54574977949[/C][C]3499.63724816632[/C][C]0.0389118123901675[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]79984[/C][C]82658.7556801133[/C][C]-1666.80348193293[/C][C]-1666.80348086886[/C][C]-0.555677057905876[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]86752[/C][C]87673.7407414942[/C][C]-1584.92452455206[/C][C]-1584.92452455206[/C][C]0.334566030202903[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]85733[/C][C]87196.897286543[/C][C]-1574.3220811745[/C][C]-1574.3220811745[/C][C]0.0555380858780272[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]84906[/C][C]80986.0970552913[/C][C]-1461.22589152628[/C][C]4383.6776737456[/C][C]-0.239440282305154[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]78356[/C][C]79785.8210806427[/C][C]-1452.66646056527[/C][C]-1452.66645972953[/C][C]0.0123201721156311[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]108895[/C][C]107200.000773791[/C][C]-1173.29443428454[/C][C]-1173.29443428454[/C][C]1.44460056066886[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]101768[/C][C]103240.16603116[/C][C]-1194.40406322312[/C][C]-1194.40406322311[/C][C]-0.13955824398851[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]73285[/C][C]74114.5401373215[/C][C]-654.300817765748[/C][C]1962.90245334737[/C][C]-1.43268709126833[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]65724[/C][C]67118.4359175817[/C][C]-825.501791839036[/C][C]-825.501791951515[/C][C]-0.302600469988058[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]67457[/C][C]68089.4940783136[/C][C]-811.135007247405[/C][C]-811.135007247406[/C][C]0.0898736483471024[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]67203[/C][C]67943.6377126451[/C][C]-806.963842819937[/C][C]-806.963842819937[/C][C]0.0333025623438042[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]69273[/C][C]66888.7930892178[/C][C]-802.993513934874[/C][C]2408.98054198552[/C][C]-0.0126575138187859[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]80807[/C][C]80019.3204370159[/C][C]-483.411753111879[/C][C]-483.411753152703[/C][C]0.669661661718537[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]75129[/C][C]75989.4020694428[/C][C]-507.575211596773[/C][C]-507.575211596774[/C][C]-0.177369935320865[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]74991[/C][C]75496.9829615274[/C][C]-507.494156901417[/C][C]-507.494156901417[/C][C]0.000758418469900839[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]68157[/C][C]67666.5290732471[/C][C]-407.388115667376[/C][C]1222.16434690316[/C][C]-0.37273449427697[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]73858[/C][C]73558.1289231506[/C][C]-281.798788855623[/C][C]-281.798788692301[/C][C]0.304329140817482[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]71349[/C][C]71787.7789587392[/C][C]-290.633265772498[/C][C]-290.6332657725[/C][C]-0.0744320748036103[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]85634[/C][C]84561.0247403993[/C][C]-229.723026212069[/C][C]-229.723026212069[/C][C]0.653551485029934[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]91624[/C][C]90145.9608878945[/C][C]-299.051842776565[/C][C]897.155528280231[/C][C]0.295253553785463[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]116014[/C][C]113672.33837492[/C][C]121.063460612795[/C][C]121.063460908651[/C][C]1.15569396244332[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]120033[/C][C]119331.491190498[/C][C]150.178300617362[/C][C]150.17830061736[/C][C]0.276880427720654[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]108651[/C][C]109533.962571714[/C][C]109.066803024924[/C][C]109.066803024924[/C][C]-0.497556876114126[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]105378[/C][C]106163.158521307[/C][C]145.856008160466[/C][C]-437.568024711436[/C][C]-0.176370076025908[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]138939[/C][C]135582.170751268[/C][C]608.542153655358[/C][C]608.542154191034[/C][C]1.42439091861129[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]132974[/C][C]132726.730306513[/C][C]592.197777428709[/C][C]592.197777428708[/C][C]-0.173163760100324[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]135277[/C][C]134556.759678454[/C][C]596.79151960714[/C][C]596.791519607139[/C][C]0.0619029450766543[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]152741[/C][C]152326.948395841[/C][C]433.713979208684[/C][C]-1301.1419382208[/C][C]0.869103689089694[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]158417[/C][C]157470.993611203[/C][C]501.173990717676[/C][C]501.173991361982[/C][C]0.229776230595144[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]157460[/C][C]157054.181061808[/C][C]497.245249610398[/C][C]497.245249610398[/C][C]-0.0458855629394918[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]193997[/C][C]190139.829123311[/C][C]606.988314068446[/C][C]606.988314068447[/C][C]1.62950523106522[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]154089[/C][C]159800.590627785[/C][C]873.704318941366[/C][C]-2621.11295720789[/C][C]-1.56420903612346[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]147570[/C][C]148058.639912052[/C][C]708.535254569774[/C][C]708.535254819988[/C][C]-0.616685712930425[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]162924[/C][C]160953.832313037[/C][C]756.254742013432[/C][C]756.254742013429[/C][C]0.609101722865591[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]153629[/C][C]153696.685074338[/C][C]731.555808896229[/C][C]731.555808896229[/C][C]-0.400647283281497[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]155907[/C][C]157697.78675244[/C][C]705.759679279998[/C][C]-2117.27903775884[/C][C]0.16509528576582[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]197675[/C][C]193230.895601529[/C][C]1125.68778340628[/C][C]1125.68778369586[/C][C]1.70540903701748[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]250708[/C][C]244414.714689533[/C][C]1306.33583912772[/C][C]1306.33583912771[/C][C]2.50178936794149[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]266652[/C][C]263519.820469021[/C][C]1356.90991327519[/C][C]1356.90991327519[/C][C]0.889805832994142[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]209842[/C][C]219441.155895985[/C][C]1687.43624240953[/C][C]-5062.3087257323[/C][C]-2.29229951047299[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]165826[/C][C]169637.10273368[/C][C]1112.06515430693[/C][C]1112.06515226005[/C][C]-2.52513318946277[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]137152[/C][C]139280.595329301[/C][C]1006.75745883005[/C][C]1006.75745883004[/C][C]-1.57263612073526[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]150581[/C][C]148711.75735299[/C][C]1028.96047751349[/C][C]1028.96047751349[/C][C]0.421124249038794[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]145973[/C][C]149132.878207528[/C][C]1033.06242925003[/C][C]-3099.18728667778[/C][C]-0.0306440228184998[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]126532[/C][C]127869.235020728[/C][C]800.923237450732[/C][C]800.923236139085[/C][C]-1.09481476982339[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]115437[/C][C]115943.877786681[/C][C]761.221468255756[/C][C]761.221468255752[/C][C]-0.635961977789812[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]119526[/C][C]118573.791443159[/C][C]765.813780280644[/C][C]765.813780280647[/C][C]0.0934069516629513[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]110856[/C][C]113809.934208829[/C][C]800.613090746419[/C][C]-2401.839271353[/C][C]-0.278599365826088[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]97243[/C][C]98182.0033564348[/C][C]640.498737774437[/C][C]640.498736711241[/C][C]-0.807566157962433[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]103876[/C][C]102824.95266294[/C][C]652.192616317819[/C][C]652.192616317815[/C][C]0.200003143496062[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]116370[/C][C]114584.319163239[/C][C]677.761091000768[/C][C]677.761091000772[/C][C]0.555161239420263[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]109616[/C][C]112029.223919552[/C][C]696.820445192428[/C][C]-2090.46133425991[/C][C]-0.162789317366693[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]98365[/C][C]99105.461477855[/C][C]572.045579370733[/C][C]572.045577906223[/C][C]-0.670185536197868[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]90440[/C][C]90779.2064934122[/C][C]547.599080785229[/C][C]547.599080785224[/C][C]-0.444632637957359[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]88899[/C][C]88626.5927458957[/C][C]541.753203476281[/C][C]541.753203476285[/C][C]-0.134955557602922[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]92358[/C][C]93480.9686723849[/C][C]517.839248829607[/C][C]-1553.51774534588[/C][C]0.217054158933852[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]88394[/C][C]88458.9399285321[/C][C]469.965165476788[/C][C]469.965164273854[/C][C]-0.272816424885122[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]98219[/C][C]96930.7694404785[/C][C]490.710823321929[/C][C]490.710823321924[/C][C]0.399825728239291[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]113546[/C][C]111610.881581826[/C][C]519.704774254288[/C][C]519.704774254293[/C][C]0.709147570032889[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]107168[/C][C]109079.604864961[/C][C]535.67365984926[/C][C]-1607.0209779194[/C][C]-0.153488939760987[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]77540[/C][C]80100.6131175231[/C][C]294.2916547047[/C][C]294.29165275592[/C][C]-1.45458827818473[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]74944[/C][C]75182.0788709632[/C][C]281.497392514329[/C][C]281.497392514322[/C][C]-0.260459152192496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]75641[/C][C]75369.1087749447[/C][C]281.314628811448[/C][C]281.314628811453[/C][C]-0.00472103082157354[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]75910[/C][C]76640.3973137538[/C][C]276.408341768315[/C][C]-829.225023531536[/C][C]0.0497842644685614[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]87384[/C][C]86142.1942773807[/C][C]348.017417022648[/C][C]348.017415349597[/C][C]0.454970990010378[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]84615[/C][C]84472.7773240939[/C][C]343.316488745256[/C][C]343.316488745249[/C][C]-0.100798482773163[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]80420[/C][C]80513.7621662682[/C][C]335.413233479816[/C][C]335.413233479821[/C][C]-0.215001799475477[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]80784[/C][C]81693.9793551161[/C][C]331.437597760312[/C][C]-994.312791723178[/C][C]0.0424690042768969[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]79933[/C][C]79830.7115639062[/C][C]315.226881541389[/C][C]315.226879959711[/C][C]-0.108303588351293[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]82118[/C][C]81649.5536726147[/C][C]318.561738138246[/C][C]318.56173813824[/C][C]0.0751243295004835[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]91420[/C][C]90259.7996001714[/C][C]333.06108492064[/C][C]333.061084920646[/C][C]0.414348973518977[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]112426[/C][C]111102.216714073[/C][C]241.179063438412[/C][C]-723.53718853413[/C][C]1.03069576375044[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]114528[/C][C]114009.068418848[/C][C]259.959038659874[/C][C]259.959036907871[/C][C]0.131618183068245[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]131025[/C][C]129240.861369729[/C][C]291.638724252268[/C][C]291.638724252261[/C][C]0.748013073702597[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]116460[/C][C]117398.99891439[/C][C]271.394543272285[/C][C]271.394543272291[/C][C]-0.606312194937714[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]111258[/C][C]112638.954281602[/C][C]292.902602151011[/C][C]-878.707804344768[/C][C]-0.252781662869138[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]155318[/C][C]151059.758456777[/C][C]549.658757433874[/C][C]549.658755742512[/C][C]1.88353068646197[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]155078[/C][C]154258.855871293[/C][C]555.01849576259[/C][C]555.018495762585[/C][C]0.132366840212403[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]134794[/C][C]136132.396892093[/C][C]525.216293735883[/C][C]525.216293735888[/C][C]-0.933489009359589[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]139985[/C][C]141066.492589791[/C][C]507.195230301318[/C][C]-1521.58568932412[/C][C]0.221445743789572[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]198778[/C][C]192938.03446935[/C][C]838.461219427074[/C][C]838.461218409667[/C][C]2.5385945427877[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]172436[/C][C]173643.689015425[/C][C]799.447503251507[/C][C]799.447503251503[/C][C]-1.00582296090861[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]169585[/C][C]169305.88606916[/C][C]791.596465663218[/C][C]791.59646566322[/C][C]-0.256695095794139[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]203702[/C][C]202465.618379822[/C][C]664.846595750956[/C][C]-1994.53978689161[/C][C]1.62536956623471[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]282392[/C][C]274345.157031183[/C][C]1105.50185546891[/C][C]1105.50185588845[/C][C]3.52116477071151[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]220658[/C][C]224706.009063932[/C][C]1011.13994715499[/C][C]1011.13994715498[/C][C]-2.5351287778705[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]194472[/C][C]196425.885010592[/C][C]968.18028109016[/C][C]968.180281090158[/C][C]-1.46357401050132[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]269246[/C][C]264676.124502584[/C][C]715.324701135946[/C][C]-2145.97410570484[/C][C]3.37782713743637[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]215340[/C][C]219386.510829187[/C][C]441.757885119505[/C][C]441.757886911507[/C][C]-2.27557806507796[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]218319[/C][C]218057.005203262[/C][C]438.592021101198[/C][C]438.592021101194[/C][C]-0.0884883429328967[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]195724[/C][C]197417.834007399[/C][C]408.876703427189[/C][C]408.876703427188[/C][C]-1.05315340141476[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]174614[/C][C]178031.071352675[/C][C]480.390778326487[/C][C]-1441.17233712382[/C][C]-0.993616536664587[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]172085[/C][C]172251.666299244[/C][C]444.563869863861[/C][C]444.563871939438[/C][C]-0.309745514488841[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]152347[/C][C]153817.232507475[/C][C]412.081645022019[/C][C]412.081645022015[/C][C]-0.94313845591642[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]189615[/C][C]185991.231279232[/C][C]455.188713738268[/C][C]455.188713738267[/C][C]1.58695665434821[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]173804[/C][C]176289.355237117[/C][C]490.514401469948[/C][C]-1471.54320679017[/C][C]-0.509724169230241[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]145683[/C][C]148148.328949683[/C][C]332.572993504038[/C][C]332.572995569408[/C][C]-1.41721456154934[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]133550[/C][C]134622.217488968[/C][C]309.587510289904[/C][C]309.587510289897[/C][C]-0.692329152607874[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]121156[/C][C]122139.338849772[/C][C]292.850148623141[/C][C]292.850148623139[/C][C]-0.639152520045124[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]112040[/C][C]113860.347657147[/C][C]321.591084927681[/C][C]-964.773257486522[/C][C]-0.430095347640865[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]120767[/C][C]119859.915445079[/C][C]351.819504586883[/C][C]351.819507352888[/C][C]0.281138423769949[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]127019[/C][C]126073.340350737[/C][C]361.203268396351[/C][C]361.203268396346[/C][C]0.292820645572966[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]136295[/C][C]135062.192629329[/C][C]372.099551495368[/C][C]372.099551495367[/C][C]0.431057429346919[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]113425[/C][C]116603.647683099[/C][C]433.047300180576[/C][C]-1299.14190306032[/C][C]-0.944679950519808[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]107815[/C][C]108283.56028315[/C][C]388.019014296921[/C][C]388.019016719051[/C][C]-0.433527509506452[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]100298[/C][C]100715.593464993[/C][C]375.710409190909[/C][C]375.710409190903[/C][C]-0.397442208417933[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]97048[/C][C]97077.6038200125[/C][C]370.811404383835[/C][C]370.811404383833[/C][C]-0.200530540328668[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]98750[/C][C]99624.7869985173[/C][C]364.003486929875[/C][C]-1092.01046352139[/C][C]0.109165709129423[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]98235[/C][C]98068.5833502746[/C][C]354.447751074854[/C][C]354.447753785451[/C][C]-0.0951303802756595[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]101254[/C][C]100671.93910438[/C][C]357.813886783526[/C][C]357.81388678352[/C][C]0.112343223323036[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]139589[/C][C]135728.564034307[/C][C]398.791235712838[/C][C]398.791235712838[/C][C]1.73357887207231[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]134921[/C][C]136118.353861422[/C][C]398.818479589059[/C][C]-1196.45544100622[/C][C]-0.000451441584437512[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]80355[/C][C]85228.6474375608[/C][C]151.650012988744[/C][C]151.650014661655[/C][C]-2.54156909832055[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]80396[/C][C]80716.1957340299[/C][C]144.888679238903[/C][C]144.888679238895[/C][C]-0.232990766049109[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]82183[/C][C]81930.2273932714[/C][C]146.111574793113[/C][C]146.111574793114[/C][C]0.0534144322632701[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]79709[/C][C]80336.3065278808[/C][C]151.212515888723[/C][C]-453.637549489531[/C][C]-0.0872549846872228[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]90781[/C][C]89685.1240493351[/C][C]194.179826279363[/C][C]194.179828204333[/C][C]0.455890121828791[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=193982&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
1178421178421000
2139871147547.204063282-7524.39207126218-7524.39207114085-0.364693280412279
3118159127645.857022788-8285.70424887263-8285.70424887263-0.625644233837677
4109763118214.399703031-8337.75976279794-8337.75976279794-0.0581974094622058
59741583857.724866391-5394.5082321666316183.5246958545-1.49554980236121
6119190118300.33721398-1712.08913447358-1712.089133578321.65137689079881
797903101499.096926316-2107.48854365875-2107.48854365875-0.757764228355765
89695399095.8882499873-2113.45918873038-2113.45918873038-0.01488138443672
98788884670.899309254-1483.985633085414451.95689779937-0.658144598744649
108463785770.0140458987-1335.31305107826-1335.31304960030.116143466100026
119054991111.4114181802-1223.81853245492-1223.818532454920.334629165292249
129568096193.7829105502-1141.94169114441-1141.941691144410.316482005406113
139937195796.7824501105-1166.545749779493499.637248166320.0389118123901675
147998482658.7556801133-1666.80348193293-1666.80348086886-0.555677057905876
158675287673.7407414942-1584.92452455206-1584.924524552060.334566030202903
168573387196.897286543-1574.3220811745-1574.32208117450.0555380858780272
178490680986.0970552913-1461.225891526284383.6776737456-0.239440282305154
187835679785.8210806427-1452.66646056527-1452.666459729530.0123201721156311
19108895107200.000773791-1173.29443428454-1173.294434284541.44460056066886
20101768103240.16603116-1194.40406322312-1194.40406322311-0.13955824398851
217328574114.5401373215-654.3008177657481962.90245334737-1.43268709126833
226572467118.4359175817-825.501791839036-825.501791951515-0.302600469988058
236745768089.4940783136-811.135007247405-811.1350072474060.0898736483471024
246720367943.6377126451-806.963842819937-806.9638428199370.0333025623438042
256927366888.7930892178-802.9935139348742408.98054198552-0.0126575138187859
268080780019.3204370159-483.411753111879-483.4117531527030.669661661718537
277512975989.4020694428-507.575211596773-507.575211596774-0.177369935320865
287499175496.9829615274-507.494156901417-507.4941569014170.000758418469900839
296815767666.5290732471-407.3881156673761222.16434690316-0.37273449427697
307385873558.1289231506-281.798788855623-281.7987886923010.304329140817482
317134971787.7789587392-290.633265772498-290.6332657725-0.0744320748036103
328563484561.0247403993-229.723026212069-229.7230262120690.653551485029934
339162490145.9608878945-299.051842776565897.1555282802310.295253553785463
34116014113672.33837492121.063460612795121.0634609086511.15569396244332
35120033119331.491190498150.178300617362150.178300617360.276880427720654
36108651109533.962571714109.066803024924109.066803024924-0.497556876114126
37105378106163.158521307145.856008160466-437.568024711436-0.176370076025908
38138939135582.170751268608.542153655358608.5421541910341.42439091861129
39132974132726.730306513592.197777428709592.197777428708-0.173163760100324
40135277134556.759678454596.79151960714596.7915196071390.0619029450766543
41152741152326.948395841433.713979208684-1301.14193822080.869103689089694
42158417157470.993611203501.173990717676501.1739913619820.229776230595144
43157460157054.181061808497.245249610398497.245249610398-0.0458855629394918
44193997190139.829123311606.988314068446606.9883140684471.62950523106522
45154089159800.590627785873.704318941366-2621.11295720789-1.56420903612346
46147570148058.639912052708.535254569774708.535254819988-0.616685712930425
47162924160953.832313037756.254742013432756.2547420134290.609101722865591
48153629153696.685074338731.555808896229731.555808896229-0.400647283281497
49155907157697.78675244705.759679279998-2117.279037758840.16509528576582
50197675193230.8956015291125.687783406281125.687783695861.70540903701748
51250708244414.7146895331306.335839127721306.335839127712.50178936794149
52266652263519.8204690211356.909913275191356.909913275190.889805832994142
53209842219441.1558959851687.43624240953-5062.3087257323-2.29229951047299
54165826169637.102733681112.065154306931112.06515226005-2.52513318946277
55137152139280.5953293011006.757458830051006.75745883004-1.57263612073526
56150581148711.757352991028.960477513491028.960477513490.421124249038794
57145973149132.8782075281033.06242925003-3099.18728667778-0.0306440228184998
58126532127869.235020728800.923237450732800.923236139085-1.09481476982339
59115437115943.877786681761.221468255756761.221468255752-0.635961977789812
60119526118573.791443159765.813780280644765.8137802806470.0934069516629513
61110856113809.934208829800.613090746419-2401.839271353-0.278599365826088
629724398182.0033564348640.498737774437640.498736711241-0.807566157962433
63103876102824.95266294652.192616317819652.1926163178150.200003143496062
64116370114584.319163239677.761091000768677.7610910007720.555161239420263
65109616112029.223919552696.820445192428-2090.46133425991-0.162789317366693
669836599105.461477855572.045579370733572.045577906223-0.670185536197868
679044090779.2064934122547.599080785229547.599080785224-0.444632637957359
688889988626.5927458957541.753203476281541.753203476285-0.134955557602922
699235893480.9686723849517.839248829607-1553.517745345880.217054158933852
708839488458.9399285321469.965165476788469.965164273854-0.272816424885122
719821996930.7694404785490.710823321929490.7108233219240.399825728239291
72113546111610.881581826519.704774254288519.7047742542930.709147570032889
73107168109079.604864961535.67365984926-1607.0209779194-0.153488939760987
747754080100.6131175231294.2916547047294.29165275592-1.45458827818473
757494475182.0788709632281.497392514329281.497392514322-0.260459152192496
767564175369.1087749447281.314628811448281.314628811453-0.00472103082157354
777591076640.3973137538276.408341768315-829.2250235315360.0497842644685614
788738486142.1942773807348.017417022648348.0174153495970.454970990010378
798461584472.7773240939343.316488745256343.316488745249-0.100798482773163
808042080513.7621662682335.413233479816335.413233479821-0.215001799475477
818078481693.9793551161331.437597760312-994.3127917231780.0424690042768969
827993379830.7115639062315.226881541389315.226879959711-0.108303588351293
838211881649.5536726147318.561738138246318.561738138240.0751243295004835
849142090259.7996001714333.06108492064333.0610849206460.414348973518977
85112426111102.216714073241.179063438412-723.537188534131.03069576375044
86114528114009.068418848259.959038659874259.9590369078710.131618183068245
87131025129240.861369729291.638724252268291.6387242522610.748013073702597
88116460117398.99891439271.394543272285271.394543272291-0.606312194937714
89111258112638.954281602292.902602151011-878.707804344768-0.252781662869138
90155318151059.758456777549.658757433874549.6587557425121.88353068646197
91155078154258.855871293555.01849576259555.0184957625850.132366840212403
92134794136132.396892093525.216293735883525.216293735888-0.933489009359589
93139985141066.492589791507.195230301318-1521.585689324120.221445743789572
94198778192938.03446935838.461219427074838.4612184096672.5385945427877
95172436173643.689015425799.447503251507799.447503251503-1.00582296090861
96169585169305.88606916791.596465663218791.59646566322-0.256695095794139
97203702202465.618379822664.846595750956-1994.539786891611.62536956623471
98282392274345.1570311831105.501855468911105.501855888453.52116477071151
99220658224706.0090639321011.139947154991011.13994715498-2.5351287778705
100194472196425.885010592968.18028109016968.180281090158-1.46357401050132
101269246264676.124502584715.324701135946-2145.974105704843.37782713743637
102215340219386.510829187441.757885119505441.757886911507-2.27557806507796
103218319218057.005203262438.592021101198438.592021101194-0.0884883429328967
104195724197417.834007399408.876703427189408.876703427188-1.05315340141476
105174614178031.071352675480.390778326487-1441.17233712382-0.993616536664587
106172085172251.666299244444.563869863861444.563871939438-0.309745514488841
107152347153817.232507475412.081645022019412.081645022015-0.94313845591642
108189615185991.231279232455.188713738268455.1887137382671.58695665434821
109173804176289.355237117490.514401469948-1471.54320679017-0.509724169230241
110145683148148.328949683332.572993504038332.572995569408-1.41721456154934
111133550134622.217488968309.587510289904309.587510289897-0.692329152607874
112121156122139.338849772292.850148623141292.850148623139-0.639152520045124
113112040113860.347657147321.591084927681-964.773257486522-0.430095347640865
114120767119859.915445079351.819504586883351.8195073528880.281138423769949
115127019126073.340350737361.203268396351361.2032683963460.292820645572966
116136295135062.192629329372.099551495368372.0995514953670.431057429346919
117113425116603.647683099433.047300180576-1299.14190306032-0.944679950519808
118107815108283.56028315388.019014296921388.019016719051-0.433527509506452
119100298100715.593464993375.710409190909375.710409190903-0.397442208417933
1209704897077.6038200125370.811404383835370.811404383833-0.200530540328668
1219875099624.7869985173364.003486929875-1092.010463521390.109165709129423
1229823598068.5833502746354.447751074854354.447753785451-0.0951303802756595
123101254100671.93910438357.813886783526357.813886783520.112343223323036
124139589135728.564034307398.791235712838398.7912357128381.73357887207231
125134921136118.353861422398.818479589059-1196.45544100622-0.000451441584437512
1268035585228.6474375608151.650012988744151.650014661655-2.54156909832055
1278039680716.1957340299144.888679238903144.888679238895-0.232990766049109
1288218381930.2273932714146.111574793113146.1115747931140.0534144322632701
1297970980336.3065278808151.212515888723-453.637549489531-0.0872549846872228
1309078189685.1240493351194.179826279363194.1798282043330.455890121828791



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 4 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 4 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
nx <- length(x)
x <- ts(x,frequency=par1)
m <- StructTS(x,type='BSM')
m$coef
m$fitted
m$resid
mylevel <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'level'])
myslope <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'slope'])
myseas <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'sea'])
myresid <- as.numeric(m$resid)
myfit <- mylevel+myseas
mylagmax <- nx/2
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed')
acf(mylevel,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Level')
acf(myseas,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal')
acf(myresid,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
spectrum(mylevel,main='Level')
spectrum(myseas,main='Seasonal')
spectrum(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
cpgram(mylevel,main='Level')
cpgram(myseas,main='Seasonal')
cpgram(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(as.numeric(m$resid),main='Standardized Residuals',ylab='Residuals',xlab='time',type='b')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test5.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
hist(m$resid,main='Residual Histogram')
plot(density(m$resid),main='Residual Kernel Density')
qqnorm(m$resid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(m$resid)
plot(m$resid^2, myfit^2,main='Sq.Resid vs. Sq.Fit',xlab='Squared residuals',ylab='Squared Fit')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Structural Time Series Model',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Slope',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Stand. Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nx) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,mylevel[i])
a<-table.element(a,myslope[i])
a<-table.element(a,myseas[i])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')